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129 Browns Rd
B Composite 70.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,900

129 Browns Rd · Scottsville, NY 14546
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,655 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1957 0.30 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

129 Browns Rd, Scottsville NY – Opportunity, Space and Village Convenience. Looking for a home with great bones, a flexible layout, and the chance to build equity? Welcome to 129 Browns Rd, a 4-bedroom Cape Cod nestled on a private, tree-lined lot in the Village of Scottsville. Step inside and you'll find a bright, welcoming living room filled with natural light from windows overlooking the front and side yards. The eat-in kitchen features a breakfast bar, commercial laminate flooring, and easy access to the heart of the home. Just off the kitchen is a versatile formal dining room, den, or bonus space with views of the private courtyard and a convenient pass-through opening to the kit

Key facts

  • Eat in kitchen
  • Private courtyard
  • 0.3 acre lot

Tags

PRIVATE TREE LINED LOTBRIGHT WELCOMING LIVING ROOMEAT IN KITCHENVERSATILE FORMAL DINING ROOMPRIVATE COURTYARDATTACHED TWO CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with electricity; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: 2 stories; Existing construction; Shingle roof; Wood siding construction; Copper plumbing
  • Construction: Block foundation; Built previously (existing)
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Private yard; See remarks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 main-level bedrooms
  • Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Vinyl; Varies
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Separate/formal dining room; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Natural woodwork; Main level primary; Bedroom on main level; Full basement with sump pump
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 3.8% in Scottsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#409 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living B+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Wheatland-Chili Central School District (suburban): math 46% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #341 of 590 in NY (top 58%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $99,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.36%
Cap rate
20.40%
Cash-on-cash
50.39%
DSCR
3.24
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$258,180
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
615 North Rd 0.22mi 4/2.0 1,818 (+10%) 3mo $235,000 $129 71
37 Rochester St 0.47mi 4/1.5 1,639 (-1%) 12mo $260,000 $159 64
21 Rochester St 0.55mi 4/2.0 1,698 (+3%) 9mo $280,000 $165 62
10 Church St 0.69mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,592 (-4%) 2mo $200,000 $126 53
10 Browns Ave 0.56mi 4/2.0 1,584 (-4%) 20mo $275,000 $174 50
24 Wyvil Ave 0.58mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,560 (-6%) 8mo $190,000 $122 50
124 Heather Ln 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,600 (-3%) 13mo $240,000 $150 50
12 Maple Ave 0.47mi 4/1.0 1,496 (-10%) 16mo $165,000 $110 44
15 Oatka Pl 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,440 (-13%) 20mo $225,000 $156 35
8 Genesee St Unit N 0.57mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,489 (-10%) 22mo $215,000 $144 29
230 Briarwood Ln 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,408 (-15%) 21mo $225,000 $160 24
44 Diana Dr 0.68mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,422 (-14%) 23mo $242,000 $170 19

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.1%
Equity multiple
3.10×
Total profit
$58,657
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
53.8%
Equity multiple
6.27×
Total profit
$147,552
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14546

Home prices YoY
-10.0%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,361 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$496
Net cashflow
$1,175

Break-even live

Break-even rent $874
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 45%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
300 Robert Quigley Dr Scottsville, NY 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1075 $2,275 $2.12 2d 10 0.24mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    remarks 693-char remark
  2. 2026-06-17
    listed $99,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,329
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,498
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,266
− Management
−$2,266
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$13,296
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,191
After-tax cash flow
$10,904/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wheatland-Chili Central School District
NCES district ID
3631170
Math proficiency
46% ▲ 8.00%
Reading proficiency
57% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$57,303
Composite
44.69/100
National rank
#2758
State rank
#341 of 590 in NY

Livability — Scottsville

Score
71/100
State rank
#409
US rank
#7059

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B+ Crime A- Employment B- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Scottsville, NY
County
Monroe County · 674,131 people
City population
4,450
Metro
Rochester, NY
Population (ZIP)
4,450
Household income
$95,046
Rent vs Own
34.4% rent · 65.6% own
Severe rent burden
55.0

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
759,460 people
By 2030
757,154 · -0.3%
By 2040
740,644 · -2.5%
By 2050
714,443 · -5.9%
By 2075
645,883 · -15.0%
By 2100
547,084 · -28.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Two or more races 4% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 5% Iranian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
2008→2024 swing
+1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -28.95%
Current HPI
260.4192
Rent YoY
Metro
Rochester, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $99,900 UNYREIS
  • 2005-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
  • 1998-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,364 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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