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2201 N Craig Rd Lot 255
B+ Composite 76.81
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

2201 N Craig Rd Lot 255 · Airway Heights, WA 99224
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · Manufactured public records · 25 Days on market
Built 1983 Good condition 4,792 sqft lot $65/sqft · 10% below area Est $110k · 10% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover the ideal blend of comfort and affordable living in this updated and spacious double-wide manufactured home featuring 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and many updated features. Situated on a beautifully maintained lot, this home provides over 1,500 square feet of well-designed space, updated made just six years ago with a new roof, updated plumbing, insulation, and fresh skirting. The open-concept layout creates a welcoming environment ideal for entertaining. The kitchen is equipped with modern stainless appliances, including a dishwasher and dual ovens. The washer, dryer, and extra freezer are included. The main bedroom, complete with an ensuite bathroom and walk-in closet, provides both

Key facts

  • Fenced yard
  • Updated features
  • New roof

Tags

UPDATED FEATURESNEW ROOFUPDATED PLUMBINGFENCED YARDDEDICATED PARKING SPACES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Located in W. Prairie Village mobile home park (Lot 255)
  • HOA & community: Land lease: $632

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned parking
  • Utilities: High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Residential manufactured home; Manufactured house structure
  • Construction: Masonite siding; Composition roof; Block foundation; Skirted; Tie downs
  • Exterior features: Automatic sprinkler; Level lot; Fenced yard; City street and paved road frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Double oven; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Disposal; Trash compactor; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Electric forced air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Smart thermostat; Pantry; Utility room
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $980 ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $99k).
  • Recommended offer: $98k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.2% vs local median 3.1% in Airway Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#204 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Cheney School District (town): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #140 of 291 in WA (top 48%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Betz Elementary (534 students, 67% FRL); Cheney Open Doors (9 students, 33% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 382 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,608 units permitted in Spokane County in 2024 (1,792 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Spokane County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 25 days — a 2% lower offer ($98k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $97,515 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.07%
Cap rate
18.17%
Cash-on-cash
42.40%
DSCR
2.89
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$109,900
List price
$99,000
Delta
-9.92%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2201 N Craig Rd Lot 213 0.08mi 3/2.0 1,456 (-4%) 6mo $114,500 $79 81
2201 N Craig Rd #132 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,400 (-7%) 8mo $69,000 $49 68
2201 N Craig Rd Lot 131 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,296 (-14%) 3mo $109,900 $85 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.52% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.5%
Equity multiple
2.56×
Total profit
$43,340
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
43.3%
Equity multiple
4.83×
Total profit
$106,108
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 99224

Home prices YoY
-29.4%
Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
382
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,049 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $947/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$430
Net cashflow
$980

Break-even live

Break-even rent $809
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 47%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,036 -5% $1,008 +0% $980 +5% $952 +10% $923
Rent -10% $818 -5% $899 +0% $980 +5% $1,060 +10% $1,141
Rate -1.0pp $1,029 -0.5pp $1,005 base $980 +0.5pp $954 +1.0pp $928

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,000 Active 25 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,000 Active 24 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,000 Active 23 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,000 Active 22 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,000 Active 20 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,000 Active 19 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $99,000 Active 17 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,000 Active 16 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,000 Active 15 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,000 Active 14 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $99,000 Active 11 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $99,000 Active 10 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,000 Active 9 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,000 Active 8 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,000 Active 7 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    status $99,000 Active 6 DOM
  17. 2026-05-10
    status Pending 858-char remark
  18. 2026-05-04
    listed $99,000 Active 858-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$947 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$970 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$24/yr (+$2/mo · 2.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 14 unhealthy d/yr today · 15 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,590
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$947
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,967
− Management
−$1,967
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$10,788
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,589
After-tax cash flow
$9,165/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This updated double-wide manufactured home offers a good condition with a well-maintained exterior and interior. It is ready for a fresh coat of paint and some interior updates to maximize its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves aesthetics and is easier to maintain
  • Both Update kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizes the space and adds value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace carpet with hardwood or tile — Improves aesthetics and is easier to maintain
  • Both Update kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizes the space and adds value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Cheney School District
NCES district ID
5301230
Math proficiency
47% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,800
Composite
45.66/100
National rank
#5637
State rank
#140 of 291 in WA

Livability — Airway Heights

Score
73/100
State rank
#204
US rank
#5600

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Spokane County · 496,401 people
City population
9,440
Metro
Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
Population (ZIP)
24,919
Household income
$80,770
Rent vs Own
35.9% rent · 64.1% own
Severe rent burden
886.0

Population outlook (Spokane County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
531,314 people
By 2030
549,278 · +3.4%
By 2040
577,822 · +8.8%
By 2050
598,188 · +12.6%
By 2075
630,744 · +18.7%
By 2100
622,360 · +17.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3% Black 2% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Romanian 3% Slovak 3%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, China
Languages at home
91% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Spokane

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 46.0% · R 51.0% · Other 3.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.1pp · 2024: -5.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+8.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -131.96%
Current HPI
317.2242
Rent YoY
▲ 1.52%
Metro
Spokane-Spokane Valley, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Relisted SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-10 Pending SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $99,000 SPOKANEMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+8.6%/yr

Latest (2026): $947 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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