307 Washington Dr · Northfield, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.0/10.0
- Schools +6.6/10.0
- ARV discount +4.6/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$279,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Move-in ready bi-level tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac in desirable Northfield. This well-maintained home offers 3 full bedrooms and a full bathroom on the upper level, complemented by newer LVP flooring throughout the bedrooms. The lower level features an additional living room, full bathroom, and updated LVP flooring—perfect for entertaining, a home office, or guest space. Enjoy peace of mind with newer appliances (2021) and a newer roof. Step outside to a private, wooded backyard oasis complete with a brand-new pool installed in 2024, ideal for summer relaxation. A two-car garage adds convenience and storage. With thoughtful updates, flexible living space, and a serene setting, t
Key facts
- Brand-new pool
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Newer lvp flooring
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $280k).
- Recommended offer: $272k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 5.2% in Northfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#143 in OH, #2,208 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, crime A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Nordonia Hills City (suburban): math 72% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #71 of 656 in OH (top 11%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 17% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 69 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,114 units permitted in Summit County in 2024 (397 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,907/mo this rent would consume 53% of the median local household income ($89k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Summit County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $78k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($272k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $180k; list at $280k implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.40% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.74%
- DSCR
- 1.79
- GRM
- 6.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $262,922
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 247 Lowrie Blvd | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,148 (-9%) | 8mo | $256,100 | $223 | 71 |
| 9235 Lincoln Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 | 1,200 (-5%) | 9mo | $235,000 | $196 | 70 |
| 93 Fell Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (+8%) | 0mo | $280,000 | $207 | 65 |
| 256 Monroe Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,393 (+11%) | 3mo | $188,500 | $135 | 63 |
| 66 Vincent Ave | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,361 (+8%) | 1mo | $307,000 | $226 | 60 |
| 247 Houghton Rd | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,156 (-8%) | 12mo | $280,000 | $242 | 60 |
| 233 May Ave | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,248 (-1%) | 10mo | $285,000 | $228 | 59 |
| 9075 Mckinley Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-14%) | 10mo | $259,900 | $241 | 57 |
| 542 Houghton Rd | 0.60mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,266 (+1%) | 12mo | $265,000 | $209 | 54 |
| 90 Kennedy Blvd | 0.43mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,150 (-9%) | 13mo | $210,000 | $183 | 48 |
| 120 Fell Ave | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+11%) | 10mo | $250,000 | $179 | 47 |
| 106 Maple Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,092 (-13%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $169 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.36×
- Total profit
- $28,515
- Equity at exit
- $41,749
- IRR
- 18.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $120,123
- Equity at exit
- $24,209
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44067
- Active inventory
- 69
- Price-to-rent
- 6.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,907 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$342 /mo · $4,106/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$820
- Net cashflow
- $1,159
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 Eaton Ridge Dr Northfield, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 956 | $1,679 | $1.76 | 2d | 6 | 0.76mi |
| 185 Heights Ave Unit 1496098P Northfield, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $6,547 | $4.08 | 2d | 1 | 0.93mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-03-04status Pending
-
2026-02-13price $279,999
-
2026-01-29$289,999 Active
-
2020-06-25soldstatus $180,000
-
2013-01-31historical
-
2012-07-24$138,500
-
2011-07-31historical
-
2011-01-17historical
-
2011-01-17$149,900
-
2010-10-17$152,900
-
1993-02-01soldstatus $87,500
-
1989-01-06soldstatus $76,500
-
1985-04-19soldstatus $64,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,106 · $342/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,237 · $353/mo
- Expected delta
- +$131/yr (+$11/mo · 3.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,882
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$4,106
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,751
- − Management
- −$3,751
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable income
- $10,046
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,411
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,500/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nordonia Hills City
- NCES district ID
- 3905004
- Math proficiency
- 72% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $74,658
- Composite
- 66.26/100
- National rank
- #428
- State rank
- #71 of 656 in OH
Livability — Northfield
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #143
- US rank
- #2208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Northfield, OH
- County
- Summit · 539,389 people
- Metro
- Akron, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,917
- Household income
- $89,082
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13.4
Population outlook (Summit County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 546,583 people
- By 2030
- 544,028 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 531,363 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 514,923 · -5.8%
- By 2075
- 481,765 · -11.9%
- By 2100
- 432,265 · -20.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Black 6% Two or more races 4% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 14% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Summit
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.0) · D 53.0% · R 46.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.6pp · 2024: 7.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.0 2020: D+9.6 2016: D+8.2 2012: D+14.8 2008: D+16.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.75%
- Current HPI
- 198.7729
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+334.1% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-02-13 Price Changed $279,999 MLSNOW
- 2026-01-29 Listed $289,999 MLSNOW
- 2020-06-25 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
- 2013-01-31 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2012-07-24 Listed $138,500 MLSNOW
- 2011-07-31 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2011-01-17 Listed $149,900 MLSNOW
- 2011-01-17 Listing Removed — MLSNOW
- 2010-10-17 Listed $152,900 MLSNOW
- 1993-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $87,500 Public Records
- 1989-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $76,500 Public Records
- 1985-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $64,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,106 · +17.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…