1154 Hendricks St · Gary, IN
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.75%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.6/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 bedroom, 1 bath all-brick home with an unfinished basement and detached 2-car garage. This is a solid value-add opportunity for investors or handyman homeowners looking to build equity. With the right updates, this home has strong potential to increase in value. Property is being sold as-is.
Key facts
- 3,920 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1926
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed as vacant
- Financial info: No financial details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information listed
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: One-story home; Built in 1926; Fixer condition
- Construction: Has basement (unfinished)
- Exterior features: Neighborhood view; Unfinished basement
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom; Bedroom 2; Bedroom 3
- Flooring: No flooring information provided
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Natural gas heating; Other cooling
- Interior features: No specific interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: No laundry or utility appliances listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $613 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 9.1% in Gary — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#105 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Gary Community School Corporation (urban): math 3% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #299 of 301 in IN (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.6%/yr); 67 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.28%
- DSCR
- 2.17
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $118,614
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1120 Wallace St | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,188 (+6%) | 6mo | $78,000 | $66 | 71 |
| 1056 Morton St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,066 (-5%) | 10mo | $107,000 | $100 | 54 |
| 4309 W 19th Ave | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 | 973 (-13%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $108 | 46 |
| 1748 Ellsworth Pl | 0.67mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,128 (+1%) | 23mo | $45,000 | $40 | 43 |
| 1564 Baker St | 0.62mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,250 (+12%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $136 | 43 |
| 1024 N Clark Rd | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,122 (+0%) | 22mo | $116,000 | $103 | 42 |
| 4216 W 19th Plz | 0.67mi | 4/1.0 | 985 (-12%) | 9mo | $130,000 | $132 | 41 |
| 4123 W 19th Pl | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 981 (-12%) | 5mo | $75,000 | $76 | 41 |
| 2009 Chase St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,260 (+13%) | 9mo | $134,000 | $106 | 33 |
| 1815 Chase St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 972 (-13%) | 23mo | $77,250 | $79 | 32 |
| 4420 W 19th Plz | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 981 (-12%) | 11mo | $130,000 | $133 | 31 |
| 724 Taney St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 975 (-13%) | 23mo | $109,900 | $113 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.10×
- Total profit
- $30,850
- Equity at exit
- $14,895
- IRR
- 35.7%
- Equity multiple
- 5.06×
- Total profit
- $113,638
- Equity at exit
- $8,638
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46404
- Home prices YoY
- -4.8%
- Rents YoY
- 11.6%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,525 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$27 /mo · $323/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$320
- Net cashflow
- $613
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $669 | -5% $641 | +0% $613 | +5% $584 | +10% $556 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $492 | -5% $552 | +0% $613 | +5% $673 | +10% $733 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $663 | -0.5pp $638 | base $613 | +0.5pp $587 | +1.0pp $560 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4061 W 20th Pl Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 1d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 4232 W 20th Ave Gary, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,395 | $1.51 | 21d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 4134 W 22nd Pl Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,395 | $1.69 | 1d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 1043 Mount St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,200 | $1.60 | 1d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 4263 W 22nd Pl Gary, IN | 4.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,295 | $1.36 | 1d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4300 W 22nd Pl Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 977 | $1,395 | $1.43 | 2d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 4328 W 22nd Plz Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,300 | $1.37 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 2306 W 5th Ave Apt 3 Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,299 | $1.27 | 1d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2306 W 5th Ave Gary, IN | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 937 | $1,299 | $1.39 | 1d | 2 | 1.15mi |
| 743 Hanley St Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 1d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 395 Porter St Gary, IN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,700 | $1.15 | 6d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2280 Roosevelt Pl Gary, IN | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,560 | $1.81 | 1d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $99,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 294-char remark
-
2026-06-09$99,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $323 · $27/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $586 · $49/mo
- Expected delta
- +$263/yr (+$22/mo · 81.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 75% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,303
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$323
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,464
- − Management
- −$1,464
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $6,050
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,452
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,899/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Gary Community School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803870
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 11% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,739
- Composite
- 4.98/100
- National rank
- #10039
- State rank
- #299 of 301 in IN
Livability — Gary
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #105
- US rank
- #5592
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gary, IN
- County
- Lake County · 422,878 people
- City population
- 63,701
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,428
- Household income
- $42,256
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 800.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.76%
- Current HPI
- 252.6463
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.62%
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $99,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-17.6%/yrLatest (2019): $323 · -13.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…