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16335 Abbotts Pond Rd
D Composite 41.74
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$240,000

16335 Abbotts Pond Rd · Milford, DE 19963
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 980 sqft · Other · 191 Days on market
Built 1993 1.34 ac lot $245/sqft · 13% below area Est $276k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the charm of this well-maintained 1993 Fleetwood manufactured home, offering a cozy retreat on a spacious 1.34-acre lot. With 980 sq. ft. of living space, this single-wide home features three inviting bedrooms and a full bathroom, perfect for relaxation and comfort. Step outside to find a generous front and rear yard, ideal for outdoor gatherings or quiet moments in nature. The ample driveway provides off-street parking for up to four vehicles, ensuring easy access for you and your guests. This property combines the warmth of home with the potential for outdoor enjoyment, making it a perfect choice for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle, yet close to shopping and just 30 minutes to the area's resort beaches. Plenty of room for a shop / detached garage. No HOA fees or city taxes. Embrace the opportunity to create lasting memories in this delightful space!

Key facts

  • Ample driveway
  • Spacious lot
  • Generous front yard

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTGENEROUS FRONT YARDAMPLE DRIVEWAYOFF-STREET PARKING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-990/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $228k (5.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (16.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (16.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.6% in Milford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#61 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Milford School District (town): math 18% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #22 of 26 in DE (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Mispillion Elementary (math 13% / reading 27%, grade F, #76 of 105 statewide, top 72%, 561 students, 0% FRL); Milford Central Academy (math 21% / reading 36%, grade F, #17 of 36 statewide, top 46%, 1,068 students, 0% FRL); Milford Senior High School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #27 of 40 statewide, top 69%, 1,279 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 51% district-wide (51 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 208 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,354 units permitted in Sussex County in 2024 (344 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Sussex County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 191 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $240k implies a 991% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $199,500 (16.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 191 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
5.88%
Cash-on-cash
-1.47%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$275,822
List price
$240,000
Delta
-12.99%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.7%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-44,117
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
-11.1%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-45,063
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
70 Landlord-Friendly
State Delaware
70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Court of Common Pleas hears L&T; moderate-paced. No state rent control.

ZIP-level market 19963

Active inventory
208
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,995 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax est. 1.5%
$300 /mo · $3,600/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$419
Net cashflow
$-83

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,099
Max offer price $228,057
Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $83 -5% $0 +0% $-83 +5% $-165 +10% $-248
Rent -10% $-240 -5% $-161 +0% $-83 +5% $-4 +10% $75
Rate -1.0pp $38 -0.5pp $-21 base $-83 +0.5pp $-145 +1.0pp $-208

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
300 Lynx Ln Milford, DE 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1272 $1,995 $1.57 23d 1 1.01mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $240,000 Active 191 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $240,000 Active 189 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $240,000 Active 188 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $240,000 Active 187 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $240,000 Active 186 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $240,000 Active 185 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $240,000 Active 183 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $240,000 Active 182 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $240,000 Active 180 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $240,000 Active 179 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $240,000 Active 178 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $240,000 Active 177 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $240,000 Active 173 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $240,000 Active 172 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Active 171 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 170 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $240,000 Active 169 DOM
  18. 2026-04-25
    status Active 875-char remark
    Show marketing remark (875 chars)

    Discover the charm of this well-maintained 1993 Fleetwood manufactured home, offering a cozy retreat on a spacious 1.34-acre lot. With 980 sq. ft. of living space, this single-wide home features three inviting bedrooms and a full bathroom, perfect for relaxation and comfort. Step outside to find a generous front and rear yard, ideal for outdoor gatherings or quiet moments in nature. The ample driveway provides off-street parking for up to four vehicles, ensuring easy access for you and your guests. This property combines the warmth of home with the potential for outdoor enjoyment, making it a perfect choice for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle, yet close to shopping and just 30 minutes to the area's resort beaches. Plenty of room for a shop / detached garage. No HOA fees or city taxes. Embrace the opportunity to create lasting memories in this delightful space!

  19. 2026-04-16
    historical Active Under Contract 875-char remark
    Show marketing remark (875 chars)

    Discover the charm of this well-maintained 1993 Fleetwood manufactured home, offering a cozy retreat on a spacious 1.34-acre lot. With 980 sq. ft. of living space, this single-wide home features three inviting bedrooms and a full bathroom, perfect for relaxation and comfort. Step outside to find a generous front and rear yard, ideal for outdoor gatherings or quiet moments in nature. The ample driveway provides off-street parking for up to four vehicles, ensuring easy access for you and your guests. This property combines the warmth of home with the potential for outdoor enjoyment, making it a perfect choice for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle, yet close to shopping and just 30 minutes to the area's resort beaches. Plenty of room for a shop / detached garage. No HOA fees or city taxes. Embrace the opportunity to create lasting memories in this delightful space!

  20. 2025-12-03
    listed $240,000 Active 875-char remark
    Show marketing remark (875 chars)

    Discover the charm of this well-maintained 1993 Fleetwood manufactured home, offering a cozy retreat on a spacious 1.34-acre lot. With 980 sq. ft. of living space, this single-wide home features three inviting bedrooms and a full bathroom, perfect for relaxation and comfort. Step outside to find a generous front and rear yard, ideal for outdoor gatherings or quiet moments in nature. The ample driveway provides off-street parking for up to four vehicles, ensuring easy access for you and your guests. This property combines the warmth of home with the potential for outdoor enjoyment, making it a perfect choice for those seeking a peaceful lifestyle, yet close to shopping and just 30 minutes to the area's resort beaches. Plenty of room for a shop / detached garage. No HOA fees or city taxes. Embrace the opportunity to create lasting memories in this delightful space!

  21. 2002-06-06
    soldstatus $22,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,940
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$3,600
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,915
− Management
−$1,915
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable loss
−$5,116
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,228
After-tax cash flow
$237/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Milford School District
NCES district ID
1001080
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -19.00%
Median HH income
$51,794
Composite
22.18/100
National rank
#8162
State rank
#22 of 26 in DE

Livability — Milford

Score
62/100
State rank
#61
US rank
#16211

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
22,544

Population outlook (Sussex County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
248,853 people
By 2030
264,464 · +6.3%
By 2040
290,980 · +16.9%
By 2050
311,259 · +25.1%
By 2075
352,488 · +41.6%
By 2100
367,406 · +47.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 3% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Sussex

2024 margin
R (+11.0) · D 43.9% · R 54.9% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.4pp toward R · 2008: -8.6pp · 2024: -11.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.0 2020: R+11.2 2016: R+22.0 2012: R+13.0 2008: R+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -135.01%
Current HPI
227.2369
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+990.9% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-16 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-12-03 Listed $240,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2002-06-06 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $258 · +104.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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