112 N Pine St · Townsend, MT
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.48%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.5/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming three-bedroom, two-bath mobile home with a spacious layout and great potential. The open living and dining areas provide a comfortable flow, while the kitchen offers ample cabinetry and workspace. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, with two additional bedrooms well-suited for a variety of uses. With some TLC and personal touches, this home presents a wonderful opportunity to add value and make it your own. Outdoor space allows for relaxation or additional enhancements. Property is being sold as-is. Convenient location.
Key facts
- En-suite bath
- Outdoor space
- Convenient location
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $140 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $198k (17.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $198k (17.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.1% in Townsend — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#41 in MT, #4,820 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Townsend K-12 Schools (rural): math 42% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #43 of 116 in MT (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 77 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2 units permitted in Broadwater County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Broadwater County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 155 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 155 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.51%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $275,603
- List price
- $240,000
- Delta
- -12.92%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Kelly Ln | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (0%) | 6mo | $140,000 | $115 | 65 |
| 209 N Cherry St | 0.32mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,072 (-12%) | 7mo | $249,000 | $232 | 55 |
| Lot 11 Canton Ln | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (+12%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $55 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-30,057
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-15,109
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59644
- Home prices YoY
- -19.5%
- Active inventory
- 77
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,985 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $829/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$417
- Net cashflow
- $140
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 708 S Walnut St Unit 1 Townsend, MT | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,985 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $240,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $240,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $240,000 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $240,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $240,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $240,000 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $240,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $240,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $240,000 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $240,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $240,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $240,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $240,000 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $240,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-04-11price $240,000 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
Charming three-bedroom, two-bath mobile home with a spacious layout and great potential. The open living and dining areas provide a comfortable flow, while the kitchen offers ample cabinetry and workspace. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, with two additional bedrooms well-suited for a variety of uses. With some TLC and personal touches, this home presents a wonderful opportunity to add value and make it your own. Outdoor space allows for relaxation or additional enhancements. Property is being sold as-is. Convenient location.
-
2026-04-11price $240,000 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
Charming three-bedroom, two-bath mobile home with a spacious layout and great potential. The open living and dining areas provide a comfortable flow, while the kitchen offers ample cabinetry and workspace. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, with two additional bedrooms well-suited for a variety of uses. With some TLC and personal touches, this home presents a wonderful opportunity to add value and make it your own. Outdoor space allows for relaxation or additional enhancements. Property is being sold as-is. Convenient location.
-
2026-03-24price $250,000 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
Charming three-bedroom, two-bath mobile home with a spacious layout and great potential. The open living and dining areas provide a comfortable flow, while the kitchen offers ample cabinetry and workspace. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, with two additional bedrooms well-suited for a variety of uses. With some TLC and personal touches, this home presents a wonderful opportunity to add value and make it your own. Outdoor space allows for relaxation or additional enhancements. Property is being sold as-is. Convenient location.
-
2026-03-24price $250,000 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
Charming three-bedroom, two-bath mobile home with a spacious layout and great potential. The open living and dining areas provide a comfortable flow, while the kitchen offers ample cabinetry and workspace. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, with two additional bedrooms well-suited for a variety of uses. With some TLC and personal touches, this home presents a wonderful opportunity to add value and make it your own. Outdoor space allows for relaxation or additional enhancements. Property is being sold as-is. Convenient location.
-
2026-03-09soldstatus
-
2026-01-15$260,000 Active 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
Charming three-bedroom, two-bath mobile home with a spacious layout and great potential. The open living and dining areas provide a comfortable flow, while the kitchen offers ample cabinetry and workspace. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, with two additional bedrooms well-suited for a variety of uses. With some TLC and personal touches, this home presents a wonderful opportunity to add value and make it your own. Outdoor space allows for relaxation or additional enhancements. Property is being sold as-is. Convenient location.
-
2026-01-15$260,000 Active 545-char remark
Show marketing remark (545 chars)
Charming three-bedroom, two-bath mobile home with a spacious layout and great potential. The open living and dining areas provide a comfortable flow, while the kitchen offers ample cabinetry and workspace. The primary bedroom includes an en-suite bath, with two additional bedrooms well-suited for a variety of uses. With some TLC and personal touches, this home presents a wonderful opportunity to add value and make it your own. Outdoor space allows for relaxation or additional enhancements. Property is being sold as-is. Convenient location.
-
2012-09-04soldstatus
-
1999-04-23soldstatus
-
1995-07-26soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $829 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,016 · $168/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,187/yr (+$99/mo · 143.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 48% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,820
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$829
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,906
- − Management
- −$1,906
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable loss
- −$2,446
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$587
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,273/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Townsend K-12 Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3004980
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,967
- Composite
- 37.1/100
- National rank
- #4497
- State rank
- #43 of 116 in MT
Livability — Townsend
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #41
- US rank
- #4820
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Townsend, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,337
Population outlook (Broadwater County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,873 people
- By 2030
- 5,921 · +0.8%
- By 2040
- 5,885 · +0.2%
- By 2050
- 5,690 · -3.1%
- By 2075
- 5,156 · -12.2%
- By 2100
- 4,301 · -26.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 10% Native American 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Slovak 4% Iranian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China, Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Broadwater
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+60.0) · D 18.4% · R 78.4% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.9pp toward R · 2008: -34.0pp · 2024: -60.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+60.0 2020: R+57.1 2016: R+56.9 2012: R+46.2 2008: R+34.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -68.29%
- Current HPI
- 281.3303
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
-7.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $240,000 BSCMLS
- 2026-04-11 Price Changed $240,000 MRMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $250,000 BSCMLS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $250,000 MRMLS
- 2026-03-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2026-01-15 Listed $260,000 BSCMLS
- 2026-01-15 Listed $260,000 MRMLS
- 2012-09-04 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1999-04-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1995-07-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $829 · -20.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…