21 Cedar Crest Dr · Mound City, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +9.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$20,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2br/1ba home w/ attached garage & detached garage & shop on 2 wooded lots, skiing fishing on this quiet lake home resort.
Key facts
- 0.66 acre lot
- Community pool
- Built 1972
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Not in a flood plain
- HOA & community: Member of Sugar Valley Lakes with annual association fee covering all amenities; Community amenities include clubhouse, community center, golf course, pool, putting green, party room and trails; Street maintenance provided
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: No water source specified; Septic tank and public sewer available
- Home design: Single-family residence (residential); Built in 1972; Ranch style
- Construction: Composition roof; Other construction materials; Above-grade living area ~800 (public records)
- Exterior features: Level lot; Gravel road with private maintenance; Shed(s); Lake privileges
Interior
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Ranch floor plan; Basement (other)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $20k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $504 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($837 rent vs $20k).
- Recommended offer: $18k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#339 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Jayhawk (rural): math 32% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #95 of 169 in KS (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 53 active listings in the ZIP; 97 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($138 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (9.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $6k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 248 days — a 12% lower offer ($18k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 248 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 36.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 107.99%
- DSCR
- 5.80
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $344,000
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 329 W Sugar Lake Dr | 0.70mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-4%) | 22mo | $329,900 | $430 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
9.18% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 8.48×
- Total profit
- $41,904
- Equity at exit
- $16,838
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 18.49×
- Total profit
- $97,968
- Equity at exit
- $35,126
Cash invested: $5,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66056
- Home prices YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $837 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$105
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$25 /mo · $300/yr
- Insurance
- −$8
- HOA
- −$19
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$176
- Net cashflow
- $504
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $518 | -5% $511 | +0% $504 | +5% $497 | +10% $490 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $438 | -5% $471 | +0% $504 | +5% $537 | +10% $570 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $514 | -0.5pp $509 | base $504 | +0.5pp $499 | +1.0pp $493 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $5,000
- Closing costs
- $600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $19 · $228/yr
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $20,000 Active 248 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $20,000 Active 246 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $20,000 Active 245 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $20,000 Active 244 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $20,000 Active 243 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $20,000 Active 241 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $20,000 Active 240 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $20,000 Active 237 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $20,000 Active 236 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $20,000 Active 235 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $20,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $20,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $20,000 Active 230 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $20,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $20,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $20,000 Active 227 DOM
-
2025-10-15$20,000 Active
-
2012-02-15historical 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (134 chars)
2br/1ba home w/ attached garage & detached garage & shop on 2 wooded lots, skiing fishing on this quiet lake home resort.
-
2011-10-18$27,500 134-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
2br/1ba home w/ attached garage & detached garage & shop on 2 wooded lots, skiing, fishing on this quiet lake
-
2011-10-18$27,500 121-char remark
Show marketing remark (121 chars)
2br/1ba home w/ attached garage & detached garage & shop on 2 wooded lots, skiing, fishing on this quiet lake
-
2009-09-01historical
-
2007-08-07$27,000
-
2002-06-01soldstatus $24,911
-
1999-02-01soldstatus $24,500
-
1998-03-01soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,043
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,120
- − Property taxes
- −$300
- − Insurance
- −$100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$803
- − Management
- −$803
- − HOA
- −$228
- − Depreciation
- −$582
- Taxable income
- $6,106
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,465
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,582/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jayhawk
- NCES district ID
- 2007750
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,226
- Composite
- 26.3/100
- National rank
- #7244
- State rank
- #95 of 169 in KS
Livability — Mound City
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #339
- US rank
- #15276
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,428
Population outlook (Linn County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 9,581 people
- By 2030
- 9,574 · -0.1%
- By 2040
- 9,550 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 9,483 · -1.0%
- By 2075
- 9,510 · -0.7%
- By 2100
- 8,873 · -7.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Linn
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.6) · D 17.0% · R 81.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: -36.0pp · 2024: -64.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.6 2020: R+62.8 2016: R+62.1 2012: R+45.9 2008: R+36.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 9.18%
- Current HPI
- 397.2471
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+33.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-15 Listed $20,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-02-15 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-10-18 Listed $27,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-10-18 Listed $27,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2009-09-01 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-08-07 Listed $27,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2002-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,911 Public Records
- 1999-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,500 Public Records
- 1998-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…