3060 NE Mcwilliams Rd #108 · Tracyton, WA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 86°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bedroom 2 bath double wide manufactured home with 1344 sq ft in Bremerton
Key facts
- Built 1981
- Listed 14 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets: Cats allowed (see remarks)
- Financial info: Cash only
- HOA & community: Land lease required ($875)
Exterior
- Utilities: Electric power
- Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; One story
- Construction: Wood construction; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Wood exterior
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 three-quarter bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Open single-level layout; Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $904 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $160k).
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 3.7% in Tracyton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#193 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, cost of living D+, amenities F.
- Central Kitsap School District (urban): math 55% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #49 of 291 in WA (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 151 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,294 units permitted in Kitsap County in 2024 (302 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kitsap County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.3% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $32k; list at $160k implies a 392% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.21%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $165,312
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3060 NE McWilliams Rd #104 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $123 | 92 |
| 3060 NE McWilliams Rd #124 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,321 (-2%) | 8mo | $159,000 | $120 | 87 |
| 3060 NE McWilliams Rd #60 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 13mo | $165,000 | $123 | 87 |
| 3060 NE McWilliams Rd #79 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,248 (-7%) | 9mo | $80,000 | $64 | 73 |
| 3060 NE McWilliams Rd #94 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-8%) | 18mo | $140,000 | $114 | 71 |
| 3060 NE McWilliams Rd #61 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-14%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $95 | 71 |
| 3060 NE McWilliams Rd #2 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (-11%) | 8mo | $102,000 | $85 | 71 |
| 3060 NE McWilliams Rd #54 | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 11mo | $140,000 | $117 | 70 |
| 6450 Haneberg Ln NE | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 22mo | $393,000 | $292 | 68 |
| 5912 Sunset Ave NE | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+7%) | 3mo | $477,500 | $332 | 66 |
| 6224 Sunset Ave NE | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (+12%) | 10mo | $437,500 | $289 | 58 |
| 3060 NE McWilliams Rd #65 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,152 (-14%) | 23mo | $153,000 | $133 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.27% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.56×
- Total profit
- $24,887
- Equity at exit
- $23,856
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.55×
- Total profit
- $69,538
- Equity at exit
- $13,834
Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98311
- Rents YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,544 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$839
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$200 /mo · $2,400/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$534
- Net cashflow
- $904
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,000
- Closing costs
- $4,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5848 Olive Ave NE Bremerton, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1421 | $2,700 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 6101 Washington 303 Bremerton, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1010 | $2,880 | $2.85 | 14d | 70 | 1.06mi |
| 1231 NE McWilliams Rd Bremerton, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 961 | $2,600 | $2.71 | 14d | 26 | 1.10mi |
| 1381 NE Fairgrounds Rd Bremerton, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $2,315 | $2.44 | 14d | 14 | 1.23mi |
| 1303 NE Jasmine Ln Bremerton, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1152 | $2,600 | $2.26 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1911 NE Riddell Rd Bremerton, WA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 858 | $1,980 | $2.31 | 14d | 10 | 1.33mi |
| 5163 NE Mariah Ln Bremerton, WA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 821 | $1,895 | $2.31 | 14d | 2 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,999 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,999 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,999 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,999 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,999 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,999 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $159,999 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,999 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,999 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,999 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-05remarks 75-char remark
-
2026-06-05$159,999 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥86°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,528
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,962
- − Property taxes
- −$2,400
- − Insurance
- −$800
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,442
- − Management
- −$2,442
- − Depreciation
- −$4,655
- Taxable income
- $8,826
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,118
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,730/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Central Kitsap School District
- NCES district ID
- 5301080
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 67% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,825
- Composite
- 54.87/100
- National rank
- #2813
- State rank
- #49 of 291 in WA
Livability — Tracyton
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #193
- US rank
- #5240
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Kitsap County · 243,099 people
- Metro
- Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,168
- Household income
- $108,757
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 502.0
Population outlook (Kitsap County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 277,525 people
- By 2030
- 285,040 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 294,957 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 300,622 · +8.3%
- By 2075
- 315,580 · +13.7%
- By 2100
- 304,340 · +9.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 9% Black 3% Pacific Islander 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 4% Spanish 3% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Kitsap
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+20.9) · D 58.8% · R 37.9% · Other 3.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.6pp toward D · 2008: 12.3pp · 2024: 20.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+20.9 2020: D+18.1 2016: D+11.6 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -378.18%
- Current HPI
- 356.6272
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.27%
- Metro
- Bremerton-Silverdale-Port Orchard, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
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| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+344.4% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-04 Listed $159,999 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-08 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-05-07 Sold (MLS) $32,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-04-16 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-30 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-01-17 Price Changed $32,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-19 Listed $33,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-06 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-08-02 Sold (MLS) $29,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-07-09 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-06-29 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-06-21 Price Changed $29,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-04-10 Price Changed $31,900 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-18 Price Changed $32,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-12-17 Relisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-12-16 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-08 Listed $36,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…