367 Sleepy Meadow Dr · Bridgeport, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +5.7/30.0
- Appreciation +4.8/10.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +1.2/10.0
- DSCR +0.1/10.0
- Manufactured-home adj. -3.3
$164,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brand new manufactured home tucked away in the quiet rural area of Runaway Bay. Step inside this beautiful home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Master bedroom is secluded away from other bedrooms. Kitchen features an island, all matching whirlpool appliances including refrigerator, oven, microwave and dishwasher. Living room features a cozy electric fireplace with room for your large TV over the fireplace. 2 inch blinds on all windows. Owner has built a deck on the front and back as well as a paved parking pad with a carport and paved walkway to the front door.
Key facts
- Deck on the front
- Paved parking pad
- Paved walkway
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-334 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $117k (29.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $102k (38.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $102k (38.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#472 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Jacksboro ISD (town): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #337 of 826 in TX (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Jacksboro El (math 39% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,744 of 4,322 statewide, top 41%, 497 students, 68% FRL); Jacksboro Middle (math 44% / reading 40%, grade D-, #572 of 1,662 statewide, top 36%, 251 students, 68% FRL); Jacksboro H S (math 47% / reading 57%, grade D+, #447 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 335 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 44% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 485 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 40d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 460 units permitted in Wise County in 2024 (243 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent is only 13% of the median local income ($92k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.8%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wise County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 269 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 269 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.62% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- -8.69%
- DSCR
- 0.61
- GRM
- 13.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $215,000
- List price
- $164,999
- Delta
- -23.26%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408 Sleepy Meadow Dr | 0.12mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,345 (+15%) | 7mo | $214,000 | $159 | 59 |
| 136 Bridlewood Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,081 (-8%) | 14mo | $195,900 | $181 | 53 |
| 128 Bridlewood Ln | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,081 (-8%) | 16mo | $195,900 | $181 | 51 |
| 10780 Shady Oaks Dr | 0.19mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,038 (-11%) | 23mo | $177,990 | $171 | 48 |
| 148 Bridlewood Ln | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,008 (-14%) | 2mo | $179,900 | $178 | 47 |
| 190 Meadow Pond Ct | 0.65mi | 3/2.5 | 1,064 (-9%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $211 | 43 |
| — | 1.45mi | 3/2.5 | 1,192 (+2%) | 23mo | $232,000 | $195 | 41 |
| 149 Bay Roc Ln | 1.46mi | 3/2.0 | 896 (-24%) | 2mo | $268,288 | $299 | 38 |
| 114 Shady Springs Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,008 (-14%) | 18mo | $185,000 | $184 | 31 |
| 33 Meadow Pond Ct | 0.94mi | 3/2.0 | 1,031 (-12%) | 19mo | $185,000 | $179 | 30 |
| Lot 41 Block 7 Hauser Pl | 0.94mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 938 (-20%) | 18mo | $250,000 | $267 | 20 |
| 66 Tryall Ct | 1.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 900 (-23%) | 25mo | $62,900 | $70 | 11 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.82% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-32,366
- Equity at exit
- $41,256
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-40,713
- Equity at exit
- $44,549
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 4 active
- Median asking
- $189,450 ($156/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 35 d
- This list price
- lowest-priced of the active set
- ARV vs active asking
- +17.6% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 76426
- Home prices YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 485
- Price-to-rent
- 13.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,020 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$206 /mo · $2,475/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent leased land?
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$214
- Net cashflow
- $-334
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-220 | -5% $-277 | +0% $-334 | +5% $-391 | +10% $-448 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-415 | -5% $-375 | +0% $-334 | +5% $-294 | +10% $-254 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-251 | -0.5pp $-292 | base $-334 | +0.5pp $-377 | +1.0pp $-421 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 266 Lark Meadow Dr Unit B Bridgeport, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $950 | $1.03 | 40d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 260 Lark Meadow Dr Unit A Bridgeport, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,075 | $1.19 | 0d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 260 Lark Meadow Dr Unit A Bridgeport, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 12d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 10915 Shady Oaks Dr Runaway Bay, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,398 | $0.94 | 86d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 140 Spring Hill Ct Bridgeport, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 86d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 156 Bridlewood Ln Bridgeport, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 19d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 149 Private Road 1509 Unit A Runaway Bay, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $950 | $0.79 | 35d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 143 Private Road 1509 Unit A Runaway Bay, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1210 | $875 | $0.72 | 70d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 143 Private Road 1509 Unit A Runaway Bay, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1220 | $875 | $0.72 | 73d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 50 events
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2026-07-31days on market $164,999 Active 269 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $164,999 Active 267 DOM
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2026-07-28days on market $164,999 Active 266 DOM
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2026-07-26days on market $164,999 Active 264 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $164,999 Active 262 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $164,999 Active 261 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $164,999 Active 260 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $164,999 Active 259 DOM
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2026-07-20days on market $164,999 Active 258 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $164,999 Active 256 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $164,999 Active 255 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $164,999 Active 254 DOM
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2026-07-15days on market $164,999 Active 253 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $164,999 Active 252 DOM
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2026-07-14price $164,999 Active 251 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $169,999 Active 251 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $169,999 Active 250 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $169,999 Active 249 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $169,999 Active 248 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $169,999 Active 247 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $169,999 Active 245 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $169,999 Active 244 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $169,999 Active 243 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $169,999 Active 242 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $169,999 Active 241 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $169,999 Active 240 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $169,999 Active 239 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $169,999 Active 238 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $169,999 Active 237 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $169,999 Active 236 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $169,999 Active 235 DOM
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2026-06-26days on market $169,999 Active 234 DOM
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2026-06-24days on market $169,999 Active 232 DOM
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2026-06-22days on market $169,999 Active 230 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $169,999 Active 229 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $169,999 Active 226 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $169,999 Active 225 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $169,999 Active 224 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $169,999 Active 223 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $169,999 Active 221 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $169,999 Active 220 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $169,999 Active 217 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $169,999 Active 216 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $169,999 Active 215 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $169,999 Active 212 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $169,999 Active 211 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $169,999 Active 210 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $169,999 Active 209 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $169,999 Active 208 DOM
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2026-03-31price $169,999 578-char remark
Show marketing remark (578 chars)
Brand new manufactured home tucked away in the quiet rural area of Runaway Bay. Step inside this beautiful home featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Master bedroom is secluded away from other bedrooms. Kitchen features an island, all matching whirlpool appliances including refrigerator, oven, microwave and dishwasher. Living room features a cozy electric fireplace with room for your large TV over the fireplace. 2 inch blinds on all windows. Owner has built a deck on the front and back as well as a paved parking pad with a carport and paved walkway to the front door.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,241
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$2,475
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$979
- − Management
- −$979
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$7,060
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,694
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,319/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This brand new manufactured home is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a good investment opportunity with potential for value increase through minor updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping — Enhances curb appeal and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Interior paint — Fresh paint can make the home more appealing and increase its value. ↑
- Both Landscaping around the deck — Improves the overall aesthetic and adds value for both resale and rental. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jacksboro ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4824530
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,739
- Composite
- 35.94/100
- National rank
- #4802
- State rank
- #337 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bridgeport
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #472
- US rank
- #9507
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Wise County · 71,620 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,632
- Household income
- $92,130
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3% of renters
Population outlook (Wise County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,620 people
- By 2030
- 75,858 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 83,908 · +17.2%
- By 2050
- 90,717 · +26.7%
- By 2075
- 107,583 · +50.2%
- By 2100
- 114,996 · +60.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 32% Two or more races 9% Black 2% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 31%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 27%
Political lean MEDSL · Wise
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.0) · D 14.7% · R 84.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.3pp toward R · 2008: -55.7pp · 2024: -70.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.0 2020: R+68.2 2016: R+69.9 2012: R+67.5 2008: R+55.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.82%
- Current HPI
- 417.89
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-15.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $169,999 NTREIS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $175,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $179,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $184,999 NTREIS
- 2025-12-14 Price Changed $189,999 NTREIS
- 2025-10-31 Listed $199,999 NTREIS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…