402 S Lafayette St · Jerseyville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming 1912 single-family home in the heart of Jerseyville, offering 1,516 sqft of living space across 1.5 stories with a full basement. Sitting on an oversized corner lot (20x115 + 50x115) in the established Lafayette Addition, just minutes from downtown, schools, shopping, and IL-267. The home has been vacant and is being sold strictly as-is, where-is - perfect for a buyer with vision who wants to add their own finishes and build instant equity. Great bones, classic early-1900s character, and a footprint that's hard to find at this price point. Recent neighborhood comps support an ARV of $130K-$145K. Cash, hard money, or renovation loans (203k / HomeStyle) welcome. Buyer and buyer's age
Key facts
- Full basement
- Lafayette addition
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area source: assessor
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached single-family home; 1.5-story layout; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Frame construction; Built more than 100 years ago; Property built before 1978
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions about 70 x 115; Lot under 0.25 acre
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen approximately 15 x 20
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms (all on the main level); Master bedroom approximately 12 x 12; Bedroom 2 approximately 12 x 10; Bedroom 3 approximately 10 x 10
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Five total rooms; Unfinished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 4.6% in Jerseyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#327 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Jersey CUSD 100 (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #260 of 620 in IL (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 90 active listings in the ZIP; 101 units permitted in Jersey County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($483 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jersey County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $23k; list at $70k implies a 204% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.6% of price; built in 1912 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1912 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.12%
- DSCR
- 2.16
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $174,340
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 400 S Arch St | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,567 (+3%) | 9mo | $179,900 | $115 | 77 |
| 201 W Barr Ave | 0.13mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,360 (-10%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $121 | 65 |
| 911 W Exchange St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,517 (+0%) | 4mo | $202,000 | $133 | 65 |
| 412 Cross Ave | 0.34mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,554 (+2%) | 11mo | $218,500 | $141 | 64 |
| 100 Morean St | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,590 (+5%) | 4mo | $169,000 | $106 | 62 |
| 703 Harrison St | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,623 (+7%) | 1mo | $139,900 | $86 | 60 |
| 419 E Exchange St | 0.55mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,561 (+3%) | 6mo | $85,000 | $54 | 57 |
| 300 Clay St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,304 (-14%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $69 | 57 |
| 209 W Spruce St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,363 (-10%) | 10mo | $210,000 | $154 | 56 |
| 506 Hiview Dr | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,335 (-12%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $105 | 55 |
| 900 Sarah St | 0.72mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-14%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $50 | 37 |
| 708 N Giddings | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,729 (+14%) | 10mo | $239,000 | $138 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.34×
- Total profit
- $65,293
- Equity at exit
- $62,971
- IRR
- 38.1%
- Equity multiple
- 9.74×
- Total profit
- $171,130
- Equity at exit
- $135,800
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62052
- Home prices YoY
- 10.2%
- Active inventory
- 90
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,303 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$208 /mo · $2,497/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$274
- Net cashflow
- $426
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $466 | -5% $446 | +0% $426 | +5% $406 | +10% $386 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $323 | -5% $374 | +0% $426 | +5% $477 | +10% $529 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $461 | -0.5pp $444 | base $426 | +0.5pp $408 | +1.0pp $389 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-13$69,900 Active 3 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,497 · $208/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,497 · $208/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,641
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$2,497
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,251
- − Management
- −$1,251
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $4,343
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,042
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,069/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jersey CUSD 100
- NCES district ID
- 1720430
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,066
- Composite
- 25.13/100
- National rank
- #7522
- State rank
- #260 of 620 in IL
Livability — Jerseyville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #327
- US rank
- #6498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jerseyville, IL
- City population
- 12,483
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,483
Population outlook (Jersey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,031 people
- By 2030
- 20,138 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 18,077 · -14.0%
- By 2050
- 15,882 · -24.5%
- By 2075
- 11,718 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 8,546 · -59.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jersey
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.1% · R 74.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.7pp · 2024: -50.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.2 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+23.9 2008: R+2.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.63%
- Current HPI
- 255.48
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+203.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-10 Listed $69,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1977-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2024): $2,497 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…