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3213 Duco St
D Composite 43.89
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$12,900

3213 Duco St · Alton, IL 62002
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 690 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1951 3,994 sqft lot ↓ 46% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Who's looking for a rehab?? This home has a ton of potential but is not move in ready. It offers a large bedroom, spacious eat in kitchen, a living room and a full basement. This one is a total rehab. Being sold AS-IS, all personal property goes with the sale and will be buyers responsibility to remove. Seller will not provide any repairs, warranties or occupancy inspection.

Key facts

  • 3,994 sq ft lot
  • Built 1951
  • Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Owned by a bank (REO); Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Block basement
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Main-level kitchen
  • Bedrooms: One bedroom located on the main level
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
  • Interior features: Living room on the main level; Bonus room
  • Laundry & utility: Basement provides additional utility space

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $13k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $621 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($898 rent vs $13k).
  • Cap rate 64.0% vs local median 6.4% in Alton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#701 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities D-.
  • Alton CUSD 11 (suburban): math 12% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #544 of 620 in IL (top 88%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Alton High School (math 20% / reading 25%, grade F, #317 of 693 statewide, top 46%, 1,990 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 60% district-wide (60 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent is only 18% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $89 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $387 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $12,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.96%
Cap rate
64.03%
Cash-on-cash
206.19%
DSCR
10.17
GRM
1.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$77,970
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3404 Oak Dr 0.24mi 2/1.0 728 (+6%) 0mo $122,900 $169 79
3502 Oscar Ave 0.48mi 2/1.0 672 (-3%) 2mo $105,000 $156 72
3006 Watalee St 0.35mi 2/1.0 720 (+4%) 7mo $35,000 $49 71
510 Marsh Ave 0.42mi 2/1.0 726 (+5%) 1mo $31,700 $44 70
2814 Grandview Ave 0.30mi 2/1.0 756 (+10%) 0mo $69,900 $92 70
3311 Sherman St 0.58mi 2/1.0 710 (+3%) 2mo $75,000 $106 66
504 Goodfellow Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 740 (+7%) 9mo $58,000 $78 59
2614 Denny Ave 0.55mi 2/1.0 750 (+9%) 2mo $85,000 $113 58
3708 Coronado Dr 0.60mi 2/1.0 755 (+9%) 6mo $110,000 $146 52
3410 Fullerton Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 787 (+14%) 0mo $92,500 $118 47
3512 Wickenhauser Ave 0.61mi 2/1.0 791 (+15%) 5mo $105,000 $133 43
3432 Thomas 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 790 (+14%) 10mo $36,000 $46 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.68×
Total profit
$42,200
Equity at exit
$1,923
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
31.26×
Total profit
$109,312
Equity at exit
$1,115

Cash invested: $3,612 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62002

Home prices YoY
-33.6%
Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
169
Price-to-rent
1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$898 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$68
Tax est. 1.5%
$16 /mo · $194/yr
Insurance
$5
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$189
Net cashflow
$621

Break-even live

Break-even rent $113
Max offer price $12,900
Occupancy floor 26%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $630 -5% $625 +0% $621 +5% $616 +10% $612
Rent -10% $550 -5% $585 +0% $621 +5% $656 +10% $692
Rate -1.0pp $627 -0.5pp $624 base $621 +0.5pp $617 +1.0pp $614

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,225
Closing costs
$387
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1408 Willard St Alton, IL 1.0 1.0 568 $750 $1.32 44d 1 0.50mi
806 Center St East Alton, IL 1.0 1.0 620 $675 $1.09 2d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    status $12,900 Pending 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $12,900 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $12,900 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    remarks 377-char remark
  5. 2026-06-07
    listed $12,900 Active 3 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,782
− Mortgage interest
−$723
− Property taxes
−$194
− Insurance
−$64
− Repairs & maintenance
−$863
− Management
−$863
− Depreciation
−$375
Taxable income
$7,701
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,848
After-tax cash flow
$5,599/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alton CUSD 11
NCES district ID
1703600
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$46,257
Composite
11.34/100
National rank
#9710
State rank
#544 of 620 in IL

Livability — Alton

Score
64/100
State rank
#701
US rank
#14289

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Alton, IL
County
Madison County · 189,064 people
City population
29,543
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
29,543
Household income
$61,414
Rent vs Own
34.3% rent · 65.7% own
Severe rent burden
960.0

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
258,371 people
By 2030
251,523 · -2.7%
By 2040
233,640 · -9.6%
By 2050
213,042 · -17.5%
By 2075
165,255 · -36.0%
By 2100
123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 20% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -98.43%
Current HPI
194.7313
Rent YoY
▲ 8.24%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-46.2% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $12,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1990-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,245 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…