805 W Helen Ave · Christopher, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +3.4/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large 5 bedroom home in Christopher with 2 1/2 baths, large yard, 2 car attached garage, beautiful landscaping, front & rear decks, and storage building. None
Key facts
- 0.48 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1910
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.5-bath other listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $475 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $44k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,100 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Christopher USD 99 (town): math 9% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #520 of 620 in IL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Christopher Elem School (math 11% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,126 of 2,056 statewide, top 55%, 486 students, 0% FRL); Christopher High (math 5% / reading 5%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 214 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 61% district-wide (61 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 17 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.8% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.56% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 45.38%
- DSCR
- 3.02
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.84×
- Total profit
- $23,097
- Equity at exit
- $6,695
- IRR
- 48.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.73×
- Total profit
- $59,480
- Equity at exit
- $3,882
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62822
- Home prices YoY
- -4.8%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,151 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax from tax record
- −$180 /mo · $2,154/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $475
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-04-06price $44,900
-
2026-03-19price $49,900
-
2026-02-26$54,900 Active
-
2022-10-06price
-
2022-08-24price
-
2022-07-06status Active
-
2022-07-06historical
-
2022-07-06historical
-
2022-05-12historical Under Contract
-
2022-05-07status Pending
-
2022-04-15Active
-
2018-11-20soldstatus $78,000 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
Large 5 bedroom home in Christopher with 2 1/2 baths, large yard, 2 car attached garage, beautiful landscaping, front & rear decks, and storage building. None
-
2018-11-20soldstatus $78,000 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
Large 5 bedroom home in Christopher with 2 1/2 baths, large yard, 2 car attached garage, beautiful landscaping, front & rear decks, and storage building. None
-
2018-08-24$89,900 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
Large 5 bedroom home in Christopher with 2 1/2 baths, large yard, 2 car attached garage, beautiful landscaping, front & rear decks, and storage building. None
-
2018-08-24$89,900 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
Large 5 bedroom home in Christopher with 2 1/2 baths, large yard, 2 car attached garage, beautiful landscaping, front & rear decks, and storage building. None
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,154 · $180/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,154 · $180/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,809
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$2,154
- − Insurance
- −$224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,105
- − Management
- −$1,105
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $5,400
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,296
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,409/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Christopher USD 99
- NCES district ID
- 1700217
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,947
- Composite
- 12.67/100
- National rank
- #9606
- State rank
- #520 of 620 in IL
Livability — Christopher
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #1100
- US rank
- #20866
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Christopher, IL
- City population
- 2,437
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,437
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,954 people
- By 2030
- 36,828 · -3.0%
- By 2040
- 34,452 · -9.2%
- By 2050
- 31,855 · -16.1%
- By 2075
- 25,171 · -33.7%
- By 2100
- 18,462 · -51.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Slovak 6% Lithuanian 5%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.1% · R 74.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.8pp toward R · 2008: -2.8pp · 2024: -50.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.6 2020: R+47.5 2016: R+45.3 2012: R+16.8 2008: R+2.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -3.29%
- Current HPI
- 65.1454
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-50.1% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-06 Price Changed $44,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $49,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-26 Listed $54,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-10-06 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-24 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-06 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-06 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-07-06 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-12 Contingent — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-05-07 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-04-15 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-20 Sold (MLS) $78,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-11-20 Sold (MLS) $78,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-24 Listed $89,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-08-24 Listed $89,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+34.2%/yrLatest (2024): $2,154 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…