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3372 Fourth St
B- Composite 67.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.6/15.0
  • DSCR +7.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.4/10.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$239,000

3372 Fourth St · St. Augustine Shores, FL 32033
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,192 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 246 Days on market
Built 2006 4,791 sqft lot $201/sqft · 9% below area Est $263k · 9% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 3372 Fourth Street — a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,192 square feet of comfortable living in the heart of Elkton. This inviting property features beautiful hardwood floors that add warmth and character throughout, creating a cozy and welcoming atmosphere. The thoughtfully designed layout provides both functionality and comfort, with a bright living area that flows easily into the kitchen and dining spaces—perfect for everyday living or entertaining.

Key facts

  • Bright living area
  • No hoa
  • Hardwood floors

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSNO HOABRIGHT LIVING AREASHORT DRIVE TO ST AUGUSTINELOCAL CONVENIENCES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $407 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $239k).
  • Recommended offer: $210k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 3.4% in St. Augustine Shores — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Johns (rural): math 75% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #2 of 73 in FL (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 43 active listings in the ZIP; 5,575 units permitted in St. Johns County in 2024 (584 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $7k appreciation (2.9% local appreciation)).
  • St. Johns County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (2.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 246 days — a 12% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $161k; 48% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $210,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 246 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.34%
Cash-on-cash
7.31%
DSCR
1.33
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$262,985
List price
$239,000
Delta
-9.12%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3373 4th St 0.03mi 3/2.0 1,112 (-7%) 6mo $239,900 $216 83
3332 3rd St 0.11mi 3/2.0 1,192 (0%) 17mo $250,000 $210 80
4124 Vermont Blvd 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,118 (-6%) 14mo $259,000 $232 74
3416 6th St 0.14mi 3/2.0 1,116 (-6%) 11mo $265,000 $237 74
4125 Vermont Blvd 0.12mi 3/2.0 1,116 (-6%) 12mo $255,000 $228 73
3373 7th St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,171 (-2%) 23mo $289,900 $248 70
3367 7th St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,171 (-2%) 23mo $289,900 $248 70
3367 7th St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,171 (-2%) 23mo $289,900 $248 70
3377 7th St 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,171 (-2%) 23mo $280,000 $239 70
3357 Seventh St 0.17mi 3/2.0 1,247 (+5%) 19mo $285,000 $229 69
3372 9th St 0.23mi 3/2.0 1,116 (-6%) 12mo $211,000 $189 68
4245 New Hampshire Rd 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,069 (-10%) 10mo $255,000 $239 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
14.0%
Equity multiple
1.79×
Total profit
$53,029
Equity at exit
$105,693
10-year hold
IRR
15.9%
Equity multiple
3.31×
Total profit
$154,457
Equity at exit
$161,520

Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32033

Home prices YoY
1.0%
Active inventory
43
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,431 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,253
Tax from tax record
$160 /mo · $1,918/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$510
Net cashflow
$407

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,915
Max offer price $239,000
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,750
Closing costs
$7,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $239,000 Active 246 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $239,000 Active 245 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $239,000 Active 244 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $239,000 Active 243 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $239,000 Active 241 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $239,000 Active 240 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $249,000 Active 237 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $249,000 Active 236 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $249,000 Active 235 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $249,000 Active 231 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $249,000 Active 230 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $249,000 Active 229 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $249,000 Active 228 DOM
  14. 2026-04-13
    status Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Welcome to 3372 Fourth Street — a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,192 square feet of comfortable living in the heart of Elkton. This inviting property features beautiful hardwood floors that add warmth and character throughout, creating a cozy and welcoming atmosphere. The thoughtfully designed layout provides both functionality and comfort, with a bright living area that flows easily into the kitchen and dining spaces—perfect for everyday living or entertaining.

  15. 2026-03-16
    historical Contingent- Accepting Backups 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Welcome to 3372 Fourth Street — a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,192 square feet of comfortable living in the heart of Elkton. This inviting property features beautiful hardwood floors that add warmth and character throughout, creating a cozy and welcoming atmosphere. The thoughtfully designed layout provides both functionality and comfort, with a bright living area that flows easily into the kitchen and dining spaces—perfect for everyday living or entertaining.

  16. 2025-11-22
    price $249,000 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Welcome to 3372 Fourth Street — a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,192 square feet of comfortable living in the heart of Elkton. This inviting property features beautiful hardwood floors that add warmth and character throughout, creating a cozy and welcoming atmosphere. The thoughtfully designed layout provides both functionality and comfort, with a bright living area that flows easily into the kitchen and dining spaces—perfect for everyday living or entertaining.

  17. 2025-10-15
    listed $259,000 Active 490-char remark
    Show marketing remark (490 chars)

    Welcome to 3372 Fourth Street — a charming 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offering 1,192 square feet of comfortable living in the heart of Elkton. This inviting property features beautiful hardwood floors that add warmth and character throughout, creating a cozy and welcoming atmosphere. The thoughtfully designed layout provides both functionality and comfort, with a bright living area that flows easily into the kitchen and dining spaces—perfect for everyday living or entertaining.

  18. 2020-06-16
    soldstatus $161,000
  19. 2020-06-15
    soldstatus $161,000 Closed 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    Perfect Starter Home! Or Downsize In A Country-like Setting. This Well Maintained 2 BR/2 BA+Office/3rd BR Home Offers Easy I-95 Access And Highly Rated St Johns County School System. Kitchen Bar Opens To Living Room And Dining Room. Split Floor-plan. Large Owner’s Suite With Walk-in Closet And En Suite Master Bath. Inside Laundry Room. NO HOA! Vermont Heights Neighborhood Park Is Just A Few Blocks Away With Playground And Basketball Court. Minutes to The Beach For Fun In The Sun!

  20. 2020-05-06
    historical Contingent- Accepting Backups 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    Perfect Starter Home! Or Downsize In A Country-like Setting. This Well Maintained 2 BR/2 BA+Office/3rd BR Home Offers Easy I-95 Access And Highly Rated St Johns County School System. Kitchen Bar Opens To Living Room And Dining Room. Split Floor-plan. Large Owner’s Suite With Walk-in Closet And En Suite Master Bath. Inside Laundry Room. NO HOA! Vermont Heights Neighborhood Park Is Just A Few Blocks Away With Playground And Basketball Court. Minutes to The Beach For Fun In The Sun!

  21. 2020-05-04
    listed $153,900 Active 491-char remark
    Show marketing remark (491 chars)

    Perfect Starter Home! Or Downsize In A Country-like Setting. This Well Maintained 2 BR/2 BA+Office/3rd BR Home Offers Easy I-95 Access And Highly Rated St Johns County School System. Kitchen Bar Opens To Living Room And Dining Room. Split Floor-plan. Large Owner’s Suite With Walk-in Closet And En Suite Master Bath. Inside Laundry Room. NO HOA! Vermont Heights Neighborhood Park Is Just A Few Blocks Away With Playground And Basketball Court. Minutes to The Beach For Fun In The Sun!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,918 · $160/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,984 · $165/mo
Expected delta
+$66/yr (+$5/mo · 3.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,168
− Mortgage interest
−$13,388
− Property taxes
−$1,918
− Insurance
−$1,195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,333
− Management
−$2,333
− Depreciation
−$6,953
Taxable income
$1,048
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$251
After-tax cash flow
$4,638/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Johns
NCES district ID
1201740
Math proficiency
75% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$66,842
Composite
64.31/100
National rank
#556
State rank
#2 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Augustine Shores

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,555

Population outlook (St. Johns County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
303,941 people
By 2030
342,590 · +12.7%
By 2040
417,328 · +37.3%
By 2050
487,011 · +60.2%
By 2075
635,395 · +109.1%
By 2100
717,469 · +136.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 4% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Johns

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.9% · R 65.2%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: -31.6pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+26.7 2016: R+33.4 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+31.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.87%
Current HPI
297.5438
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+61.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Relisted St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2026-03-16 Contingent St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2025-11-22 Price Changed $249,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2025-10-15 Listed $259,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2020-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $161,000 Public Records
  • 2020-06-15 Sold (MLS) $161,000 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2020-05-06 Contingent St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®
  • 2020-05-04 Listed $153,900 St. Augustine and St. Johns County Board of REALTORS®

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,918 · +15.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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