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921 Lincoln St
C Composite 57.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

921 Lincoln St · Chester, PA 19013
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,024 sqft · Townhouse public records · 227 Days on market
Built 1940 1,307 sqft lot $132/sqft · 76% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great investment opportunity in Chester. 921 Lincoln Street offers rental potential or a fantastic chance for a first-time buyer looking to build equity. This property features a functional layout, 3 spacious bedrooms, and a large dining room. Conveniently located near Widener University and public transit.

Key facts

  • Rental potential
  • Large dining room
  • Functional layout

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYRENTAL POTENTIALFUNCTIONAL LAYOUTLARGE DINING ROOMCONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $272 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#540 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Chester-Upland SD (suburban): math 4% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #533 of 539 in PA (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.9%/yr); 140 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 299 units permitted in Delaware County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,605/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($41k/yr) (locally 2668% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.9% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 227 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $19k; list at $135k implies a 611% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $118,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 227 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
8.71%
Cash-on-cash
8.62%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$76,729
List price
$135,000
Delta
75.94%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
920 Butler St 0.04mi 3/1.0 1,024 (0%) 3mo $143,100 $140 95
920 Pennell St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,042 (+2%) 5mo $55,000 $53 81
1213 W 9th St 0.27mi 3/1.0 992 (-3%) 8mo $135,000 $136 76
610 W 8th St 0.19mi 3/1.0 1,104 (+8%) 5mo $49,900 $45 74
1120 W 9th St 0.21mi 3/1.0 932 (-9%) 5mo $45,000 $48 71
1124 W 9th St 0.22mi 3/1.0 932 (-9%) 7mo $56,500 $61 69
930 Pennell St 0.25mi 3/1.0 932 (-9%) 8mo $76,000 $82 66
215 8th St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,023 (-0%) 3mo $145,000 $142 59
224 Pennell St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,134 (+11%) 1mo $60,000 $53 52
1009 Mulberry St 0.73mi 3/1.5 1,078 (+5%) 5mo $215,000 $199 51
225 9th St Unit UPLAND 0.70mi 3/1.0 1,120 (+9%) 7mo $160,000 $143 46
1016 Hill St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 946 (-8%) 6mo $145,000 $153 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.88% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$2,001
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
14.7%
Equity multiple
2.41×
Total profit
$53,223
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 19013

Rents YoY
6.9%
Active inventory
140
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,605 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$232 /mo · $2,787/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$337
Net cashflow
$272

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,261
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $348 -5% $310 +0% $272 +5% $233 +10% $195
Rent -10% $145 -5% $208 +0% $272 +5% $335 +10% $398
Rate -1.0pp $340 -0.5pp $306 base $272 +0.5pp $237 +1.0pp $201

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
925 W 3rd St Chester, PA 4.0 1.0 1500 $1,700 $1.13 19d 1 0.45mi
418 Penn St Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,350 $1.08 44d 1 0.57mi
330 W 21st St Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 1152 $1,500 $1.30 44d 1 0.83mi
814 Upland St Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 1344 $1,525 $1.13 8d 1 0.98mi
125 W 21st St Chester, PA 4.0 1.5 1152 $1,850 $1.61 25d 1 1.04mi
1224 Elson Rd Brookhaven, PA 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,900 $1.58 18d 1 1.10mi
1315 Harshaw Rd Brookhaven, PA 3.0 2.5 1260 $2,395 $1.90 2d 1 1.10mi
13 E 21st St Unit A Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,250 $1.39 44d 1 1.16mi
25 W Parkway Ave Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 1324 $1,600 $1.21 6d 1 1.16mi
1127 Walnut St Chester, PA 4.0 1.5 1312 $1,600 $1.22 8d 1 1.18mi
1127 Ward St Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 8d 1 1.21mi
30 W Roland Rd Brookhaven, PA 3.0 1.0 1424 $1,695 $1.19 44d 1 1.22mi
2219 Madison St Unit B Chester, PA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 44d 1 1.27mi
2607 Edgmont Ave Unit 2F Brookhaven, PA 2.0 1.0 850 $1,600 $1.88 25d 1 1.29mi
425 Highland Ave Apt A Chester, PA 2.0 1.5 990 $1,000 $1.01 21d 1 1.39mi
314 E 24th St Chester, PA 2.0 1.0–1.5 800 $1,500 $1.88 5d 13 1.44mi
1211 Johnson St Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 882 $1,500 $1.70 3d 1 1.44mi
280 Bridgewater Rd Brookhaven, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 775 $1,695 $2.19 6d 4 1.46mi
280 Bridgewater Rd Brookhaven, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 775 $1,800 $2.32 25d 2 1.46mi
2832 W 6th St Unit 306 Chester, PA 3.0 1.0 1428 $1,500 $1.05 5d 1 1.46mi
2701 Madison St Chester, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0 860 $1,533 $1.78 2d 10 1.48mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 227 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 224 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 223 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 222 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 221 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 219 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 218 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 215 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 214 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 213 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $135,000 Active 210 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $135,000 Active 209 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 208 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 207 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $135,000 Active 206 DOM
  16. 2025-11-06
    listed $135,000 Active 308-char remark
    Show marketing remark (308 chars)

    Great investment opportunity in Chester. 921 Lincoln Street offers rental potential or a fantastic chance for a first-time buyer looking to build equity. This property features a functional layout, 3 spacious bedrooms, and a large dining room. Conveniently located near Widener University and public transit.

  17. 1985-05-06
    soldstatus $19,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,787 · $232/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,787 · $232/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,262
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,787
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,541
− Management
−$1,541
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$1,229
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$295
After-tax cash flow
$2,965/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chester-Upland SD
NCES district ID
4205860
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$29,790
Composite
8.05/100
National rank
#9918
State rank
#533 of 539 in PA

Livability — Chester

Score
73/100
State rank
#540
US rank
#5053

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chester, PA
County
Delaware County · 399,863 people
City population
35,064
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Population (ZIP)
35,064
Household income
$41,261
Rent vs Own
61.0% rent · 39.0% own
Severe rent burden
2668.0

Population outlook (Delaware County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
577,490 people
By 2030
581,243 · +0.6%
By 2040
584,700 · +1.2%
By 2050
586,581 · +1.6%
By 2075
598,706 · +3.7%
By 2100
590,823 · +2.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 6%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Delaware

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.7) · D 61.4% · R 37.6% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
+2.3pp toward D · 2008: 21.4pp · 2024: 23.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.7 2020: D+26.7 2016: D+22.0 2012: D+21.8 2008: D+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -149.69%
Current HPI
219.5173
Rent YoY
▲ 6.88%
Metro
Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+610.5% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-11-06 Listed $135,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 1985-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+20.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,787 · +143.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…