796 E 163rd St · South Holland, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$244,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Beautiful redeveloped home.
Key facts
- Tiled backsplash
- Gooseneck faucet
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Possession at closing; Earnest money held
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (garage owned) with garage door opener; Concrete driveway; 2 total parking spaces (2 garage spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; 100 amp electric service
- Home design: Detached single-family raised ranch; Ranch model; Fee simple ownership; Built approximately 61–70 years ago; Built before 1978
- Construction: Brick, concrete and clad trim exterior; Concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Landscaped yard; Lot dimensions approximately 55 x 110
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level (18 x 10)
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level; 1 additional bedroom in the basement (possible 4th bedroom)
- Flooring: Carpet in most bedrooms and living areas; Ceramic tile in kitchen; Other flooring in family room and basement laundry
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Natural gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 8 total rooms; Unfinished attic; Finished full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room in basement (9 x 13)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $245k).
- Recommended offer: $238k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#167 in IL, #3,071 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, schools D+.
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($238k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $146k; list at $245k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price; built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.81%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $190,152
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 823 E 163rd St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,184 (+6%) | 1mo | $197,500 | $167 | 86 |
| 16645 Cottage Grove Ave | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (+1%) | 1mo | $211,894 | $189 | 71 |
| 944 E 163rd Pl | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,205 (+8%) | 2mo | $201,000 | $167 | 69 |
| 509 E 161st Pl | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (+6%) | 4mo | $182,000 | $155 | 66 |
| 16417 Claire Ln | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,209 (+9%) | 2mo | $254,995 | $211 | 62 |
| 1006 E 163rd St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,263 (+14%) | 1mo | $262,500 | $208 | 60 |
| 16728 School St | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 1,170 (+5%) | 2mo | $196,000 | $168 | 59 |
| 15944 School St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,008 (-9%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $174 | 56 |
| 16001 Avalon Ave | 0.67mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,136 (+2%) | 1mo | $187,500 | $165 | 56 |
| 16550 Elm Ct | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,144 (+3%) | 4mo | $252,000 | $220 | 54 |
| 535 E 166th Pl | 0.56mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,200 (+8%) | 2mo | $156,500 | $130 | 52 |
| 16428 Greenwood Ave | 0.40mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (+13%) | 3mo | $215,000 | $171 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-25,442
- Equity at exit
- $36,515
- IRR
- -0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.96×
- Total profit
- $-2,815
- Equity at exit
- $21,174
Cash invested: $68,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60473
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,065 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,284
- Tax from tax record
- −$817 /mo · $9,803/yr
- Insurance
- −$102
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$644
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $357 | -5% $287 | +0% $218 | +5% $149 | +10% $79 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-24 | -5% $97 | +0% $218 | +5% $339 | +10% $460 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $341 | -0.5pp $280 | base $218 | +0.5pp $155 | +1.0pp $90 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $61,225
- Closing costs
- $7,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16246 Dobson Ave South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $3,170 | $2.54 | 2d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 16001 Avalon Ave South Holland, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1136 | $3,330 | $2.93 | 6d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 25d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 15509 Park Ln South Holland, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $3,400 | $2.83 | 8d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 15238 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Dr Unit 2W Dolton, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,500 | $1.88 | 11d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 15231 Hastings Dr Dolton, IL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1487 | $2,146 | $1.44 | 8d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 40 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $244,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $244,900 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $244,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $244,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $244,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $244,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $254,900 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $254,900 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $254,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $254,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $254,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $254,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $254,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $254,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-05-18$254,900 Active
-
2026-05-18historical
-
2026-05-11price
-
2026-04-28price
-
2026-04-13price
-
2026-03-23Active
-
2013-06-07soldstatus $145,500 Closed Sale 27-char remark
Show marketing remark (27 chars)
Beautiful redeveloped home.
-
2013-06-07soldstatus $436,500
Show marketing remark (27 chars)
Beautiful redeveloped home.
-
2013-05-10historical Contingent 27-char remark
Show marketing remark (27 chars)
Beautiful redeveloped home.
-
2013-05-10$145,500 New 27-char remark
Show marketing remark (27 chars)
Beautiful redeveloped home.
-
2013-03-11soldstatus $76,000 Closed Sale
-
2013-01-17status Pending
-
2013-01-08historical Contingent
-
2012-12-13$74,900 New
-
2012-01-10historical
-
2012-01-04New
-
2008-09-08soldstatus $200,000
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2008-08-08soldstatus $199,900 Closed Sale
-
2008-06-30historical
-
2008-05-20$199,900
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2008-01-21historical
-
2007-11-27
-
2007-04-27soldstatus $110,000
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2007-04-02historical
-
2006-12-27$129,900
-
2005-10-25soldstatus $150,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,803 · $817/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,803 · $817/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,778
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,718
- − Property taxes
- −$9,803
- − Insurance
- −$1,224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,942
- − Management
- −$2,942
- − Depreciation
- −$7,124
- Taxable loss
- −$977
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$234
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,850/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thornton Twp Hsd 205
- NCES district ID
- 1738970
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,392
- Composite
- 6.92/100
- National rank
- #9976
- State rank
- #594 of 620 in IL
Livability — South Holland
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #167
- US rank
- #3071
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Holland, IL
- City population
- 21,407
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,407
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.36%
- Current HPI
- 201.2479
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+69.9% since first listed26 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-18 Listed $254,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-23 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-06-07 Sold (MLS) $145,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-06-07 Sold (Public Records) $436,500 Public Records
- 2013-05-10 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-05-10 Listed $145,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-03-11 Sold (MLS) $76,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-17 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-08 Contingent — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-12-13 Listed $74,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-01-10 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-01-04 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-09-08 Sold (Public Records) $200,000 Public Records
- 2008-08-08 Sold (MLS) $199,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-05-20 Listed $199,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-01-21 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-11-27 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-27 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-02 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-12-27 Listed $129,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $150,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2023): $9,803 · +51.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…