1201 W Washington Ave #15 · Yakima, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 16 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$128,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Located in an all-ages community, this 2015-built home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, and spacious bedroom closets. With a modern layout and comfortable living space, it's the perfect place to call home!
Key facts
- Built 2015
- Listed 85 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $128k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $596 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $128k).
- Recommended offer: $120k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.9% vs local median 3.4% in Yakima — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#98 in WA, #1,912 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Yakima School District (urban): math 34% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #238 of 291 in WA (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 468 units permitted in Yakima County in 2024 (23 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $885 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Yakima County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 86 days — a 6% lower offer ($120k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 86 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.95%
- DSCR
- 1.89
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $65,640
- List price
- $128,000
- Delta
- 95.00%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1610 S 13th Ave | 0.27mi | 3/1.5 | 1,232 (-1%) | 8mo | $330,000 | $268 | 77 |
| 1306 W Washington Ave | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,147 (-8%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $144 | 72 |
| 1610 Queen Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,210 (-3%) | 4mo | $265,000 | $219 | 69 |
| 1504 Queen Ave | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,232 (-1%) | 4mo | $325,900 | $265 | 67 |
| 1801 Pleasant Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 | 1,376 (+10%) | 2mo | $300,000 | $218 | 66 |
| 1318 S 11th Ave | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,239 (-1%) | 4mo | $322,000 | $260 | 66 |
| 1103 Whatcom St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (-12%) | 6mo | $257,000 | $235 | 57 |
| 501 Whatcom St | 0.72mi | 3/1.0 | 1,216 (-3%) | 8mo | $275,000 | $226 | 52 |
| 1412 S 18th Ave | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,120 (-10%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $241 | 50 |
| 1024 Woodland Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,096 (-12%) | 5mo | $265,000 | $242 | 48 |
| 1519 Cornell Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,342 (+8%) | 7mo | $288,000 | $215 | 40 |
| 1318 S 18th Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,424 (+14%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $200 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $17,164
- Equity at exit
- $19,085
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.78×
- Total profit
- $63,650
- Equity at exit
- $11,067
Cash invested: $35,840 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98903
- Home prices YoY
- -21.8%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,742 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$671
- Tax from tax record
- −$56 /mo · $668/yr
- Insurance
- −$53
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$366
- Net cashflow
- $596
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,000
- Closing costs
- $3,840
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1106 Spokane St Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1400 | $1,795 | $1.28 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 809 W Washington Ave Yakima, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1264 | $1,595 | $1.26 | 13d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1900 W Mead Ave #1 Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,050 | $1.52 | 21d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1912 W Mead Ave #1 Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,795 | $1.49 | 21d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1418 Cornell Ave Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,800 | $1.80 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2600 Racquet Ln #4 Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1422 | $2,200 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 1401 S 4th Ave Unit 1 Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,495 | $1.13 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1606 S 1st Ave Unit 1 Yakima, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $1,250 | $1.37 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1117 S 22nd Ave Yakima, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 775 | $1,300 | $1.68 | 13d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 1917 Landon Ave Union Gap, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,100 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1512 Landon Ave Unit 1 Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2212 S 1st Ave Unit 1-3 Union Gap, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| Samantha Ct Union Gap, WA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1437 | $1,900 | $1.32 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 708 S 20th Ave Yakima, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $1,100 | $1.24 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 808 S 2nd Ave Unit A Yakima, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,495 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $128,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $128,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $128,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $128,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $128,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $128,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $128,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $128,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $128,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $128,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $128,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $128,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $128,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $128,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $128,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $128,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $128,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-03-25$128,000 Active 200-char remark
Show marketing remark (200 chars)
Located in an all-ages community, this 2015-built home offers 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, and spacious bedroom closets. With a modern layout and comfortable living space, it's the perfect place to call home!
-
2025-12-01price $130,000
-
2025-03-13price $145,000
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2025-02-12price $164,500
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2025-02-07$165,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $668 · $56/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,254 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$586/yr (+$49/mo · 87.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 16 unhealthy d/yr today · 19 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,901
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,170
- − Property taxes
- −$668
- − Insurance
- −$640
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,672
- − Management
- −$1,672
- − Depreciation
- −$3,724
- Taxable income
- $5,355
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,285
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,864/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Yakima School District
- NCES district ID
- 5310110
- Math proficiency
- 34% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,538
- Composite
- 34.04/100
- National rank
- #10305
- State rank
- #238 of 291 in WA
Livability — Yakima
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #98
- US rank
- #1912
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Yakima, WA
- City population
- 115,918
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,010
Population outlook (Yakima County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 256,514 people
- By 2030
- 259,403 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 265,677 · +3.6%
- By 2050
- 273,061 · +6.5%
- By 2075
- 296,991 · +15.8%
- By 2100
- 315,291 · +22.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 49% Hispanic / Latino 42% Two or more races 19% Asian 3% Native American 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 15% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 33% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Yakima
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 41.6% · R 55.9% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+7.7 2016: R+15.4 2012: R+15.1 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -83.90%
- Current HPI
- 300.5753
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
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Price history
-22.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-25 Listed $128,000 YAMLS
- 2025-12-01 Price Changed $130,000 YAMLS
- 2025-03-13 Price Changed $145,000 YAMLS
- 2025-02-12 Price Changed $164,500 YAMLS
- 2025-02-07 Listed $165,000 YAMLS
Property tax history
+0.8%/yrLatest (2026): $668 · -9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…