200 E 141st St · Dolton, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Garage
- Built 1948
- Listed 113 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Special service area: No
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 garage space, 1 total parking space)
- Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; One-story design (living areas primarily on main level); Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
- Construction: Vinyl siding and brick exterior
- Exterior features: Lot smaller than 0.25 acre; Lot dimensions: 1141
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (master bedroom located on the second level; other bedrooms on the main level)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; Seven total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($18k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $59k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 33.5% vs local median 9.3% in Dolton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#263 in IL, #4,883 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, schools F.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+9.7%/yr); 130 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,436/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 919% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($59k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $45k (41%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.75% ✓
- Cap rate
- 33.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 97.29%
- DSCR
- 5.33
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $117,523
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228 E 141st St | 0.06mi | 4/2.0 | 1,200 (+5%) | 1mo | $235,000 | $196 | 84 |
| 201 E 143rd St | 0.28mi | 4/2.0 | 1,129 (-1%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $84 | 81 |
| 14129 S Michigan Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,146 (+0%) | 4mo | $200,000 | $175 | 79 |
| 205 E 142nd Pl | 0.22mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,143 (+0%) | 3mo | $162,000 | $142 | 78 |
| 14234 S Michigan Ave | 0.29mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,102 (-3%) | 3mo | $114,000 | $103 | 74 |
| 14231 S Dearborn St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,116 (-2%) | 3mo | $178,000 | $159 | 71 |
| 14235 S Dearborn St | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,091 (-4%) | 4mo | $80,000 | $73 | 64 |
| 14135 S La Salle St | 0.46mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,210 (+6%) | 1mo | $60,000 | $50 | 61 |
| 14525 S Michigan Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+5%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $158 | 56 |
| 14102 S Clark St | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,272 (+12%) | 3mo | $90,000 | $71 | 54 |
| 13829 S State St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,000 (-12%) | 2mo | $80,000 | $80 | 53 |
| 506 E 144th St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,020 (-11%) | 2mo | $48,500 | $48 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.29×
- Total profit
- $96,359
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 15.49×
- Total profit
- $263,673
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60419
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Rents YoY
- 9.7%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,436 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$512
- Net cashflow
- $1,476
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,520 | -5% $1,498 | +0% $1,476 | +5% $1,453 | +10% $1,431 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,283 | -5% $1,379 | +0% $1,476 | +5% $1,572 | +10% $1,668 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,508 | -0.5pp $1,492 | base $1,476 | +0.5pp $1,459 | +1.0pp $1,442 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14124 Manor Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,390 | $1.66 | 25d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 13841 Forest Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,895 | $2.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 13810 S La Salle St #1 Riverdale, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,550 | $1.94 | 3d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 13708 S Wentworth Ave Riverdale, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,200 | $1.47 | 22d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 13604 S Wentworth Ave Riverdale, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 25d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1277 | $2,320 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 14916 Langley Ave Dolton, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1418 | $2,500 | $1.76 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 28 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-04-30status Active
-
2026-04-16status Pending
-
2026-04-08price $65,000
-
2026-03-24price $72,500
-
2026-03-11price $100,000
-
2026-02-25price $105,000
-
2026-02-11$110,000 Active
-
2026-01-30historical
-
2025-12-09price
-
2025-10-29Active
-
2019-01-25soldstatus $111,000
-
2006-10-05soldstatus $142,000
-
1992-05-15soldstatus $58,500
-
1983-09-01soldstatus $37,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,237
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,339
- − Management
- −$2,339
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $17,727
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,254
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,452/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — Dolton
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #263
- US rank
- #4883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dolton, IL
- County
- Cook County · 4,486,803 people
- City population
- 20,825
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,825
- Household income
- $57,887
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 919.0
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 91% White 4% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.88%
- Current HPI
- 193.2346
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 9.65%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+75.7% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Relisted — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $65,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $72,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-11 Price Changed $100,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $105,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-11 Listed $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-09 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-29 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2019-01-25 Sold (Public Records) $111,000 Public Records
- 2006-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $142,000 Public Records
- 1992-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $58,500 Public Records
- 1983-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.4%/yrLatest (2023): $7,235 · -18.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…