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303 W Water St
C- Composite 54.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.2/30.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.1/15.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

303 W Water St · Olean, NY 14760
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,199 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1910 8,712 sqft lot $100/sqft · 8% above area Est $111k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This Great 4 Bedroom 2 Bath Home has a 1st Floor Bed & Bath for the folks that don't want to deal with climbing stairs. It's located on the corner of a dead-end lot and is ready for you to call your own! It has a 2 Car Garage that leads out into a Covered Porch Area where you can host all the summer parties!! It's Set-up with an Outdoor Kitchen and space for lots of tables & chairs that leads out to a huge back yard! Inside the house, most floors are hardwood underneath the carpet. With some modern updates, this house will become an amazing home!

Key facts

  • First floor bath
  • Nice-sized yard
  • First floor bedroom

Tags

QUIET DEAD-END CORNER LOTFIRST FLOOR BEDROOMFIRST FLOOR BATHNICE-SIZED YARDCOVERED SEASONAL ROOMSINK AND KITCHENETTE AREA

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with storage and workshop; One garage space
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Two-story home; Resale property; Composition roof; Vinyl siding; Block foundation
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Composition roof; Block foundation; Originally existing (previously built)
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 132 x 66

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Tile; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Separate/formal living room; Pull-down attic stairs; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement; Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $238 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#353 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Olean City School District (town): math 40% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #511 of 590 in NY (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cattaraugus County in 2024 (21 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cattaraugus County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $101k; 19% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $118,101 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
8.68%
Cash-on-cash
8.52%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$111,372
List price
$119,900
Delta
7.66%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1618 Avenue A 0.61mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,210 (+1%) 7mo $83,200 $69 59
314 Van Campen Ave 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,213 (+1%) 18mo $96,000 $79 57
1503 N Union St 0.32mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,134 (-5%) 20mo $79,900 $70 51
817 N 4th St 0.21mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,044 (-13%) 16mo $59,900 $57 50
302 N 9th St 0.65mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,224 (+2%) 14mo $95,000 $78 48
509 3rd Ave 0.72mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,172 (-2%) 22mo $56,000 $48 37
423 Fountain St 0.65mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,100 (-8%) 15mo $169,000 $154 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.87×
Total profit
$-4,203
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$16,051
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14760

Home prices YoY
-7.7%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,385 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$177 /mo · $2,126/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$291
Net cashflow
$238

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,083
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $306 -5% $272 +0% $238 +5% $205 +10% $171
Rent -10% $129 -5% $184 +0% $238 +5% $293 +10% $348
Rate -1.0pp $299 -0.5pp $269 base $238 +0.5pp $207 +1.0pp $176

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $119,900 Pending 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 16 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,900 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    status $119,900 Active 9 DOM
  7. 2026-05-13
    listed $119,900 Active 915-char remark
  8. 2021-12-05
    soldstatus $101,000 Closed Sale or Rented 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    This Great 4 Bedroom 2 Bath Home has a 1st Floor Bed & Bath for the folks that don't want to deal with climbing stairs. It's located on the corner of a dead-end lot and is ready for you to call your own! It has a 2 Car Garage that leads out into a Covered Porch Area where you can host all the summer parties!! It's Set-up with an Outdoor Kitchen and space for lots of tables & chairs that leads out to a huge back yard! Inside the house, most floors are hardwood underneath the carpet. With some modern updates, this house will become an amazing home!

  9. 2021-12-02
    soldstatus $101,000
  10. 2021-09-13
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    This Great 4 Bedroom 2 Bath Home has a 1st Floor Bed & Bath for the folks that don't want to deal with climbing stairs. It's located on the corner of a dead-end lot and is ready for you to call your own! It has a 2 Car Garage that leads out into a Covered Porch Area where you can host all the summer parties!! It's Set-up with an Outdoor Kitchen and space for lots of tables & chairs that leads out to a huge back yard! Inside the house, most floors are hardwood underneath the carpet. With some modern updates, this house will become an amazing home!

  11. 2021-08-31
    status Active 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    This Great 4 Bedroom 2 Bath Home has a 1st Floor Bed & Bath for the folks that don't want to deal with climbing stairs. It's located on the corner of a dead-end lot and is ready for you to call your own! It has a 2 Car Garage that leads out into a Covered Porch Area where you can host all the summer parties!! It's Set-up with an Outdoor Kitchen and space for lots of tables & chairs that leads out to a huge back yard! Inside the house, most floors are hardwood underneath the carpet. With some modern updates, this house will become an amazing home!

  12. 2021-08-16
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    This Great 4 Bedroom 2 Bath Home has a 1st Floor Bed & Bath for the folks that don't want to deal with climbing stairs. It's located on the corner of a dead-end lot and is ready for you to call your own! It has a 2 Car Garage that leads out into a Covered Porch Area where you can host all the summer parties!! It's Set-up with an Outdoor Kitchen and space for lots of tables & chairs that leads out to a huge back yard! Inside the house, most floors are hardwood underneath the carpet. With some modern updates, this house will become an amazing home!

  13. 2021-08-12
    listed $98,500 Active 565-char remark
    Show marketing remark (565 chars)

    This Great 4 Bedroom 2 Bath Home has a 1st Floor Bed & Bath for the folks that don't want to deal with climbing stairs. It's located on the corner of a dead-end lot and is ready for you to call your own! It has a 2 Car Garage that leads out into a Covered Porch Area where you can host all the summer parties!! It's Set-up with an Outdoor Kitchen and space for lots of tables & chairs that leads out to a huge back yard! Inside the house, most floors are hardwood underneath the carpet. With some modern updates, this house will become an amazing home!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,126 · $177/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,126 · $177/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,623
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$2,126
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,330
− Management
−$1,330
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$1,034
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$248
After-tax cash flow
$2,614/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Olean City School District
NCES district ID
3621720
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$40,365
Composite
34.81/100
National rank
#5104
State rank
#511 of 590 in NY

Livability — Olean

Score
72/100
State rank
#353
US rank
#5930

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Olean, NY
City population
17,272
Population (ZIP)
17,272

Population outlook (Cattaraugus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,623 people
By 2030
67,751 · -5.4%
By 2040
59,488 · -16.9%
By 2050
51,601 · -28.0%
By 2075
35,025 · -51.1%
By 2100
21,243 · -70.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cattaraugus

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.8) · D 33.6% · R 66.4%
2008→2024 swing
-22.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -32.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.8 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -19.85%
Current HPI
237.327
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+21.7% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-06-08 Relisted UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-22 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $119,900 UNYREIS
  • 2021-12-05 Sold (MLS) $101,000 WNYREIS
  • 2021-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $101,000 Public Records
  • 2021-09-13 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2021-08-31 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2021-08-16 Contingent WNYREIS
  • 2021-08-12 Listed $98,500 WNYREIS

Property tax history

+17.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,126 · -38.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…