15 237th St · Suwannee, FL
Flood risk 10/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$100,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Rare opportunity to own 3 contiguous lot in Suwannee, Florida. This property has an older mobile home on it that could possibly be restored. . It also has a couple of out buildings that could be used for storage or overflow. This would also be a perfect place to build or bring in a home or RV. Situated in a quiet neighborhood and within walking distance to anything in Suwannee. Call today before this one gets away!!!!!!
Key facts
- Walking distance
- Contiguous lot
- Out buildings
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-story (mobile/home style)
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Metal roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Corner, level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Refrigerator included; Total of 5 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $100k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Dixie (rural): math 52% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #36 of 73 in FL (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 262 active listings in the ZIP; 49 units permitted in Dixie County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Dixie County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $100k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.60% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.47%
- DSCR
- 2.09
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $360,640
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 154 SE 228th St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-3%) | 11mo | $349,000 | $280 | 56 |
| 65 SE 861st Ave | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,168 (-9%) | 23mo | $100,000 | $86 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 28.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $63,940
- Equity at exit
- $90,088
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.49×
- Total profit
- $181,634
- Equity at exit
- $194,278
Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32680
- Home prices YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 262
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,597 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$125 /mo · $1,500/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$335
- Net cashflow
- $144
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $213 | -5% $179 | +0% $144 | +5% $110 | +10% $75 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $18 | -5% $81 | +0% $144 | +5% $207 | +10% $271 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $195 | -0.5pp $170 | base $144 | +0.5pp $118 | +1.0pp $92 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $25,000
- Closing costs
- $3,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $100,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $100,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $100,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $100,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $100,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $100,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $100,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $100,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $100,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $100,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $100,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $100,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $100,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $100,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$100,000 Active
-
2024-03-28status Active
-
2023-12-12price $109,000
-
2023-10-11$119,000 Active
-
2023-08-10price $134,000
-
2023-05-17price $139,000
-
2023-01-20$149,000 Active
-
2019-08-20soldstatus $60,000
-
2004-04-12soldstatus $49,500
-
2003-09-21$49,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,169
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,602
- − Property taxes
- −$1,500
- − Insurance
- −$5,618
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,533
- − Management
- −$1,533
- − Depreciation
- −$2,909
- Taxable income
- $472
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$113
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,618/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and improvements to its exterior and roof, as well as general maintenance. The home is in poor condition and would benefit from a thorough renovation to increase its resale or rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Major Rusty metal siding — Significant rust and damage, likely unsafe and in need of replacement
- Major Metal roof — Missing shingles and visible rust, likely leaking and in need of replacement
- Major Fence — Overgrown vegetation and dilapidated condition, likely unsafe and in need of repair
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Repair and replace metal siding — New siding would improve the home's appearance and increase its market value
- Resale Replace metal roof — A new roof would prevent water damage and improve the home's overall condition
- Both Repair and replace fence — A new fence would improve the home's curb appeal and safety
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Rusty metal siding · Significant rust and damage, likely unsafe and in need of replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Metal roof · Missing shingles and visible rust, likely leaking and in need of replacement | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Fence · Overgrown vegetation and dilapidated condition, likely unsafe and in need of repair | Major | $15,000–50,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $45,000–150,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Repair and replace metal siding — New siding would improve the home's appearance and increase its market value ↑
- Resale Replace metal roof — A new roof would prevent water damage and improve the home's overall condition ↑
- Both Repair and replace fence — A new fence would improve the home's curb appeal and safety ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dixie
- NCES district ID
- 1200450
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,799
- Composite
- 42.18/100
- National rank
- #3290
- State rank
- #36 of 73 in FL
Livability — Suwannee
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,445
Population outlook (Dixie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 15,122 people
- By 2030
- 14,521 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 13,503 · -10.7%
- By 2050
- 12,671 · -16.2%
- By 2075
- 10,857 · -28.2%
- By 2100
- 8,344 · -44.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Dixie
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+70.4) · D 14.5% · R 84.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: -45.0pp · 2024: -70.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+70.4 2020: R+66.0 2016: R+63.2 2012: R+46.9 2008: R+45.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.22%
- Current HPI
- 424.0037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+102.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $100,000 DGLMLS
- 2024-03-28 Relisted — DGLMLS
- 2023-12-12 Price Changed $109,000 DGLMLS
- 2023-10-11 Listed $119,000 DGLMLS
- 2023-08-10 Price Changed $134,000 DGLMLS
- 2023-05-17 Price Changed $139,000 DGLMLS
- 2023-01-20 Listed $149,000 DGLMLS
- 2019-08-20 Sold (MLS) $60,000 NFMLS
- 2004-04-12 Sold (MLS) $49,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-09-21 Listed $49,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…