282187 Oliver Dr · Sunray, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 9.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Appreciation +6.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Rare investment opportunity featuring a 2,256 sq ft home situated on almost 2 acres. This home has been loved by the same family for many years. Very recently vacated. The roof was replaced in 2025. Any family will love the spacious floor plan with 3 bedrooms plus bonus room or 4th bedroom. Being sold as is and just waiting for your TLC touch to make it home. The country views from the back porch will have you sweet tea sippin' and rockin chair rockin.
Key facts
- 1.87 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1957
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: 2 total parking spaces; 2 covered parking spaces; 2-car garage with garage door opener
- Utilities: Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; One and one-half story; Brick veneer construction
- Construction: Composition roof
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Chain link and wire fencing; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Microwave; Dishwasher; Gas water heater
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Ceiling fans; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $232 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Comanche (rural): math 18% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #180 of 270 in OK (top 67%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Stephens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($829 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (2.3% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (2.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.28%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,400
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 282531 Sunray Dr | 0.42mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,288 (-0%) | 8mo | $140,100 | $61 | 64 |
| 281808 E 1800 Rd | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,196 (-4%) | 19mo | $150,000 | $68 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.27% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $24,667
- Equity at exit
- $49,067
- IRR
- 15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.17×
- Total profit
- $73,014
- Equity at exit
- $72,047
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73529
- Home prices YoY
- 0.9%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,342 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$150 /mo · $1,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $232
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $315 | -5% $273 | +0% $232 | +5% $190 | +10% $149 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $126 | -5% $179 | +0% $232 | +5% $285 | +10% $338 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $292 | -0.5pp $262 | base $232 | +0.5pp $201 | +1.0pp $169 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $119,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $119,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-05$119,900 Active
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Rare investment opportunity featuring a 2,256 sq ft home situated on almost 2 acres. This home has been loved by the same family for many years. Very recently vacated. The roof was replaced in 2025. Any family will love the spacious floor plan with 3 bedrooms plus bonus room or 4th bedroom. Being sold as is and just waiting for your TLC touch to make it home. The country views from the back porch will have you sweet tea sippin' and rockin chair rockin.
-
2026-05-05$119,900 Active 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Rare investment opportunity featuring a 2,256 sq ft home situated on almost 2 acres. This home has been loved by the same family for many years. Very recently vacated. The roof was replaced in 2025. Any family will love the spacious floor plan with 3 bedrooms plus bonus room or 4th bedroom. Being sold as is and just waiting for your TLC touch to make it home. The country views from the back porch will have you sweet tea sippin' and rockin chair rockin.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 9% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,106
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,798
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,288
- − Management
- −$1,288
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $927
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$222
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,558/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This home is in fair condition with some repairs and maintenance needed. It has a spacious floor plan and a large lot, making it a great investment opportunity.
Repairs flagged
- Major Exterior paint — The exterior siding and paint appear to be in fair condition, with some discoloration and wear.
- Major Interior paint — The interior walls and paint appear to be in average condition, with some discoloration.
- Major Landscaping — The landscaping and curb appeal appear to be in average condition, with some overgrown areas and lack of maintenance.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
- Resale Paint interior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers.
- Both Landscaping — Fresh landscaping can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters alike.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Exterior paint · The exterior siding and paint appear to be in fair condition, with some discoloration and wear. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Interior paint · The interior walls and paint appear to be in average condition, with some discoloration. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Landscaping · The landscaping and curb appeal appear to be in average condition, with some overgrown areas and lack of maintenance. | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Resale Paint interior — Fresh paint can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers. ↑
- Both Landscaping — Fresh landscaping can enhance the home's curb appeal and make it more attractive to potential buyers and renters alike. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Comanche
- NCES district ID
- 4008460
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,087
- Composite
- 16.32/100
- National rank
- #9210
- State rank
- #180 of 270 in OK
Livability — Sunray
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sunray, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,757
Population outlook (Stephens County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,528 people
- By 2030
- 44,300 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 43,971 · -1.3%
- By 2050
- 43,954 · -1.3%
- By 2075
- 44,982 · +1.0%
- By 2100
- 45,259 · +1.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Stephens
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+63.7) · D 17.4% · R 81.0% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.6pp toward R · 2008: -52.1pp · 2024: -63.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+63.7 2020: R+65.1 2016: R+62.0 2012: R+53.2 2008: R+52.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.27%
- Current HPI
- 253.0419
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Listed $119,900 DAOR
- 2026-05-05 Listed $119,900 LBRMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…