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The Bellwood Plan 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 29.41
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.3/30.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0
  • DSCR +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$221,990

The Bellwood Plan · Dalton, GA 30721
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,015 sqft · SingleFamily · 253 Days on market
Good condition ↓ 2% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The Bellwood is a smartly designed home that maximizes space with an open-concept layout ideal for everyday living. An L-shaped eat-in kitchen flows seamlessly into the family room, creating a comfortable and functional main living area. This plan includes three bedrooms and two full baths, with a primary suite featuring a walk-in closet and an ensuite bath with a tub/shower combination, or a shower-only layout. Exterior elevations vary, offering either a full covered front porch or a covered front stoop for added curb appeal. A one-car garage completes this efficient and well-planned home.

Key facts

  • One-car garage
  • Walk-in closet
  • Ensuite bath

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTL-SHAPED EAT-IN KITCHENWALK-IN CLOSETENSUITE BATHFULL COVERED FRONT PORCHONE-CAR GARAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $221,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $255,200.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $222k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-458 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $189k (14.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (25.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (25.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#172 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Whitfield County (rural): math 37% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #62 of 174 in GA (top 36%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Pleasant Grove Elementary School (math 47% / reading 37%, grade F, #380 of 1,228 statewide, top 33%, 448 students, 75% FRL); New Hope Middle School (math 45% / reading 48%, grade D+, #94 of 470 statewide, top 20%, 452 students, 61% FRL); Northwest Whitfield County High School (math 29% / reading 34%, grade F, #122 of 424 statewide, top 30%, 1,219 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools at 61% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 647 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 374 units permitted in Whitfield County in 2024 (35 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Whitfield County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 253 days — a 12% lower offer ($195k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $165,247 (25.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 253 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65% ✗
Cap rate
4.14%
Cash-on-cash
-7.69%
DSCR
0.66
GRM
12.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$255,200
List price
$221,990
Delta
-13.01%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
191 Andros Dr Dr 0.09mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,057 (+4%) 13mo $237,000 $224 73
182 Andros Dr Dr 0.08mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,057 (+4%) 18mo $229,500 $217 69
184 Andros Dr Dr 0.09mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,057 (+4%) 18mo $233,500 $221 69
180 Andros Dr Dr Unit 20A 0.08mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,057 (+4%) 19mo $235,000 $222 69
141 Andros Loop 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,164 (+15%) 4mo $258,400 $222 65
2826 Grove Level Dr Dr 0.71mi 3/2.0 953 (-6%) 12mo $50,000 $52 47
1494 Heather Way Way 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,164 (+15%) 5mo $229,000 $197 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-29.7%
Equity multiple
0.01×
Total profit
$-70,510
Equity at exit
$38,051
10-year hold
IRR
-30.7%
Equity multiple
-0.38×
Total profit
$-98,874
Equity at exit
$22,065

Cash invested: $71,456 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
8 active · 4 under contract
Months of supply
16.0 mo (6%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$229,490 ($199/sqft)
Median days on market
85 d
This list price
38% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+26.0% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 30721

Active inventory
647
Price-to-rent
11.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,652 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,338
Tax est. 1.5%
−$319 /mo · $3,828/yr
Insurance
−$106
HOA
−$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
−$347
Net cashflow
$-458

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,232
Max offer price $188,901
Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-282 -5% $-370 +0% $-458 +5% $-546 +10% $-635
Rent -10% $-589 -5% $-523 +0% $-458 +5% $-393 +10% $-328
Rate -1.0pp $-330 -0.5pp $-393 base $-458 +0.5pp $-524 +1.0pp $-592

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$63,800
Closing costs
$7,656
Reserves months
—
Total cash needed
—

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
—
Monthly P&I
—
Monthly cashflow
—
DSCR
—
Eligible?
—

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
138 Maresca Dr NE Dalton, GA 3.0 1.0 1027 $1,500 $1.46 37d 1 1.09mi
138 Maresca Dr NE Dalton, GA 3.0 1.0 1027 $1,400 $1.36 10d 1 1.09mi

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-10-22
    days on market $221,990 Active 253 DOM
  2. 2026-10-21
    days on market $221,990 Active 252 DOM
  3. 2026-10-20
    days on market $221,990 Active 251 DOM
  4. 2026-10-19
    days on market $221,990 Active 250 DOM
  5. 2026-10-18
    days on market $221,990 Active 249 DOM
  6. 2026-10-17
    days on market $221,990 Active 248 DOM
  7. 2026-10-16
    days on market $221,990 Active 247 DOM
  8. 2026-10-15
    days on market $221,990 Active 246 DOM
  9. 2026-10-14
    days on market $221,990 Active 245 DOM
  10. 2026-10-13
    days on market $221,990 Active 244 DOM
  11. 2026-10-12
    days on market $221,990 Active 243 DOM
  12. 2026-10-11
    days on market $221,990 Active 242 DOM
  13. 2026-10-10
    days on market $221,990 Active 241 DOM
  14. 2026-10-09
    days on market $221,990 Active 240 DOM
  15. 2026-10-08
    days on market $221,990 Active 239 DOM
  16. 2026-10-07
    days on market $221,990 Active 238 DOM
  17. 2026-10-06
    days on market $221,990 Active 237 DOM
  18. 2026-10-05
    days on market $221,990 Active 236 DOM
  19. 2026-10-04
    days on market $221,990 Active 235 DOM
  20. 2026-10-03
    days on market $221,990 Active 234 DOM
  21. 2026-10-02
    days on market $221,990 Active 233 DOM
  22. 2026-10-01
    days on market $221,990 Active 232 DOM
  23. 2026-09-30
    days on market $221,990 Active 231 DOM
  24. 2026-09-29
    days on market $221,990 Active 230 DOM
  25. 2026-09-28
    days on market $221,990 Active 229 DOM
  26. 2026-09-27
    days on market $221,990 Active 228 DOM
  27. 2026-09-26
    days on market $221,990 Active 227 DOM
  28. 2026-09-25
    days on market $221,990 Active 226 DOM
  29. 2026-09-24
    days on market $221,990 Active 225 DOM
  30. 2026-09-24
    days on market $221,990 Active 224 DOM
  31. 2026-09-22
    days on market $221,990 Active 223 DOM
  32. 2026-09-21
    days on market $221,990 Active 222 DOM
  33. 2026-09-20
    days on market $221,990 Active 221 DOM
  34. 2026-09-18
    days on market $221,990 Active 219 DOM
  35. 2026-09-17
    days on market $221,990 Active 218 DOM
  36. 2026-09-16
    days on market $221,990 Active 217 DOM
  37. 2026-09-15
    days on market $221,990 Active 216 DOM
  38. 2026-09-14
    days on market $221,990 Active 215 DOM
  39. 2026-09-13
    days on market $221,990 Active 214 DOM
  40. 2026-09-12
    days on market $221,990 Active 213 DOM
  41. 2026-09-11
    days on market $221,990 Active 212 DOM
  42. 2026-09-05
    days on market $221,990 Active 206 DOM
  43. 2026-09-04
    days on market $221,990 Active 205 DOM
  44. 2026-09-03
    days on market $221,990 Active 204 DOM
  45. 2026-09-02
    days on market $221,990 Active 203 DOM
  46. 2026-08-30
    days on market $221,990 Active 200 DOM
  47. 2026-08-29
    days on market $221,990 Active 199 DOM
  48. 2026-08-28
    days on market $221,990 Active 198 DOM
  49. 2026-08-27
    days on market $221,990 Active 197 DOM
  50. 2026-08-26
    days on market $221,990 Active 196 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,830
− Mortgage interest
−$14,295
− Property taxes
−$3,828
− Insurance
−$1,276
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,586
− Management
−$1,586
− Depreciation
−$7,424
Taxable loss
−$10,166
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,440
After-tax cash flow
$-3,058/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $5,075–$15,225 screening

The Bellwood Plan is a well-maintained single-family home with good condition and curb appeal. Minor updates to exterior and interior can significantly enhance its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
  • Both New kitchen backsplash — Enhances functionality and aesthetics ↑

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 40/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Pleasant Grove Elementary School F GA #380/1,228 Nat'l #17,861/41,679 Middle New Hope Middle School D+ GA #94/470 Nat'l #4,335/14,009 High Northwest Whitfield County High School F GA #122/424 Nat'l #10,753/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Whitfield County
NCES district ID
1305700
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$44,296
Composite
30.24/100
National rank
#6290
State rank
#62 of 174 in GA
C Composite livability gradescore 67/100

Livability — Dalton

Score
67/100
State rank
#172
US rank
#10778

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Whitfield County · 107,770 people
City population
80,309
Metro
Dalton, GA
Population (ZIP)
53,060
Household income
$62,094
Rent vs Own
34.7% rent · 65.3% own
Severe rent burden
14% of renters

Population outlook (Whitfield County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
107,770 people
By 2030
108,737 · +0.9%
By 2040
110,260 · +2.3%
By 2050
111,205 · +3.2%
By 2075
113,014 · +4.9%
By 2100
112,775 · +4.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Hispanic / Latino 47% Two or more races 10% Black 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 35% Cuban 1%
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 37%

Political lean MEDSL · Whitfield

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.5) · D 27.5% · R 72.0%
2008→2024 swing
-4.5pp toward R · 2008: -40.0pp · 2024: -44.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.5 2020: R+40.7 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+45.1 2008: R+40.0

Not yet ingested

Civics
—

Price history

-2.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-28 Price Changed $219,900 Zillow
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $224,900 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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