494 S Ocean Ave Unit 1M · Freeport, NY
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $2,026 – $9,024
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.8/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$209,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Totally Updated Unit In Mint Condition. Offers A Beautiful Open Floor Plan Filled With Natural Light. Hardwood Floors, Recently Painted, Large Living Room/Dining Room , Efficiency Kitchen Recently Updated, Granite Counter Top, Sink, Tiled Floor, Newer Appliances, Beautifully Renovated Bathroom And A Large Bedroom, Many Closets, Lots Of Windows, Close To Nautical Mile,, Additional information: Appearance:Mint++,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr
Key facts
- Parking for 1 car
- Natural light
- Open-plan living
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $209k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $307 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $209k).
- Recommended offer: $203k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 3.0% in Freeport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#69 in NY, #1,033 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Freeport Union Free School District (suburban): math 49% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #325 of 590 in NY (top 55%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Leo F Giblyn School (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B+, #525 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 541 students, 65% FRL); John W Dodd Middle School (math 16% / reading 41%, grade F, #569 of 729 statewide, top 78%, 986 students, 67% FRL); Freeport High School (math 82% / reading 85%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 2,264 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 824 units permitted in Nassau County in 2024 (153 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nassau County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($203k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $118k; list at $209k implies a 78% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $460/mo; built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.73%
- DSCR
- 1.70
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.76×
- Total profit
- $-14,003
- Equity at exit
- $31,163
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $14,287
- Equity at exit
- $18,071
Cash invested: $58,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 11520
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,799 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,096
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$261 /mo · $3,135/yr
- Insurance
- −$87
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$460 /mo · $5,525/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$588
- Net cashflow
- $307
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,250
- Closing costs
- $6,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 178 Pine St Freeport, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 745 | $2,588 | $3.47 | 3d | 3 | 1.08mi |
| 237 Porterfield Pl Freeport, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 659 | $3,100 | $4.70 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 74 Broadway Unit 3B Freeport, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 525 | $2,700 | $5.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-03-10status Pending
-
2026-01-21$209,000 Active
-
2018-07-19soldstatus $117,500 Closed 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Totally Updated Unit In Mint Condition. Offers A Beautiful Open Floor Plan Filled With Natural Light. Hardwood Floors, Recently Painted, Large Living Room/Dining Room , Efficiency Kitchen Recently Updated, Granite Counter Top, Sink, Tiled Floor, Newer Appliances, Beautifully Renovated Bathroom And A Large Bedroom, Many Closets, Lots Of Windows, Close To Nautical Mile,, Additional information: Appearance:Mint++,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr
-
2018-03-25status Under Contract 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Totally Updated Unit In Mint Condition. Offers A Beautiful Open Floor Plan Filled With Natural Light. Hardwood Floors, Recently Painted, Large Living Room/Dining Room , Efficiency Kitchen Recently Updated, Granite Counter Top, Sink, Tiled Floor, Newer Appliances, Beautifully Renovated Bathroom And A Large Bedroom, Many Closets, Lots Of Windows, Close To Nautical Mile,, Additional information: Appearance:Mint++,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr
-
2018-02-24$125,000 New 459-char remark
Show marketing remark (459 chars)
Totally Updated Unit In Mint Condition. Offers A Beautiful Open Floor Plan Filled With Natural Light. Hardwood Floors, Recently Painted, Large Living Room/Dining Room , Efficiency Kitchen Recently Updated, Granite Counter Top, Sink, Tiled Floor, Newer Appliances, Beautifully Renovated Bathroom And A Large Bedroom, Many Closets, Lots Of Windows, Close To Nautical Mile,, Additional information: Appearance:Mint++,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr
-
2016-10-03soldstatus $90,000 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
Sale May Be Subject To Term & Conditions Of An Offering Plan. Updated 1st Floor Unit., Additional information: Appearance:Mint,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr
-
2016-10-03soldstatus $90,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
Sale May Be Subject To Term & Conditions Of An Offering Plan. Updated 1st Floor Unit., Additional information: Appearance:Mint,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr
-
2016-07-08status Under Contract
-
2016-06-22$85,000 New
-
2016-06-21$85,000 173-char remark
Show marketing remark (173 chars)
Sale May Be Subject To Term & Conditions Of An Offering Plan. Updated 1st Floor Unit., Additional information: Appearance:Mint,Interior Features:Efficiency Kitchen,Lr/Dr
-
2016-05-22historical
-
2016-04-10$99,000 New
-
2013-10-31soldstatus $115,000
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2013-10-31soldstatus $115,000 Closed
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2013-07-11status Under Contract
-
2012-08-03$126,000 New
-
2012-08-03$126,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,593
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,707
- − Property taxes
- −$3,135
- − Insurance
- −$6,570
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,687
- − Management
- −$2,687
- − Depreciation
- −$6,080
- Taxable income
- $726
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$174
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,507/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Freeport Union Free School District
- NCES district ID
- 3611550
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $67,772
- Composite
- 46.12/100
- National rank
- #2507
- State rank
- #325 of 590 in NY
Livability — Freeport
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #69
- US rank
- #1033
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Freeport, NY
- City population
- 44,873
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,873
Population outlook (Nassau County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,409,302 people
- By 2030
- 1,431,482 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 1,471,607 · +4.4%
- By 2050
- 1,502,845 · +6.6%
- By 2075
- 1,575,403 · +11.8%
- By 2100
- 1,554,356 · +10.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 43% Black 33% White 19% Two or more races 17% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Dominican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 5% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 38% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nassau
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.9% · R 52.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.4pp · 2024: -4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+4.2 2020: D+9.5 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+8.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -721.06%
- Current HPI
- 317.6076
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+65.9% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-10 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-21 Listed $209,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-07-19 Sold (MLS) $117,500 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-03-25 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-02-24 Listed $125,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-03 Sold (MLS) $90,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-10-03 Sold (MLS) $90,000 MLSLI
- 2016-07-08 Pending — MLSLI
- 2016-06-22 Listed $85,000 MLSLI
- 2016-06-21 Listed $85,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-22 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-10 Listed $99,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-31 Sold (MLS) $115,000 MLSLI
- 2013-10-31 Sold (MLS) $115,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-07-11 Pending — MLSLI
- 2012-08-03 Listed $126,000 MLSLI
- 2012-08-03 Listed $126,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…