149 Murdock St · Canonsburg, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$35,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention Investors! The interior has been gutted and is ready for to be put back together with a two story entry! Dilapidated two car detached garage and upper level rear addition have been removed. Incredible Opportunity!
Key facts
- Two story entry
- Detached garage
- 4,356 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $35k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
- Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 57.8% vs local median 4.7% in Canonsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#127 in PA, #997 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F.
- Canon-Mcmillan SD (suburban): math 49% / reading 72% proficiency, ranked #66 of 539 in PA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 195 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $242 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 149 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (53%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 149 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.31% ✓
- Cap rate
- 57.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- 184.06%
- DSCR
- 9.19
- GRM
- 1.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $290,239
- List price
- $35,000
- Delta
- -87.94%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 236 W Pike St | 0.11mi | 4/5.0 | 3,268 (+8%) | 20mo | $500,000 | $153 | 55 |
| 1 Morgan St | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 3,070 (+1%) | 6mo | $200,000 | $65 | 55 |
| 328 Ridge Ave | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 | 2,588 (-14%) | 11mo | $363,000 | $140 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 9.53×
- Total profit
- $83,627
- Equity at exit
- $5,219
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 18.47×
- Total profit
- $171,218
- Equity at exit
- $3,026
Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15317
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 195
- Price-to-rent
- 1.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,209 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$184
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$44 /mo · $525/yr
- Insurance
- −$15
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$464
- Net cashflow
- $1,503
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,527 | -5% $1,515 | +0% $1,503 | +5% $1,491 | +10% $1,479 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,329 | -5% $1,416 | +0% $1,503 | +5% $1,590 | +10% $1,678 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,521 | -0.5pp $1,512 | base $1,503 | +0.5pp $1,494 | +1.0pp $1,485 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,750
- Closing costs
- $1,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 437 Greenwood Dr Canonsburg, PA | 3.0 | 3.5 | 2382 | $2,500 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 0.94mi |
Listing history 33 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $35,000 Active 149 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $35,000 Active 148 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $35,000 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $35,000 Active 146 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $35,000 Active 144 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $35,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $35,000 Active 139 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $35,000 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $35,000 Active 134 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 132 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 131 DOM
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2026-02-26price $65,000 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Attention Investors! The interior has been gutted and is ready for to be put back together with a two story entry! Dilapidated two car detached garage and upper level rear addition have been removed. Incredible Opportunity!
-
2026-01-19$75,000 Active 225-char remark
Show marketing remark (225 chars)
Attention Investors! The interior has been gutted and is ready for to be put back together with a two story entry! Dilapidated two car detached garage and upper level rear addition have been removed. Incredible Opportunity!
-
2024-08-30soldstatus $59,000
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2024-08-23soldstatus $59,000 Closed 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Lots of room throughout this house. With a little elbow grease these 3 bed/2.5 baths would make a grand home. House has 2 kitchen, 1 upstairs and 1 downstairs. Located on a corner lot, with a fenced yard. 2 car detached garage.
-
2024-07-27status Pending 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Lots of room throughout this house. With a little elbow grease these 3 bed/2.5 baths would make a grand home. House has 2 kitchen, 1 upstairs and 1 downstairs. Located on a corner lot, with a fenced yard. 2 car detached garage.
-
2024-05-13$59,900 Active 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Lots of room throughout this house. With a little elbow grease these 3 bed/2.5 baths would make a grand home. House has 2 kitchen, 1 upstairs and 1 downstairs. Located on a corner lot, with a fenced yard. 2 car detached garage.
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2024-05-02soldstatus $31,693 Closed
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2024-01-12status Pending
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2023-12-16$34,760 Active
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2021-06-17price $77,500
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2021-06-17price $77,500
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2021-01-21status Active
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2021-01-21status Active
-
2021-01-13historical Contingent
-
2021-01-13historical Contingent
-
2020-10-15$75,000 Active
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2020-10-15$75,000 Active
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2009-07-10soldstatus $55,000
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2009-07-03soldstatus $55,000
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2009-07-03price $59,900
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2009-02-11$55,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,507
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,961
- − Property taxes
- −$525
- − Insurance
- −$175
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,121
- − Management
- −$2,121
- − Depreciation
- −$1,018
- Taxable income
- $18,587
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,461
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,577/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Canon-Mcmillan SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204890
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 72% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $62,946
- Composite
- 52.63/100
- National rank
- #1557
- State rank
- #66 of 539 in PA
Livability — Canonsburg
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #127
- US rank
- #997
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Canonsburg, PA
- County
- Washington County · 106,469 people
- City population
- 43,871
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,871
- Household income
- $108,044
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 478.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Asian 3% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Slovak 3% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.61%
- Current HPI
- 256.016
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.29%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+18.2% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-26 Price Changed $65,000 West Penn MLS
- 2026-01-19 Listed $75,000 West Penn MLS
- 2024-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 2024-08-23 Sold (MLS) $59,000 West Penn MLS
- 2024-07-27 Pending — West Penn MLS
- 2024-05-13 Listed $59,900 West Penn MLS
- 2024-05-02 Sold (MLS) $31,693 BRIGHT MLS
- 2024-01-12 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2023-12-16 Listed $34,760 BRIGHT MLS
- 2021-06-17 Price Changed $77,500 West Penn MLS
- 2021-06-17 Price Changed $77,500 West Penn MLS
- 2021-01-21 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2021-01-21 Relisted — West Penn MLS
- 2021-01-13 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2021-01-13 Contingent — West Penn MLS
- 2020-10-15 Listed $75,000 West Penn MLS
- 2020-10-15 Listed $75,000 West Penn MLS
- 2009-07-10 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 2009-07-03 Price Changed $59,900 West Penn MLS
- 2009-07-03 Sold (MLS) $55,000 West Penn MLS
- 2009-02-11 Listed $55,000 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2026): $2,565 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…