1008 N Menze St · Casa Grande, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home! This charming, block constructed home is centrally located and in a cul-de-sac and also has no HOA! OWNED Solar system for energy efficiency. Inside you'll find a large living area leading to the kitchen, dining and family room. The family room has a wood-burning fireplace to provide winter ambiance. Large back yard with fencing. This home has had many recent updates including new exterior paint in 2019, New heat pump in 2021, new water heater in 2021, water softener installed in 2021, Gravel in front and back yard in 2019. Move on in and just make this home yours!
Key facts
- New heat pump
- Recent updates
- New water heater
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Current financing: Other
- HOA & community: No HOA fees
Exterior
- Parking: 2 covered parking spaces; 2 open parking spaces; 2-car carport
- Utilities: Public sewer; Private water company
- Home design: Single-family residence; Fee simple ownership
- Construction: Painted block construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Chain link fencing; Cul-de-sac lot; Gravel/stone front and back yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Refrigerator; Dishwasher; Laminate counters; Pantry; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Up to 3 possible bedrooms
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; 3/4 bath in primary bedroom; Laminate counters; Solar panels; Fireplace in family room
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup only
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $139 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (17.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $186k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.0% in Casa Grande — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#220 in AZ) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D+, amenities F.
- Casa Grande Union High School District (4453) (suburban): math 14% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #193 of 249 in AZ (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Evergreen Elementary School (math 13% / reading 18%, grade F, #864 of 1,109 statewide, top 78%, 51 students, 82% FRL); Casa Grande Middle School (math 7% / reading 12%, grade F, #197 of 218 statewide, top 91%, 645 students, 84% FRL); Casa Grande Union High School (math 18% / reading 25%, grade F, #217 of 381 statewide, top 57%, 2,132 students, 52% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 632 active listings in the ZIP; 38 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($68k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.65%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $277,473
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1445 E 10th Pl | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,604 (+5%) | 0mo | $290,000 | $181 | 70 |
| 1298 E Brenda Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (-8%) | 3mo | $303,000 | $215 | 68 |
| 1262 E Crown Cir | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,308 (-15%) | 3mo | $255,000 | $195 | 66 |
| 1156 E 12th St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,705 (+11%) | 4mo | $224,500 | $132 | 65 |
| 1116 E 11th St E | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,669 (+9%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $159 | 63 |
| 1456 E Holiday Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,604 (+5%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $168 | 61 |
| 1258 E Manor Dr | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,353 (-12%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $203 | 60 |
| 1580 N Himosa Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (+4%) | 4mo | $435,000 | $272 | 60 |
| 1180 E Brenda Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,736 (+13%) | 1mo | $225,000 | $130 | 57 |
| 1443 N Agave St | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,655 (+8%) | 4mo | $228,000 | $138 | 47 |
| 1237 E Paul Dr | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,690 (+10%) | 1mo | $320,000 | $189 | 43 |
| 1461 N Agave St | 0.71mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,738 (+13%) | 4mo | $290,000 | $167 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.6% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-24,665
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- 0.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $2,371
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85122
- Home prices YoY
- -22.4%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 632
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,858 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $659/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $139
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $267 | -5% $203 | +0% $139 | +5% $76 | +10% $12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-8 | -5% $66 | +0% $139 | +5% $213 | +10% $286 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $253 | -0.5pp $196 | base $139 | +0.5pp $81 | +1.0pp $22 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 38 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1007 N Menze St Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1539 | $1,580 | $1.03 | 7d | 1 | 0.02mi |
| 1025 N Menze St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1301 | $1,695 | $1.30 | 14d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 928 N Pueblo Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 26d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 846 N Pueblo Dr #138 Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1324 | $1,700 | $1.28 | 16d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 1131 E Trinity Pl Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $1,650 | $1.03 | 26d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 1437 E 12th St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1963 | $1,900 | $0.97 | 26d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 1467 E 12th St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1604 | $1,725 | $1.08 | 26d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 919 N Gilbert Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1630 | $1,850 | $1.13 | 0d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 344 N Pottebaum Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $1,519 | $1.31 | 0d | 4 | 0.68mi |
| 1100 N Brown Ave Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1609 | $1,950 | $1.21 | 0d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 920 E 4th St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,295 | $1.21 | 5d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 351 N Peart Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 962 | $1,687 | $1.75 | 0d | 12 | 0.79mi |
| 1620 N Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1090 | $2,640 | $2.42 | 0d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1013 E Doan St Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,700 | $1.52 | 26d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1715 N Peart Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1221 | $1,710 | $1.40 | 0d | 43 | 1.05mi |
| 801 E 2nd St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,650 | $1.38 | 26d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1161 E O'Neil Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,498 | $1.31 | 0d | 13 | 1.07mi |
| 75 S Trekell Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1035 | $1,750 | $1.69 | 0d | 18 | 1.08mi |
| 1565 N Wildflower Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 998 | $1,550 | $1.55 | 0d | 8 | 1.10mi |
| 1646 E Melissa St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1675 | $1,675 | $1.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1642 N Cameron St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1577 | $3,250 | $2.06 | 26d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1640 N Cameron St Unit 1640 Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1577 | $3,250 | $2.06 | 26d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1640 N Cameron St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $3,250 | $2.06 | 25d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1640 N Cameron St Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1577 | $3,250 | $2.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 18 S Boniface Ln Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1404 | $1,797 | $1.28 | 0d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1153 E Gabrilla Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1689 | $1,795 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 122 S Siena Ln Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1878 | $2,240 | $1.19 | 5d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1566 E Fletcher Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1441 | $1,875 | $1.30 | 22d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1567 E Fletcher Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1589 | $1,695 | $1.07 | 19d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1762 E Sycamore Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1273 | $3,500 | $2.75 | 26d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 1775 N Terrace Cir Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,699 | $1.04 | 16d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1251 E Jahns Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1810 | $1,995 | $1.10 | 0d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1256 E Jahns Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2094 | $2,199 | $1.05 | 7d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1666 E Lee Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1878 | $2,900 | $1.54 | 20d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1355 W Earley Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 3.0–4.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,633 | $1.31 | 0d | 108 | 1.34mi |
| 1575 E Lardner Dr Casa Grande, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1823 | $2,190 | $1.20 | 4d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1821 E Florence Blvd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1091 | $2,640 | $2.42 | 0d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 422 N Via Del Cielo Rd Casa Grande, AZ | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1090 | $2,635 | $2.42 | 7d | 30 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $225,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $225,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $239,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $239,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $239,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $239,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $239,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-25$239,000 Active
-
2023-08-07soldstatus $260,000 Closed 585-char remark
Show marketing remark (585 chars)
Welcome home! This charming, block constructed home is centrally located and in a cul-de-sac and also has no HOA! OWNED Solar system for energy efficiency. Inside you'll find a large living area leading to the kitchen, dining and family room. The family room has a wood-burning fireplace to provide winter ambiance. Large back yard with fencing. This home has had many recent updates including new exterior paint in 2019, New heat pump in 2021, new water heater in 2021, water softener installed in 2021, Gravel in front and back yard in 2019. Move on in and just make this home yours!
-
2023-08-07soldstatus $260,000
Show marketing remark (585 chars)
Welcome home! This charming, block constructed home is centrally located and in a cul-de-sac and also has no HOA! OWNED Solar system for energy efficiency. Inside you'll find a large living area leading to the kitchen, dining and family room. The family room has a wood-burning fireplace to provide winter ambiance. Large back yard with fencing. This home has had many recent updates including new exterior paint in 2019, New heat pump in 2021, new water heater in 2021, water softener installed in 2021, Gravel in front and back yard in 2019. Move on in and just make this home yours!
-
2023-07-20historical Under Contract Accepting Backups 585-char remark
Show marketing remark (585 chars)
Welcome home! This charming, block constructed home is centrally located and in a cul-de-sac and also has no HOA! OWNED Solar system for energy efficiency. Inside you'll find a large living area leading to the kitchen, dining and family room. The family room has a wood-burning fireplace to provide winter ambiance. Large back yard with fencing. This home has had many recent updates including new exterior paint in 2019, New heat pump in 2021, new water heater in 2021, water softener installed in 2021, Gravel in front and back yard in 2019. Move on in and just make this home yours!
-
2023-06-25price $260,000 585-char remark
Show marketing remark (585 chars)
Welcome home! This charming, block constructed home is centrally located and in a cul-de-sac and also has no HOA! OWNED Solar system for energy efficiency. Inside you'll find a large living area leading to the kitchen, dining and family room. The family room has a wood-burning fireplace to provide winter ambiance. Large back yard with fencing. This home has had many recent updates including new exterior paint in 2019, New heat pump in 2021, new water heater in 2021, water softener installed in 2021, Gravel in front and back yard in 2019. Move on in and just make this home yours!
-
2023-05-18price $270,000 585-char remark
Show marketing remark (585 chars)
Welcome home! This charming, block constructed home is centrally located and in a cul-de-sac and also has no HOA! OWNED Solar system for energy efficiency. Inside you'll find a large living area leading to the kitchen, dining and family room. The family room has a wood-burning fireplace to provide winter ambiance. Large back yard with fencing. This home has had many recent updates including new exterior paint in 2019, New heat pump in 2021, new water heater in 2021, water softener installed in 2021, Gravel in front and back yard in 2019. Move on in and just make this home yours!
-
2023-04-13$275,000 Active 585-char remark
Show marketing remark (585 chars)
Welcome home! This charming, block constructed home is centrally located and in a cul-de-sac and also has no HOA! OWNED Solar system for energy efficiency. Inside you'll find a large living area leading to the kitchen, dining and family room. The family room has a wood-burning fireplace to provide winter ambiance. Large back yard with fencing. This home has had many recent updates including new exterior paint in 2019, New heat pump in 2021, new water heater in 2021, water softener installed in 2021, Gravel in front and back yard in 2019. Move on in and just make this home yours!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $659 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,485 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- +$826/yr (+$69/mo · 125.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,296
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$659
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,784
- − Management
- −$1,784
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$2,204
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$529
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,200/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Casa Grande Union High School District (4453)
- NCES district ID
- 0401740
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,373
- Composite
- 15.38/100
- National rank
- #9319
- State rank
- #193 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Casa Grande
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #220
- US rank
- #21534
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Casa Grande, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- City population
- 69,701
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 61,624
- Household income
- $68,443
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1250.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 44% White 42% Two or more races 21% Black 4% Native American 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 40%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 23% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -67.32%
- Current HPI
- 233.148
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.60%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
||
Price history
-13.1% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $239,000 ARMLS
- 2023-08-07 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
- 2023-08-07 Sold (MLS) $260,000 ARMLS
- 2023-07-20 Contingent — ARMLS
- 2023-06-25 Price Changed $260,000 ARMLS
- 2023-05-18 Price Changed $270,000 ARMLS
- 2023-04-13 Listed $275,000 ARMLS
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $659 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…