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1773 Falls St
B- Composite 68.6
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +2.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0

$74,900

1773 Falls St · Niagara Falls, NY 14303
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 3,036 sqft · SingleFamily · 34 Days on market
Built 1930 Poor condition 6,987 sqft lot $25/sqft · 65% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Delayed showings until Friday 6/6/25 Investor and handymen special! Lots of potential with this mixed-use property that has been in the sellers family for many years. Cash only. Being sold as is. First floor was used for storage and office area. Second floor has an apartment. Walk up attic with extra room. Parking area accessible from back alley. Water is off and property has been winterized.

Key facts

  • Brick structure
  • Double lot
  • Investment property

Tags

SHORT-TERM RENTAL ZONEDOUBLE LOTOUTDOOR SPACEBRICK STRUCTUREREHABILITATION OPPORTUNITYINVESTMENT PROPERTY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Two total units in the building; Separate electric meters for each unit (2); Single shared gas meter
  • Financial info: Owner pays: other (see remarks); Rent includes: see remarks; Operating expenses (multi-unit) may include electric, insurance, maintenance (structure and general), trash, utilities, and water/sewer

Exterior

  • Parking: Parking available with two or more spaces; see remarks
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Two-story property; Resale condition
  • Construction: Existing construction (see remarks for details)
  • Exterior features: Rectangular residential lot with 60 x 116 dimensions; City street frontage

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas-fired hot water heating
  • Interior features: Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $360 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $73k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.1% vs local median 7.7% in Niagara Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#956 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Niagara Falls City School District (urban): math 26% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #578 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 74 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 167 units permitted in Niagara County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Niagara County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 34 days — a 3% lower offer ($73k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $75k implies a 96% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $72,653 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 34 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  3. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.48%
Cap rate
12.06%
Cash-on-cash
20.61%
DSCR
1.92
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$213,292
List price
$74,900
Delta
-64.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1773 Falls St 0.00mi 2/1.0 3,036 (0%) 9mo $38,200 $13 92
445 10th St 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 2,648 (-13%) 10mo $250,000 $94 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$10,821
Equity at exit
$11,168
10-year hold
IRR
21.8%
Equity multiple
2.86×
Total profit
$39,030
Equity at exit
$6,476

Cash invested: $20,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14303

Home prices YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
74
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,111 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax est. 1.5%
$94 /mo · $1,124/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$233
Net cashflow
$360

Break-even live

Break-even rent $655
Max offer price $74,900
Occupancy floor 63%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $412 -5% $386 +0% $360 +5% $334 +10% $308
Rent -10% $272 -5% $316 +0% $360 +5% $404 +10% $448
Rate -1.0pp $398 -0.5pp $379 base $360 +0.5pp $341 +1.0pp $321

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,725
Closing costs
$2,247
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1935 Niagara St Unit Upper Niagara Falls, NY 3.0 1.0 2685 $1,200 $0.45 15d 1 0.12mi
1361 Ashland Ave Unit 1F Niagara Falls, NY 1.0 1.0 3168 $950 $0.30 24d 1 0.87mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,900 Active 34 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,900 Active 33 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,900 Active 32 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,900 Active 31 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,900 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,900 Active 28 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $74,900 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,900 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,900 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,900 Active 23 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,900 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,900 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,900 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,900 Active 16 DOM
  15. 2026-05-15
    listed $74,900 Active 1197-char remark
  16. 2025-09-09
    soldstatus $38,200 Closed 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Delayed showings until Friday 6/6/25 Investor and handymen special! Lots of potential with this mixed-use property that has been in the sellers family for many years. Cash only. Being sold as is. First floor was used for storage and office area. Second floor has an apartment. Walk up attic with extra room. Parking area accessible from back alley. Water is off and property has been winterized.

  17. 2025-06-24
    status Pending 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Delayed showings until Friday 6/6/25 Investor and handymen special! Lots of potential with this mixed-use property that has been in the sellers family for many years. Cash only. Being sold as is. First floor was used for storage and office area. Second floor has an apartment. Walk up attic with extra room. Parking area accessible from back alley. Water is off and property has been winterized.

  18. 2025-06-04
    listed $34,900 Active 396-char remark
    Show marketing remark (396 chars)

    Delayed showings until Friday 6/6/25 Investor and handymen special! Lots of potential with this mixed-use property that has been in the sellers family for many years. Cash only. Being sold as is. First floor was used for storage and office area. Second floor has an apartment. Walk up attic with extra room. Parking area accessible from back alley. Water is off and property has been winterized.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,334
− Mortgage interest
−$4,196
− Property taxes
−$1,124
− Insurance
−$374
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,067
− Management
−$1,067
− Depreciation
−$2,179
Taxable income
$3,328
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$799
After-tax cash flow
$3,524/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive rehabilitation, including major repairs to the exterior, roof, and interior, as well as HVAC system replacement. Landscaping and curb appeal improvements are also needed to enhance its value.

Repairs flagged

  • Major brick facade — Significant wear and tear
  • Major roof — Visible damage and missing shingles
  • Major concrete foundation — Deteriorated and uneven
  • Major interior walls — Paint peeling and visible damage
  • Major HVAC system — Likely outdated and in need of replacement

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances visual appeal and first impressions
  • Both HVAC system replacement — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Exterior repairs and repainting — Restores curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both Interior repairs and painting — Enhances living space and property value

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
brick facade · Significant wear and tear Major $15,000–50,000
roof · Visible damage and missing shingles Major $15,000–50,000
concrete foundation · Deteriorated and uneven Major $15,000–50,000
interior walls · Paint peeling and visible damage Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC system · Likely outdated and in need of replacement Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 5 items $75,000–250,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Landscaping and curb appeal improvements — Enhances visual appeal and first impressions
  • Both HVAC system replacement — Improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Exterior repairs and repainting — Restores curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both Interior repairs and painting — Enhances living space and property value

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Niagara Falls City School District
NCES district ID
3620820
Math proficiency
26% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$32,488
Composite
24.5/100
National rank
#7655
State rank
#578 of 590 in NY

Livability — Niagara Falls

Score
60/100
State rank
#956
US rank
#18749

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Niagara Falls, NY
County
Niagara County · 157,377 people
City population
62,983
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
6,156
Household income
$45,646
Rent vs Own
55.7% rent · 44.3% own
Severe rent burden
230.0

Population outlook (Niagara County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
204,149 people
By 2030
197,900 · -3.1%
By 2040
182,239 · -10.7%
By 2050
165,198 · -19.1%
By 2075
129,416 · -36.6%
By 2100
96,222 · -52.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Two or more races 18% Hispanic / Latino 15% Black 12% Asian 4% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 12% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
3%
Languages at home
93% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Niagara

2024 margin
R (+14.9) · D 42.5% · R 57.5%
2008→2024 swing
-15.9pp toward R · 2008: 1.0pp · 2024: -14.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.9 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+0.6 2008: D+1.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.37%
Current HPI
311.8094
Rent YoY
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+114.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $74,900 WNYREIS
  • 2025-09-09 Sold (MLS) $38,200 WNYREIS
  • 2025-06-24 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2025-06-04 Listed $34,900 WNYREIS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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