490 N Cammann St · Coos Bay, OR
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.58%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 74°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Rent growth +4.7/5.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$225,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits! Home appears larger than county records. Great one level layout with two bathrooms and lots of bonus rooms! Nice size back yard, convenient location, ready for you to fix and flip - or update to occupy! Great for those needing more space (craft/hobby rooms - home care - work/school from home) room to spread out! Make an appointment to view today!
Key facts
- Extra rooms
- 6,490 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned R-2; Lot is level with paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 59 x 110
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway and on-street parking; Attached 1-car garage; Total parking for 1 vehicle
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric hot water; Fuel: Electricity and wood burning
- Home design: Single-family residence (detached); Residential property with territorial view; Main level living (primary rooms on main level); Fixer condition
- Construction: Built in 1948; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Composition, flat, and membrane roofing
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Outbuilding on property; Front or covered porch; RV parking available; T-111 siding
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Free-standing refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom (Main level); Second bedroom (Main level); Third bedroom (Main level)
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Wall heater; No central air conditioning
- Interior features: Accessible design with garage and utility room on main level; Wood-burning fireplace; Aluminum framed double-pane windows; Crawl space foundation access
- Laundry & utility: Utility room on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $221 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $217k (3.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $217k (3.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.2% in Coos Bay — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#257 in OR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Coos Bay SD 9 (town): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #45 of 58 in OR (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Marshfield Senior High School (math 17% / reading 54%, grade F, #89 of 143 statewide, top 62%, 835 students, 31% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 55% district-wide (24 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.7%/yr); 342 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 122 units permitted in Coos County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Coos County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $63k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($218k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 4% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.21%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $318,029
- List price
- $225,000
- Delta
- -29.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 903 Chickses Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,602 (-1%) | 3mo | $410,000 | $256 | 81 |
| 1066 Pirates Ct | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,574 (-3%) | 7mo | $438,500 | $279 | 79 |
| 1120 Lakeshore Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,562 (-3%) | 1mo | $415,000 | $266 | 78 |
| 925 Chickses Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (+0%) | 8mo | $378,000 | $233 | 75 |
| 1077 Pirates Ct | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,434 (-11%) | 1mo | $420,000 | $293 | 71 |
| 1366 Lakeshore Dr | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,724 (+7%) | 4mo | $349,900 | $203 | 63 |
| 1024 Noble Ave | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,766 (+9%) | 0mo | $352,000 | $199 | 59 |
| 1326 Lakeshore Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,450 (-10%) | 4mo | $303,500 | $209 | 57 |
| 1065 Crocker St | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,522 (-6%) | 4mo | $395,000 | $260 | 53 |
| 825 Seabreeze Ter | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,395 (-14%) | 9mo | $330,000 | $237 | 53 |
| 918 Noble Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,768 (+9%) | 8mo | $323,500 | $183 | 52 |
| 932 Seagate Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,433 (-11%) | 9mo | $315,000 | $220 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-10,926
- Equity at exit
- $33,548
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.96×
- Total profit
- $60,722
- Equity at exit
- $19,454
Cash invested: $63,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97420
- Rents YoY
- 8.7%
- Active inventory
- 342
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,167 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,180
- Tax from tax record
- −$217 /mo · $2,604/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$455
- Net cashflow
- $221
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,250
- Closing costs
- $6,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 455 N Cammann St Coos Bay, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1060 | $2,000 | $1.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 949 Blanco Ave Coos Bay, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,500 | $2.27 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 971 Inlet Loop Coos Bay, OR | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1792 | $3,150 | $1.76 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $225,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $225,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $225,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $225,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $225,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $225,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $225,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $225,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $225,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $225,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $225,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $225,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $225,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $225,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $225,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-04-13$225,000 Active 847-char remark
-
2023-07-14soldstatus $200,000 Closed 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Home appears larger than county records. Great one level layout with two bathrooms and lots of bonus rooms! Nice size back yard, convenient location, ready for you to fix and flip - or update to occupy! Great for those needing more space (craft/hobby rooms - home care - work/school from home) room to spread out! Make an appointment to view today!
-
2023-07-14soldstatus $209,390
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Home appears larger than county records. Great one level layout with two bathrooms and lots of bonus rooms! Nice size back yard, convenient location, ready for you to fix and flip - or update to occupy! Great for those needing more space (craft/hobby rooms - home care - work/school from home) room to spread out! Make an appointment to view today!
-
2023-03-23status Pending 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Home appears larger than county records. Great one level layout with two bathrooms and lots of bonus rooms! Nice size back yard, convenient location, ready for you to fix and flip - or update to occupy! Great for those needing more space (craft/hobby rooms - home care - work/school from home) room to spread out! Make an appointment to view today!
-
2022-11-09$215,000 Active 368-char remark
Show marketing remark (368 chars)
Opportunity awaits! Home appears larger than county records. Great one level layout with two bathrooms and lots of bonus rooms! Nice size back yard, convenient location, ready for you to fix and flip - or update to occupy! Great for those needing more space (craft/hobby rooms - home care - work/school from home) room to spread out! Make an appointment to view today!
-
2004-10-08soldstatus $126,000
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Ready to finance and move in. 5 possibly 6 bedrooms at a very affordable price.
-
2004-10-08soldstatus $126,000
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Ready to finance and move in. 5 possibly 6 bedrooms at a very affordable price.
-
2004-07-20historical
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Ready to finance and move in. 5 possibly 6 bedrooms at a very affordable price.
-
2004-07-13$127,500
Show marketing remark (79 chars)
Ready to finance and move in. 5 possibly 6 bedrooms at a very affordable price.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,604 · $217/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,604 · $217/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 58% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥74°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,004
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,603
- − Property taxes
- −$2,604
- − Insurance
- −$1,125
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,080
- − Management
- −$2,080
- − Depreciation
- −$6,545
- Taxable loss
- −$1,035
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$248
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,903/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coos Bay SD 9
- NCES district ID
- 4103660
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,630
- Composite
- 25.46/100
- National rank
- #7450
- State rank
- #45 of 58 in OR
Livability — Coos Bay
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #257
- US rank
- #17474
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coos Bay, OR
- County
- Coos County · 27,621 people
- City population
- 27,621
- Metro
- Coos Bay, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,621
- Household income
- $61,574
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 799.0
Population outlook (Coos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 62,222 people
- By 2030
- 61,120 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 58,478 · -6.0%
- By 2050
- 56,819 · -8.7%
- By 2075
- 54,915 · -11.7%
- By 2100
- 51,403 · -17.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Native American 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Coos
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.5% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.1pp · 2024: -19.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+20.5 2016: R+24.3 2012: R+6.3 2008: R+3.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -315.58%
- Current HPI
- 198.3249
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.65%
- Metro
- Coos Bay, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+76.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $225,000 RMLS
- 2023-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $209,390 Public Records
- 2023-07-14 Sold (MLS) $200,000 RMLS
- 2023-03-23 Pending — RMLS
- 2022-11-09 Listed $215,000 RMLS
- 2004-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $126,000 Public Records
- 2004-10-08 Sold (MLS) $126,000 RMLS
- 2004-07-20 Delisted — RMLS
- 2004-07-13 Listed $127,500 RMLS
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,604 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…