123 Walker St · Williamsport, PA
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.27%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Handyman Special! In need of minor repair and some paint to bring this up to snuff. Newer metal roof, replacement windows, fenced in nice size yard and off the beaten path. Reasonable price. * Windows are replacement unknown year. Gas out of a couple * * Main roof replaced in 2024
Key facts
- Newer metal roof
- Fenced in yard
- Replacement windows
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; Off-street gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Residential property; Vinyl siding with frame construction
- Construction: Metal roof; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Level lot; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Range; Dishwasher
- Flooring: Laminate; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil fuel; Cooling by wall unit(s)
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Pellet stove in living room fireplace; Walk-up basement access
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $314 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Cap rate 11.4% vs local median 5.6% in Williamsport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#523 in PA, #4,841 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Williamsport Area SD (urban): math 38% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #349 of 539 in PA (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 73 units permitted in Lycoming County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lycoming County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $90k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.44% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.10%
- DSCR
- 1.81
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $246,840
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2441 Riverside Dr | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,183 (-10%) | 1mo | $221,200 | $187 | 52 |
| 2440 Euclid Ave | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,395 (+6%) | 24mo | $161,000 | $115 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.43% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $7,355
- Equity at exit
- $13,419
- IRR
- 18.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.60×
- Total profit
- $40,430
- Equity at exit
- $7,782
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 17701
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,298 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,636/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $314
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $364 | -5% $339 | +0% $314 | +5% $288 | +10% $263 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $211 | -5% $262 | +0% $314 | +5% $365 | +10% $416 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $359 | -0.5pp $336 | base $314 | +0.5pp $290 | +1.0pp $266 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1610 Scott St Williamsport, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1680 | $1,350 | $0.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 675 Cemetery St Williamsport, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1185 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 770 W 4th St Williamsport, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 814 | $1,155 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2001 Memorial Ave Williamsport, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,335 | $1.47 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2500 Federal Ave Williamsport, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 764 | $1,404 | $1.84 | 44d | 7 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-17status $90,000 Pending 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-12remarks 285-char remark
-
2026-06-12$90,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,636 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,636 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,582
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,636
- − Insurance
- −$1,248
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,247
- − Management
- −$1,247
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $2,546
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$611
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,152/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Williamsport Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4226460
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,637
- Composite
- 34.63/100
- National rank
- #5150
- State rank
- #349 of 539 in PA
Livability — Williamsport
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #523
- US rank
- #4841
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Williamsport, PA
- County
- Lycoming County · 43,104 people
- City population
- 43,104
- Metro
- Williamsport, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,104
- Household income
- $53,237
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2178.0
Population outlook (Lycoming County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 114,164 people
- By 2030
- 112,221 · -1.7%
- By 2040
- 107,613 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 102,950 · -9.8%
- By 2075
- 92,987 · -18.5%
- By 2100
- 80,924 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 10% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lycoming
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.8% · R 70.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.3pp toward R · 2008: -24.2pp · 2024: -41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.5 2020: R+41.3 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+33.3 2008: R+24.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.61%
- Current HPI
- 216.7203
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.43%
- Metro
- Williamsport, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+143.2% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $90,000 WBVAR
- 2019-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2003-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2026): $1,636 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…