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1824 Mallard Dr Unit B
D+ Composite 46.98
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +8.8/15.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,900

1824 Mallard Dr Unit B · Callaway, FL 32404
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,736 sqft · Townhouse public records · 107 Days on market
Built 1983 $130/sqft · at area comps Est $232k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

SELLER OFFERING CONCESSIONS TOWARDS BUYERS CLOSING COST. Spacious water view townhome in Panama City offering strong value-add and rental potential! This 3BR/2.5BA unit at 1824 Mallard Drive B features over 1,700 sq ft of living space, a functional layout, and peaceful water views in a convenient location. Ideal for long-term rental, mid-term housing, or potential investment portfolio addition (buyer to verify rental restrictions). Close to shopping, schools, and major employers including Tyndall Air Force Base. Strong demand area with room for appreciation and cash flow upside--don't miss this opportunity! Some Interior photos are virtually staged.

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1983
  • Listed 107 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $136 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (14.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $193k (14.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 5.1% in Callaway — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#690 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Bay (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #29 of 73 in FL (top 40%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 969 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,473 units permitted in Bay County in 2024 (559 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bay County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 107 days — a 9% lower offer ($205k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $105k; list at $225k implies a 114% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $193,352 (14.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 107 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 14% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
7.02%
Cash-on-cash
2.59%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$231,630
List price
$224,900
Delta
-2.91%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.2%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-31,455
Equity at exit
$33,533
10-year hold
IRR
-8.5%
Equity multiple
0.51×
Total profit
$-30,728
Equity at exit
$19,445

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32404

Home prices YoY
-16.1%
Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
969
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,934 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,423/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$406
Net cashflow
$136

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,762
Max offer price $224,900
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
12013 Hauser Rd Panama City, FL 3.0 2.0 1456 $2,200 $1.51 13d 1 0.94mi
1007 Bayside St Panama City, FL 3.0 2.0 1520 $1,900 $1.25 13d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $224,900 Active 107 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $224,900 Active 106 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $224,900 Active 105 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $224,900 Active 104 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $224,900 Active 103 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $224,900 Active 101 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $224,900 Active 100 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $234,900 Active 98 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $234,900 Active 97 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $234,900 Active 96 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $234,900 Active 95 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $234,900 Active 92 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $234,900 Active 91 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $234,900 Active 90 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $234,900 Active 89 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $234,900 Active 88 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $234,900 Active 87 DOM
  18. 2026-05-13
    price $229,900 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    SELLER OFFERING CONCESSIONS TOWARDS BUYERS CLOSING COST. Spacious water view townhome in Panama City offering strong value-add and rental potential! This 3BR/2.5BA unit at 1824 Mallard Drive B features over 1,700 sq ft of living space, a functional layout, and peaceful water views in a convenient location. Ideal for long-term rental, mid-term housing, or potential investment portfolio addition (buyer to verify rental restrictions). Close to shopping, schools, and major employers including Tyndall Air Force Base. Strong demand area with room for appreciation and cash flow upside--don't miss this opportunity! Some Interior photos are virtually staged.

  19. 2026-04-27
    price $234,900 759-char remark
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    Welcome to 1824 Mallard Dr, Unit B, a well-maintained residence located in a quiet Panama City neighborhood. This inviting unit offers a functional layout with comfortable living spaces, ideal for homeowners or investors alike. Enjoy a bright interior with neutral finishes, ample natural light, and a seamless flow between living, dining, and kitchen areas. The property provides convenient access to shopping, dining, schools, and Tyndall Air Force Base, while still offering a peaceful residential setting. Whether you're looking for a primary residence, rental opportunity, or low-maintenance living, this property delivers excellent value in a growing area of Panama City. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this home has to offer.

  20. 2026-04-21
    price $234,900 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    SELLER OFFERING CONCESSIONS TOWARDS BUYERS CLOSING COST. Spacious water view townhome in Panama City offering strong value-add and rental potential! This 3BR/2.5BA unit at 1824 Mallard Drive B features over 1,700 sq ft of living space, a functional layout, and peaceful water views in a convenient location. Ideal for long-term rental, mid-term housing, or potential investment portfolio addition (buyer to verify rental restrictions). Close to shopping, schools, and major employers including Tyndall Air Force Base. Strong demand area with room for appreciation and cash flow upside--don't miss this opportunity! Some Interior photos are virtually staged.

  21. 2026-03-20
    price $239,900 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    SELLER OFFERING CONCESSIONS TOWARDS BUYERS CLOSING COST. Spacious water view townhome in Panama City offering strong value-add and rental potential! This 3BR/2.5BA unit at 1824 Mallard Drive B features over 1,700 sq ft of living space, a functional layout, and peaceful water views in a convenient location. Ideal for long-term rental, mid-term housing, or potential investment portfolio addition (buyer to verify rental restrictions). Close to shopping, schools, and major employers including Tyndall Air Force Base. Strong demand area with room for appreciation and cash flow upside--don't miss this opportunity! Some Interior photos are virtually staged.

  22. 2026-03-16
    price $249,900 759-char remark
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    Welcome to 1824 Mallard Dr, Unit B, a well-maintained residence located in a quiet Panama City neighborhood. This inviting unit offers a functional layout with comfortable living spaces, ideal for homeowners or investors alike. Enjoy a bright interior with neutral finishes, ample natural light, and a seamless flow between living, dining, and kitchen areas. The property provides convenient access to shopping, dining, schools, and Tyndall Air Force Base, while still offering a peaceful residential setting. Whether you're looking for a primary residence, rental opportunity, or low-maintenance living, this property delivers excellent value in a growing area of Panama City. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this home has to offer.

  23. 2026-03-03
    price $249,999 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    SELLER OFFERING CONCESSIONS TOWARDS BUYERS CLOSING COST. Spacious water view townhome in Panama City offering strong value-add and rental potential! This 3BR/2.5BA unit at 1824 Mallard Drive B features over 1,700 sq ft of living space, a functional layout, and peaceful water views in a convenient location. Ideal for long-term rental, mid-term housing, or potential investment portfolio addition (buyer to verify rental restrictions). Close to shopping, schools, and major employers including Tyndall Air Force Base. Strong demand area with room for appreciation and cash flow upside--don't miss this opportunity! Some Interior photos are virtually staged.

  24. 2026-02-16
    price $259,900 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    SELLER OFFERING CONCESSIONS TOWARDS BUYERS CLOSING COST. Spacious water view townhome in Panama City offering strong value-add and rental potential! This 3BR/2.5BA unit at 1824 Mallard Drive B features over 1,700 sq ft of living space, a functional layout, and peaceful water views in a convenient location. Ideal for long-term rental, mid-term housing, or potential investment portfolio addition (buyer to verify rental restrictions). Close to shopping, schools, and major employers including Tyndall Air Force Base. Strong demand area with room for appreciation and cash flow upside--don't miss this opportunity! Some Interior photos are virtually staged.

  25. 2026-02-09
    price $269,900 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    SELLER OFFERING CONCESSIONS TOWARDS BUYERS CLOSING COST. Spacious water view townhome in Panama City offering strong value-add and rental potential! This 3BR/2.5BA unit at 1824 Mallard Drive B features over 1,700 sq ft of living space, a functional layout, and peaceful water views in a convenient location. Ideal for long-term rental, mid-term housing, or potential investment portfolio addition (buyer to verify rental restrictions). Close to shopping, schools, and major employers including Tyndall Air Force Base. Strong demand area with room for appreciation and cash flow upside--don't miss this opportunity! Some Interior photos are virtually staged.

  26. 2026-01-26
    price $279,900 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (657 chars)

    SELLER OFFERING CONCESSIONS TOWARDS BUYERS CLOSING COST. Spacious water view townhome in Panama City offering strong value-add and rental potential! This 3BR/2.5BA unit at 1824 Mallard Drive B features over 1,700 sq ft of living space, a functional layout, and peaceful water views in a convenient location. Ideal for long-term rental, mid-term housing, or potential investment portfolio addition (buyer to verify rental restrictions). Close to shopping, schools, and major employers including Tyndall Air Force Base. Strong demand area with room for appreciation and cash flow upside--don't miss this opportunity! Some Interior photos are virtually staged.

  27. 2026-01-12
    listed $289,900 Active 657-char remark
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    Welcome to 1824 Mallard Dr, Unit B, a well-maintained residence located in a quiet Panama City neighborhood. This inviting unit offers a functional layout with comfortable living spaces, ideal for homeowners or investors alike. Enjoy a bright interior with neutral finishes, ample natural light, and a seamless flow between living, dining, and kitchen areas. The property provides convenient access to shopping, dining, schools, and Tyndall Air Force Base, while still offering a peaceful residential setting. Whether you're looking for a primary residence, rental opportunity, or low-maintenance living, this property delivers excellent value in a growing area of Panama City. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this home has to offer.

  28. 2026-01-12
    listed $259,900 Active 759-char remark
    Show marketing remark (759 chars)

    Welcome to 1824 Mallard Dr, Unit B, a well-maintained residence located in a quiet Panama City neighborhood. This inviting unit offers a functional layout with comfortable living spaces, ideal for homeowners or investors alike. Enjoy a bright interior with neutral finishes, ample natural light, and a seamless flow between living, dining, and kitchen areas. The property provides convenient access to shopping, dining, schools, and Tyndall Air Force Base, while still offering a peaceful residential setting. Whether you're looking for a primary residence, rental opportunity, or low-maintenance living, this property delivers excellent value in a growing area of Panama City. Schedule your showing today and explore the possibilities this home has to offer.

  29. 2025-07-28
    soldstatus $105,000
  30. 2025-07-25
    soldstatus $105,000 Closed
  31. 2025-07-17
    status Pending
  32. 2025-07-10
    price $127,500
  33. 2024-06-27
    listed $129,900 Active
  34. 2021-12-14
    historical
  35. 2007-12-13
    listed $149,000
  36. 2000-07-27
    listed $65,000
  37. 2000-07-25
    soldstatus $65,000
  38. 1998-04-01
    soldstatus $61,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,423 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,867 · $156/mo
Expected delta
+$444/yr (+$37/mo · 31.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 2/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 5% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,202
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$1,423
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,856
− Management
−$1,856
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable loss
−$2,198
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$528
After-tax cash flow
$2,157/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bay
NCES district ID
1200090
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$47,740
Composite
43.41/100
National rank
#3014
State rank
#29 of 73 in FL

Livability — Callaway

Score
64/100
State rank
#690
US rank
#14384

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Bay County · 163,593 people
Metro
Panama City, FL
Population (ZIP)
42,514
Household income
$74,708
Rent vs Own
30.8% rent · 69.2% own
Severe rent burden
1218.0

Population outlook (Bay County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
206,264 people
By 2030
217,740 · +5.6%
By 2040
238,738 · +15.7%
By 2050
255,545 · +23.9%
By 2075
288,295 · +39.8%
By 2100
288,638 · +39.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 12% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Vietnam, Mexico
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bay

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.4) · D 25.8% · R 73.1% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.6pp toward R · 2008: -40.7pp · 2024: -47.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.4 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.3 2012: R+43.6 2008: R+40.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.59%
Current HPI
263.7178
Rent YoY
▲ 1.12%
Metro
Panama City, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+276.9% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $229,900 CPARMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Price Changed $234,900 ECAR
  • 2026-04-21 Price Changed $234,900 CPARMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $239,900 CPARMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Price Changed $249,900 ECAR
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $249,999 CPARMLS
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $259,900 CPARMLS
  • 2026-02-09 Price Changed $269,900 CPARMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $279,900 CPARMLS
  • 2026-01-12 Listed $259,900 ECAR
  • 2026-01-12 Listed $289,900 CPARMLS
  • 2025-07-28 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2025-07-25 Sold (MLS) $105,000 CPARMLS
  • 2025-07-17 Pending CPARMLS
  • 2025-07-10 Price Changed $127,500 CPARMLS
  • 2024-06-27 Listed $129,900 CPARMLS
  • 2021-12-14 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2007-12-13 Listed $149,000 CPARMLS
  • 2000-07-27 Listed $65,000 CPARMLS
  • 2000-07-25 Sold (MLS) $65,000 CPARMLS
  • 1998-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $61,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,423 · -8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…