3245 2nd Pl · Vero Beach South, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- 1% rule +6.0/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Two Bedroom, Two Bath wood frame home. Living Room with formal dining room. Open patio w/ shed in backyard.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Metal roof
- Large back porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
- Home design: Single-story; Faces north; Has view
- Construction: Frame construction; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Screened porch; Enclosed porch; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Bedroom (12x11); Bedroom (12x12); Den (11x10)
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Single-hung windows; Unfurnished
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $259k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $693 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $259k).
- Recommended offer: $251k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 4.3% in Vero Beach South — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#163 in FL, #2,445 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F.
- Indian River (other): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #35 of 73 in FL (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 184 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 564 units permitted in Indian River County in 2024 (281 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Indian River County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($251k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $87k; list at $259k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.48%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $352,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3145 1st Ln | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,594 (-0%) | 6mo | $395,000 | $248 | 82 |
| 3446 1st St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (-2%) | 3mo | $354,000 | $227 | 79 |
| 2845 1st Ln | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,674 (+5%) | 4mo | $278,000 | $166 | 70 |
| 3485 1st Ln | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,772 (+11%) | 4mo | $350,000 | $198 | 66 |
| 3496 3rd Pl | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,389 (-13%) | 0mo | $359,000 | $258 | 59 |
| 571 24th Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,584 (-1%) | 6mo | $335,000 | $211 | 56 |
| 2745 1st St | 0.38mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,753 (+10%) | 6mo | $330,000 | $188 | 54 |
| 4000 1st Ln | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,773 (+11%) | 6mo | $405,000 | $228 | 51 |
| 219 26th Ave SW | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-10%) | 3mo | $250,000 | $174 | 48 |
| 2464 1st Pl | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,446 (-10%) | 6mo | $290,000 | $201 | 45 |
| 156 24th Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,407 (-12%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $220 | 39 |
| 225 22nd Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,378 (-14%) | 8mo | $350,000 | $254 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $2,104
- Equity at exit
- $38,618
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.80×
- Total profit
- $58,319
- Equity at exit
- $22,394
Cash invested: $72,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32968
- Home prices YoY
- -27.5%
- Active inventory
- 184
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,858 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,358
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,179/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$600
- Net cashflow
- $693
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $840 | -5% $767 | +0% $693 | +5% $620 | +10% $547 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $468 | -5% $581 | +0% $693 | +5% $806 | +10% $919 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $824 | -0.5pp $759 | base $693 | +0.5pp $626 | +1.0pp $558 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,750
- Closing costs
- $7,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3285 3rd Pl Unit 1018166P Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1420 | $3,708 | $2.61 | 14d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 405 27th Ct Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 3673 2nd Pl SW Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $4,800 | $3.40 | 22d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3673 2nd Pl SW Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1410 | $4,800 | $3.40 | 14d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 725 23rd Ave Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1696 | $3,500 | $2.06 | 22d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1816 5th Pl Unit 1018162P Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1323 | $3,841 | $2.90 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 275 16th Ave Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,600 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 2543 Stockbridge Sq SW Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $2,200 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 2584 Stockbridge Sq SW Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1698 | $2,250 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1702 7th St Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,100 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 235 14th Ave Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1586 | $2,700 | $1.70 | 22d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2619 Langrove Ln SW Unit 2619 Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $2,450 | $1.67 | 22d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 408 N Key Lime Sq SW Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2061 | $2,800 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2565 Langrove Ln SW Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $2,000 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 826 Middleton Dr SW Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $2,150 | $1.47 | 22d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1330 28th Ave Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $3,200 | $2.15 | 22d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 552 Calamondin Way SW Vero Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2008 | $2,575 | $1.28 | 14d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1406 36th Ave Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1284 | $2,000 | $1.56 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1406 36th Ave Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1284 | $2,150 | $1.67 | 22d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 1408 36th Ave Unit 1408 Vero Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1284 | $2,150 | $1.67 | 22d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $259,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $259,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $259,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $259,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $259,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $259,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $272,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $272,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $272,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $272,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $272,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $272,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $272,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $272,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $272,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-07$272,000 Active
-
2016-02-22soldstatus $87,100 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Two Bedroom, Two Bath wood frame home. Living Room with formal dining room. Open patio w/ shed in backyard
-
2016-02-22soldstatus $87,100 106-char remark
Show marketing remark (106 chars)
Two Bedroom, Two Bath wood frame home. Living Room with formal dining room. Open patio w/ shed in backyard
-
2015-11-23$70,000 107-char remark
Show marketing remark (107 chars)
Two Bedroom, Two Bath wood frame home. Living Room with formal dining room. Open patio w/ shed in backyard.
-
1976-10-01soldstatus $26,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,179 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,150 · $179/mo
- Expected delta
- +$970/yr (+$81/mo · 82.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,297
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,508
- − Property taxes
- −$1,179
- − Insurance
- −$1,295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,744
- − Management
- −$2,744
- − Depreciation
- −$7,535
- Taxable income
- $4,293
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,030
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,292/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Indian River
- NCES district ID
- 1200930
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,597
- Composite
- 42.45/100
- National rank
- #3218
- State rank
- #35 of 73 in FL
Livability — Vero Beach South
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #2445
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Vero Beach South, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,576
Population outlook (Indian River County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 165,104 people
- By 2030
- 172,869 · +4.7%
- By 2040
- 185,640 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 194,465 · +17.8%
- By 2075
- 211,115 · +27.9%
- By 2100
- 211,781 · +28.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Indian River
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.4) · D 36.0% · R 63.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.5pp toward R · 2008: -14.8pp · 2024: -27.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.4 2020: R+21.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+14.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.63%
- Current HPI
- 312.136
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+930.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listed $272,000 RAIRCMLS
- 2016-02-22 Sold (MLS) $87,100 RAIRCMLS
- 2016-02-22 Sold (MLS) $87,100 SCMLS
- 2015-11-23 Listed $70,000 SCMLS
- 1976-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $26,400 Public Records
Property tax history
+11.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,179 · +27.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…