2725 W 49th St · Davenport, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$98,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Three bedroom ranch with large 2 car garage, central air, covered patio, sitting on over a half acre lot.
Key facts
- Large 2 car garage
- Over a half acre lot
- Covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $572 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.3% vs local median 4.4% in Davenport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#126 in IA, #2,312 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Davenport Community School District (urban): math 43% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #288 of 289 in IA (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 162 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 805 units permitted in Scott County in 2024 (479 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Scott County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.51% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.01%
- DSCR
- 2.11
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $206,684
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2514 Sheffield Dr | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,279 (+1%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $168 | 68 |
| 5300 Hillandale Rd | 0.34mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+2%) | 8mo | $339,900 | $261 | 64 |
| 4123 N Linwood Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 | 1,213 (-4%) | 1mo | $206,500 | $170 | 64 |
| 3705 W 46th St | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 1,257 (-1%) | 4mo | $195,000 | $155 | 60 |
| 3305 Covington Dr | 0.50mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,349 (+6%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $163 | 57 |
| 4650 Kelling St | 0.55mi | 3/3.0 (+1) | 1,202 (-5%) | 1mo | $300,000 | $250 | 56 |
| 4112 N Lincoln Ave | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,372 (+8%) | 2mo | $191,000 | $139 | 55 |
| 4036 Hillandale Rd | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,341 (+6%) | 4mo | $187,500 | $140 | 54 |
| 4614 Kelling St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,208 (-5%) | 12mo | $280,000 | $232 | 52 |
| 2205 Aspen Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,244 (-2%) | 17mo | $129,000 | $104 | 44 |
| 4480 Cheyenne Ave | 0.71mi | 2/1.0 | 1,200 (-5%) | 19mo | $182,000 | $152 | 38 |
| 2418 W 43rd St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,455 (+15%) | 18mo | $185,000 | $127 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.68×
- Total profit
- $18,745
- Equity at exit
- $14,612
- IRR
- 24.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.04×
- Total profit
- $56,030
- Equity at exit
- $8,473
Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52806
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 162
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,483 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$514
- Tax from tax record
- −$45 /mo · $539/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$311
- Net cashflow
- $572
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $627 | -5% $600 | +0% $572 | +5% $544 | +10% $516 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $455 | -5% $513 | +0% $572 | +5% $630 | +10% $689 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $621 | -0.5pp $597 | base $572 | +0.5pp $546 | +1.0pp $521 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,500
- Closing costs
- $2,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2806 W 47th St Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1164 | $1,700 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 4930 N Dittmer St Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,184 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 5556 N Thornwood Ave Davenport, IA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1715 | $1,800 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 5337 Villa Dr Davenport, IA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1650 | $1,995 | $1.21 | 14d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-04-08status Pending
-
2026-03-15$98,000 Active
-
2025-11-24historical
-
2025-10-15status Active
-
2025-10-15price
-
2025-10-15historical
-
2025-09-24historical Under Contract
-
2025-08-19price
-
2025-07-22Active
-
2021-08-06historical
-
2013-06-18soldstatus $96,000
-
2013-06-14soldstatus $95,900
-
2013-06-14soldstatus $95,900
-
2013-03-18$96,900
-
2013-03-18$96,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $539 · $45/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,039 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$500/yr (+$42/mo · 92.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,796
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,490
- − Property taxes
- −$539
- − Insurance
- −$490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,424
- − Management
- −$1,424
- − Depreciation
- −$2,851
- Taxable income
- $5,578
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,339
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,523/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Davenport Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1908580
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,157
- Composite
- 39.49/100
- National rank
- #3951
- State rank
- #288 of 289 in IA
Livability — Davenport
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #126
- US rank
- #2312
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Davenport, IA
- County
- Scott County · 144,583 people
- City population
- 103,319
- Metro
- Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,871
- Household income
- $74,297
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 735.0
Population outlook (Scott County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 188,878 people
- By 2030
- 196,648 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 210,860 · +11.6%
- By 2050
- 224,359 · +18.8%
- By 2075
- 258,884 · +37.1%
- By 2100
- 286,447 · +51.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Scott
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.3% · R 51.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.4pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: -3.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.9 2020: D+3.5 2016: D+1.4 2012: D+13.8 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -127.41%
- Current HPI
- 185.0808
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.80%
- Metro
- Davenport-Moline-Rock Island, IA-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+1.1% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-15 Listed $98,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-24 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-15 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-15 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-15 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-24 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-19 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-22 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-08-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 2013-06-14 Sold (MLS) $95,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-06-14 Sold (MLS) $95,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-18 Listed $96,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-18 Listed $96,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-8.3%/yrLatest (2025): $539 · +274.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…