116 Shady Ln · Monroe, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Spacious and well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1 full bath, 1 half bath home offering comfort, functionality, and room to spread out! This home features two separate living areas, perfect for entertaining, a home office, playroom, or additional family space. The layout provides a comfortable flow with generously sized bedrooms and convenient access to both bathrooms. Step outside to enjoy the fully fenced backyard — ideal for pets, gatherings, or relaxing evenings outdoors. An additional storage building offers extra space for tools, hobbies, or seasonal items, keeping your home organized and clutter-free. With multiple living spaces, a fenced yard, and added storage, this home checks all th
Key facts
- 0.28 acre lot
- Garage
- Built 1960
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $283 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 5.7% in Monroe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#128 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: East Ouachita Middle School (math 21% / reading 43%, grade F, #107 of 218 statewide, top 49%, 540 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 69% FRL vs 52% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 437 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.68%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $200,136
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 185 Horseshoe Lake Rd | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,596 (-1%) | 1mo | $137,000 | $86 | 75 |
| 211 Shady Ln | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,770 (+10%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $76 | 72 |
| 423 Birchwood Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,407 (-13%) | 12mo | $169,500 | $120 | 66 |
| 525 Woodhaven Dr | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 | 1,587 (-2%) | 15mo | $216,000 | $136 | 63 |
| 203 Horseshoe Lake Rd | 0.43mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,514 (-6%) | 4mo | $181,000 | $120 | 59 |
| 408 Birchwood Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-10%) | 24mo | $158,000 | $109 | 59 |
| 215 Laurel Grove Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,521 (-6%) | 11mo | $235,000 | $155 | 58 |
| 222 Laurel Grove Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-10%) | 6mo | $188,500 | $129 | 52 |
| 110 Holly Ridge Dr | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,497 (-7%) | 9mo | $185,000 | $124 | 50 |
| 530 Birchwood Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,455 (-10%) | 20mo | $167,000 | $115 | 46 |
| 202 Laurel Grove Dr | 0.55mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,673 (+4%) | 23mo | $225,000 | $134 | 44 |
| 206 Fairbanks Dr | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,851 (+15%) | 23mo | $235,000 | $127 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-4,666
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $19,048
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71203
- Home prices YoY
- -32.4%
- Active inventory
- 437
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,469 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,016/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$309
- Net cashflow
- $283
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323 Woodale Dr Monroe, LA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 962 | $1,120 | $1.16 | 43d | 8 | 1.28mi |
| 3200 Sterlington Rd Unit HC Monroe, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1112 | $1,150 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-14status Pending
-
2026-03-31price $140,000
-
2026-02-20$150,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,016 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,016 · $85/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,630
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$1,016
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,410
- − Management
- −$1,410
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $1,178
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$283
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,119/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ouachita Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201200
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,316
- Composite
- 32.14/100
- National rank
- #5791
- State rank
- #26 of 98 in LA
Livability — Monroe
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #128
- US rank
- #11948
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Ouachita Parish · 118,340 people
- City population
- 60,136
- Metro
- Monroe, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,354
- Household income
- $52,326
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2085.0
Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,370 people
- By 2030
- 165,520 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 167,652 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 166,699 · +2.0%
- By 2075
- 156,348 · -4.3%
- By 2100
- 134,102 · -17.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 48% White 45% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -99.01%
- Current HPI
- 206.1948
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Monroe, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
-6.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Pending — NELABOR
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $140,000 NELABOR
- 2026-02-20 Listed $150,000 NELABOR
Property tax history
+0.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,016 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…