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3006 Bush River Rd
C+ Composite 61.19
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$170,000

3006 Bush River Rd · Seven Oaks, SC 29210
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,922 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 61 Days on market
Built 1974 0.39 ac lot Est $286k · 41% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Asking for Highest and Best. This home needs repairs. (3) Bedrooms, (2) Baths, Great room with fireplace and sky lights, dining area, formal dining room, formal living room, master bed room, office, (2) guest bedrooms, wheel chair ramp in the garage, on . 39 of an acre, fenced in back yard oasis with concrete decking and private inground pool. Plenty of space for your backyard Barbeque. Home needs renovations and repairs, priced to sell, this home will not qualify for FHA or VA financing. Some images were created in AI. Close to interstates, shopping, restaurant's, medical facilities, schools, etc. Disclaimer: CMLS has not reviewed and, therefore, does not endorse vendors who may appear in

Key facts

  • Close to interstates
  • Concrete decking
  • Fenced in back yard

Tags

FENCED IN BACK YARDPRIVATE INGROUND POOLCONCRETE DECKINGCLOSE TO INTERSTATESCLOSE TO SHOPPINGCLOSE TO MEDICAL FACILITIES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (main level); Two parking spaces total, including one garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family property; Main-level entry
  • Construction: Crawlspace foundation
  • Exterior features: Uncovered back porch; Vinyl exterior finish; Fenced yard (pool area fenced; rear yard fenced); Inground pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Galley kitchen; Formica countertops; Tile floor; Wood cabinets; Wet bar
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level with tub/shower, ceiling fan, private closet, carpeted floors; Second bedroom on main level with private closet and carpeted floors; Third bedroom on main level with private closet
  • Flooring: Carpet in living areas, formal living and dining, bedrooms, and great room; Tile in kitchen
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central heating (electric)
  • Interior features: Fireplace in the great room; Skylight in the great room; High ceilings in the great room; Ceiling fans; Recessed lighting; Wet bar; Compactor; Free-standing, self-cleaning range
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry in closet (electric); Heated space / mud room / utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $157k (7.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $157k (7.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#65 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lexington 05 (suburban): math 47% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #5 of 80 in SC (top 6%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Seven Oaks Elementary (math 27% / reading 28%, grade F, #416 of 597 statewide, top 70%, 520 students, 100% FRL); Irmo High (math 27% / reading 82%, grade C-, #130 of 196 statewide, top 69%, 1,307 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 27% district-wide (73 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 145 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $44k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $44k; list at $170k implies a 291% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $157,487 (7.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 7% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
7.98%
Cash-on-cash
6.02%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$286,378
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3023 Eastlawn Rd 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,932 (+0%) 8mo $287,500 $149 62
1018 Green Ridge Ln 0.46mi 4/2.0 (+1) 2,008 (+4%) 17mo $299,900 $149 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.1%
Equity multiple
0.81×
Total profit
$-9,196
Equity at exit
$25,348
10-year hold
IRR
6.5%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$25,055
Equity at exit
$14,698

Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29210

Home prices YoY
-32.2%
Rents YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
145
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,575 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$891
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $518/yr
Insurance
$71
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$239

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,273
Max offer price $170,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,500
Closing costs
$5,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
82 Fox Run Ln Columbia, SC 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1152 $1,599 $1.39 3d 17 0.56mi
601 St Andrews Rd Columbia, SC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1085 $1,395 $1.29 3d 19 0.98mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-05-19
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-04
    historical Active - Contingent
  3. 2026-04-27
    status Active
  4. 2026-04-17
    historical Active - Contingent
  5. 2026-04-14
    price $170,000
  6. 2026-04-08
    status Active
  7. 2026-04-01
    historical Active - Contingent
  8. 2026-04-01
    price $185,000
  9. 2026-03-29
    price $205,000
  10. 2026-03-19
    listed $214,000 Active
  11. 1993-05-01
    soldstatus $43,500
  12. 1993-05-01
    soldstatus $43,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$518 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$969 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$451/yr (+$38/mo · 87.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,898
− Mortgage interest
−$9,523
− Property taxes
−$518
− Insurance
−$850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,512
− Management
−$1,512
− Depreciation
−$4,945
Taxable income
$38
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$9
After-tax cash flow
$2,854/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lexington 05
NCES district ID
4502820
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
55% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$67,732
Composite
45.28/100
National rank
#2656
State rank
#5 of 80 in SC

Livability — Seven Oaks

Score
70/100
State rank
#65
US rank
#7742

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Seven Oaks, SC
County
Richland County · 389,530 people
Metro
Columbia, SC
Population (ZIP)
39,962
Household income
$50,871
Rent vs Own
63.7% rent · 36.3% own
Severe rent burden
2859.0

Population outlook (Lexington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
322,999 people
By 2030
342,356 · +6.0%
By 2040
377,715 · +16.9%
By 2050
406,984 · +26.0%
By 2075
465,447 · +44.1%
By 2100
485,674 · +50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 34% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Arab 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Lexington

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.5) · D 32.5% · R 66.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+4.6pp toward D · 2008: -38.0pp · 2024: -33.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.5 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+38.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -107.61%
Current HPI
226.2564
Rent YoY
▲ 5.00%
Metro
Columbia, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+290.8% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Pending Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Contingent Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Relisted Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Contingent Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-04-14 Price Changed $170,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-04-08 Relisted Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Contingent Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $185,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-03-29 Price Changed $205,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $214,000 Consolidated MLS
  • 1993-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records
  • 1993-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-13.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $518 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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