2820 Brown St · New Castle, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Just outside of town, this home sits on an approximately half-acre lot and offers more space than it appears from the outside. Inside, you'll find 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, and a separate family room that provides extra space for relaxing or entertaining. The functional layout includes a dedicated utility room, and all appliances including the washer and dryer remain with the sale. The home features new carpet, front and back covered porches, and a quiet location with a nice yard that provides room to enjoy the outdoors. A large detached garage offers abundant storage, along with a carport and ample off-street parking. This property combines small-town convenience with a peaceful setting.
Key facts
- Half-acre lot
- Separate family room
- 0.54 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $465 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.6% vs local median 4.8% in New Castle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#64 in IN, #4,219 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- New Castle Community School Corporation (town): math 30% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #229 of 301 in IN (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.6%/yr); 214 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 47 units permitted in Henry County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Henry County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.6% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 188 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $65k (52%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 188 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.83% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 33.26%
- DSCR
- 2.48
- GRM
- 4.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $141,174
- List price
- $59,900
- Delta
- -57.57%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 640 N 27th St | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,384 (-4%) | 11mo | $172,750 | $125 | 71 |
| 2504 Brown St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,414 (-2%) | 13mo | $88,500 | $63 | 67 |
| 2618 High St | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,357 (-6%) | 4mo | $149,000 | $110 | 65 |
| 2602 State St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,478 (+2%) | 11mo | $142,000 | $96 | 63 |
| 202 N 27th St | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,400 (-3%) | 11mo | $131,000 | $94 | 55 |
| 222 N 21st St | 0.58mi | 2/1.5 | 1,587 (+10%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $72 | 52 |
| 511 N 24th St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,592 (+10%) | 12mo | $131,900 | $83 | 50 |
| 210 N 27th St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,368 (-6%) | 18mo | $149,900 | $110 | 49 |
| 2414 Vine St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 | 1,252 (-14%) | 14mo | $20,800 | $17 | 46 |
| 314 N 30th St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,288 (-11%) | 10mo | $14,900 | $12 | 45 |
| 236 S 24th St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,240 (-14%) | 7mo | $125,000 | $101 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.59% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 30.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $21,686
- Equity at exit
- $8,931
- IRR
- 38.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.85×
- Total profit
- $64,578
- Equity at exit
- $5,179
Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47362
- Home prices YoY
- -16.0%
- Rents YoY
- 4.6%
- Active inventory
- 214
- Price-to-rent
- 4.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,095 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$314
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $730/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$230
- Net cashflow
- $465
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,975
- Closing costs
- $1,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 N 16th St New Castle, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $1,450 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1402 Alabama St New Castle, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $795 | $0.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1519 A Ave New Castle, IN | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1790 | $855 | $0.48 | 44d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 940 S 15th St New Castle, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 816 | $1,075 | $1.32 | 2d | 2 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-17status $59,900 Pending 188 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,900 Active 188 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,900 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,900 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,900 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricestatusdays on market $59,900 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-05-12price $84,900 713-char remark
Show marketing remark (716 chars)
Just outside of town, this home sits on an approximately half-acre lot and offers more space than it appears from the outside. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, and a separate family room that provides extra space for relaxing or entertaining. The functional layout includes a dedicated utility room, and all appliances including the washer and dryer remain with the sale. The home features new carpet, front and back covered porches, and a quiet location with a nice yard that provides room to enjoy the outdoors. A large detached garage offers abundant storage, along with a carport and ample off-street parking. This property combines small-town convenience with a peaceful setting.
-
2026-05-12price $84,900 716-char remark
Show marketing remark (716 chars)
Just outside of town, this home sits on an approximately half-acre lot and offers more space than it appears from the outside. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, and a separate family room that provides extra space for relaxing or entertaining. The functional layout includes a dedicated utility room, and all appliances including the washer and dryer remain with the sale. The home features new carpet, front and back covered porches, and a quiet location with a nice yard that provides room to enjoy the outdoors. A large detached garage offers abundant storage, along with a carport and ample off-street parking. This property combines small-town convenience with a peaceful setting.
-
2026-04-24status Active 716-char remark
Show marketing remark (713 chars)
Just outside of town, this home sits on an approximately half-acre lot and offers more space than it appears from the outside. Inside, you'll find 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, and a separate family room that provides extra space for relaxing or entertaining. The functional layout includes a dedicated utility room, and all appliances including the washer and dryer remain with the sale. The home features new carpet, front and back covered porches, and a quiet location with a nice yard that provides room to enjoy the outdoors. A large detached garage offers abundant storage, along with a carport and ample off-street parking. This property combines small-town convenience with a peaceful setting.
-
2026-04-24price $95,900 716-char remark
Show marketing remark (713 chars)
Just outside of town, this home sits on an approximately half-acre lot and offers more space than it appears from the outside. Inside, you'll find 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, and a separate family room that provides extra space for relaxing or entertaining. The functional layout includes a dedicated utility room, and all appliances including the washer and dryer remain with the sale. The home features new carpet, front and back covered porches, and a quiet location with a nice yard that provides room to enjoy the outdoors. A large detached garage offers abundant storage, along with a carport and ample off-street parking. This property combines small-town convenience with a peaceful setting.
-
2026-04-24price $95,900 713-char remark
Show marketing remark (713 chars)
Just outside of town, this home sits on an approximately half-acre lot and offers more space than it appears from the outside. Inside, you'll find 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, and a separate family room that provides extra space for relaxing or entertaining. The functional layout includes a dedicated utility room, and all appliances including the washer and dryer remain with the sale. The home features new carpet, front and back covered porches, and a quiet location with a nice yard that provides room to enjoy the outdoors. A large detached garage offers abundant storage, along with a carport and ample off-street parking. This property combines small-town convenience with a peaceful setting.
-
2026-04-24status Active 713-char remark
Show marketing remark (713 chars)
Just outside of town, this home sits on an approximately half-acre lot and offers more space than it appears from the outside. Inside, you'll find 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, and a separate family room that provides extra space for relaxing or entertaining. The functional layout includes a dedicated utility room, and all appliances including the washer and dryer remain with the sale. The home features new carpet, front and back covered porches, and a quiet location with a nice yard that provides room to enjoy the outdoors. A large detached garage offers abundant storage, along with a carport and ample off-street parking. This property combines small-town convenience with a peaceful setting.
-
2026-03-31status Pending 716-char remark
Show marketing remark (713 chars)
Just outside of town, this home sits on an approximately half-acre lot and offers more space than it appears from the outside. Inside, you'll find 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, and a separate family room that provides extra space for relaxing or entertaining. The functional layout includes a dedicated utility room, and all appliances including the washer and dryer remain with the sale. The home features new carpet, front and back covered porches, and a quiet location with a nice yard that provides room to enjoy the outdoors. A large detached garage offers abundant storage, along with a carport and ample off-street parking. This property combines small-town convenience with a peaceful setting.
-
2026-03-31status Pending 713-char remark
Show marketing remark (713 chars)
Just outside of town, this home sits on an approximately half-acre lot and offers more space than it appears from the outside. Inside, you'll find 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, and a separate family room that provides extra space for relaxing or entertaining. The functional layout includes a dedicated utility room, and all appliances including the washer and dryer remain with the sale. The home features new carpet, front and back covered porches, and a quiet location with a nice yard that provides room to enjoy the outdoors. A large detached garage offers abundant storage, along with a carport and ample off-street parking. This property combines small-town convenience with a peaceful setting.
-
2026-03-27price $114,900 716-char remark
Show marketing remark (716 chars)
Just outside of town, this home sits on an approximately half-acre lot and offers more space than it appears from the outside. Inside, you’ll find 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, and a separate family room that provides extra space for relaxing or entertaining. The functional layout includes a dedicated utility room, and all appliances including the washer and dryer remain with the sale. The home features new carpet, front and back covered porches, and a quiet location with a nice yard that provides room to enjoy the outdoors. A large detached garage offers abundant storage, along with a carport and ample off-street parking. This property combines small-town convenience with a peaceful setting.
-
2026-02-27price $119,900 716-char remark
Show marketing remark (713 chars)
Just outside of town, this home sits on an approximately half-acre lot and offers more space than it appears from the outside. Inside, you'll find 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, and a separate family room that provides extra space for relaxing or entertaining. The functional layout includes a dedicated utility room, and all appliances including the washer and dryer remain with the sale. The home features new carpet, front and back covered porches, and a quiet location with a nice yard that provides room to enjoy the outdoors. A large detached garage offers abundant storage, along with a carport and ample off-street parking. This property combines small-town convenience with a peaceful setting.
-
2026-02-27price $119,900 713-char remark
Show marketing remark (713 chars)
Just outside of town, this home sits on an approximately half-acre lot and offers more space than it appears from the outside. Inside, you'll find 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, and a separate family room that provides extra space for relaxing or entertaining. The functional layout includes a dedicated utility room, and all appliances including the washer and dryer remain with the sale. The home features new carpet, front and back covered porches, and a quiet location with a nice yard that provides room to enjoy the outdoors. A large detached garage offers abundant storage, along with a carport and ample off-street parking. This property combines small-town convenience with a peaceful setting.
-
2025-10-27$124,900 Active 716-char remark
Show marketing remark (713 chars)
Just outside of town, this home sits on an approximately half-acre lot and offers more space than it appears from the outside. Inside, you'll find 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, and a separate family room that provides extra space for relaxing or entertaining. The functional layout includes a dedicated utility room, and all appliances including the washer and dryer remain with the sale. The home features new carpet, front and back covered porches, and a quiet location with a nice yard that provides room to enjoy the outdoors. A large detached garage offers abundant storage, along with a carport and ample off-street parking. This property combines small-town convenience with a peaceful setting.
-
2025-10-27$124,900 Active 713-char remark
Show marketing remark (713 chars)
Just outside of town, this home sits on an approximately half-acre lot and offers more space than it appears from the outside. Inside, you'll find 3 bedrooms, a comfortable living room, and a separate family room that provides extra space for relaxing or entertaining. The functional layout includes a dedicated utility room, and all appliances including the washer and dryer remain with the sale. The home features new carpet, front and back covered porches, and a quiet location with a nice yard that provides room to enjoy the outdoors. A large detached garage offers abundant storage, along with a carport and ample off-street parking. This property combines small-town convenience with a peaceful setting.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $730 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $730 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,135
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,355
- − Property taxes
- −$730
- − Insurance
- −$300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,051
- − Management
- −$1,051
- − Depreciation
- −$1,743
- Taxable income
- $4,906
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,178
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,400/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Castle Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1807440
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,717
- Composite
- 26.99/100
- National rank
- #7067
- State rank
- #229 of 301 in IN
Livability — New Castle
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #64
- US rank
- #4219
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Henry County · 29,337 people
- City population
- 29,337
- Metro
- New Castle, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,337
- Household income
- $60,258
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 545.0
Population outlook (Henry County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,028 people
- By 2030
- 47,125 · -1.9%
- By 2040
- 44,820 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 42,207 · -12.1%
- By 2075
- 35,814 · -25.4%
- By 2100
- 26,779 · -44.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 3% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Henry
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.7) · D 25.3% · R 73.0% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -43.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.9pp · 2024: -47.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.7 2020: R+45.2 2016: R+43.7 2012: R+17.0 2008: R+3.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -43.70%
- Current HPI
- 228.8885
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.59%
- Metro
- New Castle, IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
-32.0% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $84,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $84,900 IRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — IRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $95,900 IRMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $95,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Pending — IRMLS
- 2026-03-31 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $114,900 IRMLS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $119,900 IRMLS
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $119,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-27 Listed $124,900 IRMLS
- 2025-10-27 Listed $124,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-0.0%/yrLatest (2024): $730 · +7.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…