Triplex
1120 5th Ave Ave NW · East Grand Forks, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 12 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- ARV discount +3.8/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Fully rented 8 bedroom tri-plex located in EGF. 3 bedroom/1 bath, 3 bedroom/1.5 bath, and 2 bedroom/1 bath. Annual gross $39,180.
Key facts
- 7,000 sq ft lot
- Listed 122 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×3bd/1ba + 1×3bd/1.5ba + 1×2bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $240k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($19k/yr) — positive. Per door: $517/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $211k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 3.1% in East Grand Forks — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#167 in MN, #3,598 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, commute F.
- East Grand Forks Public School District (suburban): math 42% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #168 of 301 in MN (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 57 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 42 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,060/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($83k/yr) (locally 276% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 123 days — a 12% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $120k; list at $240k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 123 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.68%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $221,460
- List price
- $239,900
- Delta
- 8.33%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.89×
- Total profit
- $59,876
- Equity at exit
- $35,770
- IRR
- 29.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.67×
- Total profit
- $179,465
- Equity at exit
- $20,742
Cash invested: $67,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56721
- Active inventory
- 57
- Price-to-rent
- 13.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,060 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,258
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$300 /mo · $3,598/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$853
- Net cashflow
- $1,550
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,715 | -5% $1,632 | +0% $1,550 | +5% $1,467 | +10% $1,384 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,229 | -5% $1,389 | +0% $1,550 | +5% $1,710 | +10% $1,870 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,670 | -0.5pp $1,611 | base $1,550 | +0.5pp $1,487 | +1.0pp $1,424 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $1,475 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1.5 | $1,475 |
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,109 |
| Total (3 units) | $4,060 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,975
- Closing costs
- $7,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 31 events
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2026-06-19days on market $239,900 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $239,900 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $239,900 Active 121 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $239,900 Active 120 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $239,900 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $239,900 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $239,900 Active 116 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $239,900 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $239,900 Active 113 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $239,900 Active 112 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $239,900 Active 111 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $239,900 Active 107 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $239,900 Active 106 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $239,900 Active 105 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $239,900 Active 104 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $239,900 Active 103 DOM
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2026-02-16$239,900 Active 129-char remark
Show marketing remark (129 chars)
Fully rented 8 bedroom tri-plex located in EGF. 3 bedroom/1 bath, 3 bedroom/1.5 bath, and 2 bedroom/1 bath. Annual gross $39,180.
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2024-05-17price $249,000
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2024-05-16$249,900 Active
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2023-11-01status Active
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2023-10-04price $280,000
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2023-10-02status Active
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2023-02-20$294,900
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2022-02-04soldstatus
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2022-02-04soldstatus $120,000 Sold
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2021-12-08status Pending
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2021-11-28historical Contingent - Inspection
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2021-11-15price $130,000
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2021-10-26$130,000
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2021-10-26$135,000 Active
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2019-08-30$215,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 12 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $48,720
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,438
- − Property taxes
- −$3,598
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,898
- − Management
- −$3,898
- − Depreciation
- −$6,979
- Taxable income
- $15,710
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,770
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,824/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 11 photos
The property requires moderate renovations, focusing on updating the kitchen, bathrooms, and interior paint. These improvements will significantly enhance its value for both resale and rental purposes.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance and need for cleaning.
- Moderate Bathroom fixtures — Dated and need replacement.
- Minor Paint — Faded in some areas, could be refreshed with a fresh coat.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint enhances the home's appearance and can increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Replace dated bathroom fixtures — New fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics, boosting both resale and rental appeal.
- Both Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets can significantly improve the kitchen's functionality and appearance, enhancing both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance and need for cleaning. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Dated and need replacement. | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| Paint · Faded in some areas, could be refreshed with a fresh coat. | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls and trim — Fresh paint enhances the home's appearance and can increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Replace dated bathroom fixtures — New fixtures improve functionality and aesthetics, boosting both resale and rental appeal. ↑
- Both Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets can significantly improve the kitchen's functionality and appearance, enhancing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Grand Forks Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2711130
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,956
- Composite
- 39.6/100
- National rank
- #3924
- State rank
- #168 of 301 in MN
Livability — East Grand Forks
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #3598
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Grand Forks, MN
- County
- Polk County · 10,679 people
- City population
- 10,679
- Metro
- Grand Forks, ND-MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,679
- Household income
- $82,525
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 276.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,123 people
- By 2030
- 30,720 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 29,806 · -4.2%
- By 2050
- 29,022 · -6.8%
- By 2075
- 27,972 · -10.1%
- By 2100
- 26,953 · -13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 31% Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.8) · D 32.3% · R 66.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.3pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -33.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.8 2020: R+28.4 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+5.8 2008: D+4.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -120.89%
- Current HPI
- 176.3062
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Grand Forks, ND-MN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
+11.6% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-16 Listed $239,900 GFAAR
- 2024-05-17 Price Changed $249,000 GFAAR
- 2024-05-16 Listed $249,900 GFAAR
- 2023-11-01 Relisted — GFAAR
- 2023-10-04 Price Changed $280,000 GFAAR
- 2023-10-02 Relisted — GFAAR
- 2023-02-20 Listed $294,900 GFAAR
- 2022-02-04 Sold (MLS) $120,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-02-04 Sold (MLS) — GFAAR
- 2021-12-08 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-28 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-11-15 Price Changed $130,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-26 Listed $135,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-10-26 Listed $130,000 GFAAR
- 2019-08-30 Listed $215,000 GFAAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…