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4212 Elizabeth St
C- Composite 50.3
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.7/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +4.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$130,000

4212 Elizabeth St · Texarkana, TX 75503
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,314 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1950 6,970 sqft lot $99/sqft · 12% below area Est $147k · 12% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Freshly painted interiors, updated flooring, abundant natural light, large living area with charming arched entryways and ceiling fan, functional kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, well-sized bedrooms with good closet space, updated bathroom with modern finishes, fully fenced spacious backyard, great curb appeal, and mature trees — everything tenants love. The highest-returning property in the portfolio. Vacant and move-in ready from day one. FOR HOMEOWNERS Move straight into a home that feels brand new — fresh paint, updated floors, modern finishes, and a fully fenced backyard ready for outdoor enjoyment and gatherings. Located in Texarkana's well-connected 75503 zip with parks, dining, retail, and community events all within easy reach. Character, charm, and value in one move-in ready package. FOR INVESTORS The strongest return in the portfolio. Vacant and ready to rent, with no make-ready work needed. The 75503 zip has strong, consistent rental demand from working families and professionals, and updated homes at this price point lease fast and stay leased. The portfolio's best entry point for return potential. Part of a 20-property SFR portfolio across Texarkana and Nash. Options range from 3-bed homes to premium properties. Buy one or add multiple.

Key facts

  • Flowering shrubs
  • Arched doorway
  • Fenced backyard

Tags

MATURE TREESFLOWERING SHRUBSCONCRETE DRIVEWAYFENCED BACKYARDORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORSARCHED DOORWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($660/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 4.3% in Texarkana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#93 in TX, #3,241 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D+, schools D, crime D.
  • Texarkana ISD (urban): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #472 of 826 in TX (top 57%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 298 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 137 units permitted in Bowie County in 2024 (5 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask is 10300% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $122,200 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
6.80%
Cash-on-cash
1.81%
DSCR
1.08
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$146,900
List price
$130,000
Delta
-11.50%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3416 Moore Dr 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,478 (+12%) 10mo $114,900 $78 39
406 E 36th St 0.63mi 3/2.0 1,504 (+14%) 22mo $167,000 $111 24

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.3%
Equity multiple
0.52×
Total profit
$-17,485
Equity at exit
$19,383
10-year hold
IRR
-4.3%
Equity multiple
0.71×
Total profit
$-10,405
Equity at exit
$11,240

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75503

Home prices YoY
-21.0%
Active inventory
298
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,321 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$253 /mo · $3,034/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$277
Net cashflow
$55

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,252
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4101 Olive St Texarkana, TX 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,300 $0.93 43d 1 0.11mi
3801 Magnolia St Unit MG01 Texarkana, TX 3.0 1.5 1200 $1,000 $0.83 43d 1 0.38mi
4841 N Park Rd Texarkana, TX 2.0 1.5 1260 $1,100 $0.87 43d 1 0.48mi
722 W 34th St Texarkana, TX 2.0 1.0 1298 $1,300 $1.00 43d 1 0.60mi
3514 Sabine Ave Texarkana, TX 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,845 $1.15 43d 1 0.67mi
3302 Anthony Dr Texarkana, TX 3.0 2.0 1726 $850 $0.49 43d 1 0.71mi
1504 Colorado St Texarkana, TX 3.0 2.0 1298 $1,595 $1.23 43d 1 0.79mi
2101 Pecan St Texarkana, AR 3.0 1.0 1453 $1,125 $0.77 43d 1 1.24mi
1400 E 35th St Unit PS6-052 Texarkana, AR 2.0 2.0 1025 $899 $0.88 43d 1 1.34mi
1400 E 35th St Unit PS2-013 Texarkana, AR 2.0 1.0 980 $859 $0.88 43d 1 1.34mi
1400 E 35th St Unit PS16-142 Texarkana, AR 2.0 1.0 980 $809 $0.83 43d 1 1.34mi
333 Links Dr Texarkana, AR 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 790 $960 $1.21 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $130,000 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    price $130,000 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $133,000 Active 81 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $133,000 Active 80 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $133,000 Active 78 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $133,000 Active 77 DOM
  9. 2026-06-10
    days on market $133,000 Active 75 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $133,000 Active 74 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $133,000 Active 73 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $133,000 Active 72 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $133,000 Active 69 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $133,000 Active 67 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $133,000 Active 66 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $133,000 Active 65 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $133,000 Active 64 DOM
  18. 2026-05-11
    listed $1,250
  19. 2026-04-18
    historical $1,250
  20. 2026-03-27
    listed $135,000 Active 1311-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1311 chars)

    Freshly painted interiors, updated flooring, abundant natural light, large living area with charming arched entryways and ceiling fan, functional kitchen with ample cabinetry and counter space, well-sized bedrooms with good closet space, updated bathroom with modern finishes, fully fenced spacious backyard, great curb appeal, and mature trees — everything tenants love. The highest-returning property in the portfolio. Vacant and move-in ready from day one. FOR HOMEOWNERS Move straight into a home that feels brand new — fresh paint, updated floors, modern finishes, and a fully fenced backyard ready for outdoor enjoyment and gatherings. Located in Texarkana's well-connected 75503 zip with parks, dining, retail, and community events all within easy reach. Character, charm, and value in one move-in ready package. FOR INVESTORS The strongest return in the portfolio. Vacant and ready to rent, with no make-ready work needed. The 75503 zip has strong, consistent rental demand from working families and professionals, and updated homes at this price point lease fast and stay leased. The portfolio's best entry point for return potential. Part of a 20-property SFR portfolio across Texarkana and Nash. Options range from 3-bed homes to premium properties. Buy one or add multiple.

  21. 2026-02-21
    listed $1,250
  22. 2025-07-23
    soldstatus
  23. 2024-08-11
    historical
  24. 2024-06-15
    status Active
  25. 2024-06-12
    price $110,000
  26. 2024-06-12
    price $110,000
  27. 2024-05-08
    price $115,000
  28. 2024-05-04
    price $115,000
  29. 2024-01-23
    price $120,000
  30. 2023-12-15
    listed $125,000 Active
  31. 2023-12-14
    listed $125,000 New Listing
  32. 2023-12-13
    listed $125,000 Active
  33. 2000-04-06
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,034 · $253/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,034 · $253/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,855
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$3,034
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,268
− Management
−$1,268
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable loss
−$1,430
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$343
After-tax cash flow
$1,004/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Texarkana ISD
NCES district ID
4842480
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
41% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$35,692
Composite
31.87/100
National rank
#5867
State rank
#472 of 826 in TX

Livability — Texarkana

Score
77/100
State rank
#93
US rank
#3241

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute C Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Texarkana, TX
County
Bowie County · 61,238 people
City population
61,238
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
Population (ZIP)
26,372
Household income
$72,159
Rent vs Own
38.0% rent · 62.0% own
Severe rent burden
773.0

Population outlook (Bowie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,699 people
By 2030
94,824 · +0.1%
By 2040
94,870 · +0.2%
By 2050
93,686 · -1.1%
By 2075
90,082 · -4.9%
By 2100
76,579 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (63%)
Race & ethnicity
White 63% Black 23% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bowie

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.7) · D 25.3% · R 74.0%
2008→2024 swing
-10.8pp toward R · 2008: -37.9pp · 2024: -48.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.7 2020: R+42.8 2016: R+46.6 2012: R+41.5 2008: R+37.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.09%
Current HPI
181.3052
Rent YoY
Metro
Texarkana, TX-AR
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-99.0% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Listed for Rent $1,250 Avail
  • 2026-04-18 Rental Removed $1,250 Avail
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $135,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-02-21 Listed for Rent $1,250 Avail
  • 2025-07-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2024-08-11 Listing Removed CARMLS
  • 2024-06-15 Relisted TBOR
  • 2024-06-12 Price Changed $110,000 CARMLS
  • 2024-06-12 Price Changed $110,000 TBOR
  • 2024-05-08 Price Changed $115,000 GTAR
  • 2024-05-04 Price Changed $115,000 TBOR
  • 2024-01-23 Price Changed $120,000 TBOR
  • 2023-12-15 Listed $125,000 GTAR
  • 2023-12-14 Listed $125,000 CARMLS
  • 2023-12-13 Listed $125,000 TBOR
  • 2000-04-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,034 · +24.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…