3732 E Flint Ln · Floral City, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$164,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
HUGE PRICE REDUCTION. Country living on 1.04 acre corner lot that’s close to city conveniences. With some improvements and elbow grease you can make this your own homestead oasis. Buffered on either side with trees and room to grow. 3 bed 2 bath mobile home with indoor laundry room and wood burning fireplace. 2023 AC. 2022 Drain field. SELLER WILL PROVIDE NEW ROOF AT CLOSING for added peace of mind. Fenced back yard with small dog run off large back deck. Well and Septic. No FLOOD ZONE. NO HOA. County maintained paved roads. Room for a pool and other exterior structures. Lots of parking. Bring your boat, RV and toys. 8 x 10 shed. CAN HAVE UP TO TWO HORSES. Close to forest riding trail
Key facts
- 1.04 acre corner lot
- Large back deck
- Fenced back yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Corner, level, rectangular wooded lot on a paved county road (approximately 1.04 acres)
Exterior
- Parking: Circular driveway; Paved driveway; Unpaved parking areas
- Utilities: Private well water; Septic tank
- Home design: Manufactured (double wide) home; Faces north
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Crawl space foundation; Built as a double wide mobile home (24' x 56')
- Exterior features: Dog run; Deck; Fenced (partial chain link); Outdoor pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
- Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Laminate counters; Open floorplan; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; High speed internet; Blinds and drapery/window coverings; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $239 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 3.6% in Floral City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#573 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Floral City Elementary School (math 47% / reading 52%, grade D, #1,088 of 2,144 statewide, top 53%, 389 students, 71% FRL); Inverness Middle School (math 52% / reading 48%, grade C, #254 of 571 statewide, top 45%, 1,017 students, 60% FRL); Citrus High School (math 34% / reading 51%, grade F, #264 of 667 statewide, top 41%, 1,503 students, 54% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 260 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 140 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 140 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.21%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $278,304
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9108 S Longbranch Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,186 (-5%) | 23mo | $265,000 | $223 | 63 |
| 8833 S Berkshire Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,352 (+8%) | 13mo | $229,900 | $170 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-11,498
- Equity at exit
- $24,587
- IRR
- 2.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $9,599
- Equity at exit
- $14,258
Cash invested: $46,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34452
- Home prices YoY
- -25.2%
- Active inventory
- 260
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,700 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,047/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $239
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,225
- Closing costs
- $4,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8954 S Deerstalker Ter Inverness, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1311 | $1,700 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 0.31mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $164,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $164,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $164,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $164,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $164,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $164,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $164,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $164,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $164,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $164,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $164,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $164,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $164,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $164,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-05-20price $164,900
-
2026-03-02price $184,900
-
2026-01-29$209,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,047 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,047 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,237
- − Property taxes
- −$2,047
- − Insurance
- −$824
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,632
- − Management
- −$1,632
- − Depreciation
- −$4,797
- Taxable income
- $230
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$55
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,812/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Floral City
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #573
- US rank
- #10898
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 8,170
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,729
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 5% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -105.43%
- Current HPI
- 312.8871
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-21.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $164,900 RACC
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $184,900 RACC
- 2026-01-29 Listed $209,000 RACC
Property tax history
+16.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,047 · +11.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…