512 1st St N · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.4/15.0
- Appreciation +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment property in the heart of Birmingham! Property is currently occupied with tenant paying $925 a month. Please do not disturb the tenant.
Key facts
- 7,840 sq ft lot
- Built 1925
- Listed 17 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property is in a flood plain; Lot approximately 0.18 acres; Subdivision: Smithfield South
- Financial info: No financial details provided
- HOA & community: No HOA information provided
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Security: No security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet service available
- Home design: Existing year built (no further year provided); Wood construction; Crawl space foundation
- Construction: Wood construction
- Exterior features: No pool; No patio; No deck; No garden/patio; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Built-in dishwasher; Electric oven
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (shared)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Smooth ceilings; No additional interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Laundry closet on the main level; Has laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $323 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $89k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Tuggle Elementary School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #591 of 627 statewide, top 94%, 470 students, 87% FRL); Parker High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 826 students, 90% FRL).
- Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 57% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $577 appreciation (0.6% local appreciation)).
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($89k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; list at $90k implies a 73% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.39%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $89,784
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 944 4th St W | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+1%) | 3mo | $170,000 | $109 | 65 |
| 501 5th St SW | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,537 (-1%) | 2mo | $65,000 | $42 | 64 |
| 963 3rd St W | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,444 (-7%) | 12mo | $75,500 | $52 | 54 |
| 117 10th Ct | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,400 (-10%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $107 | 52 |
| 900 Center St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,760 (+14%) | 16mo | $78,000 | $44 | 52 |
| 213 10th Ave N | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,370 (-12%) | 3mo | $110,000 | $80 | 51 |
| 1124 2nd St N | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,368 (-12%) | 2mo | $16,500 | $12 | 46 |
| 504 Fulton Ave SW | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,517 (-2%) | 20mo | $73,000 | $48 | 46 |
| 882 6th St W | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,485 (-4%) | 14mo | $147,500 | $99 | 44 |
| 933 6th St W | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,392 (-10%) | 0mo | $35,000 | $25 | 39 |
| 612 2nd St SW | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,320 (-15%) | 12mo | $76,000 | $58 | 36 |
| 820 7th St W | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,774 (+15%) | 5mo | $131,000 | $74 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $20,722
- Equity at exit
- $29,055
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.37×
- Total profit
- $59,643
- Equity at exit
- $37,352
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35204
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Active inventory
- 64
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,207 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$121 /mo · $1,454/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $323
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 451 2nd St N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 963 3rd St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,295 | $0.90 | 23d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 410 8th Ter W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1440 | $1,200 | $0.83 | 16d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 854 5th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1501 | $1,275 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 451 2nd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 23d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 617 7th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,175 | $1.05 | 43d | 1 | 0.70mi |
| 915 6th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1332 | $1,075 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 1153 2nd St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,150 | $1.09 | 19d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 724 4th Ct W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $930 | $0.72 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 1216 4th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $1,150 | $0.73 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 608 Fulton Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1271 | $1,300 | $1.02 | 43d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 827 6th Ave W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1214 | $1,075 | $0.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 644 Alabama Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1274 | $1,125 | $0.88 | 23d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 757 10th Ave W Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,000 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 719 Washington Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $950 | $0.89 | 11d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1101 7th Ave W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1317 11th St N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1340 | $1,200 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1119 Graymont Ave W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1260 | $1,073 | $0.85 | 2d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 12 4th Ave SW Unit 1 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1336 | $1,100 | $0.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1108 4th Ct W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1623 | $1,125 | $0.69 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 612 12th St W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1242 | $1,150 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 353 16th Ave N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $995 | $0.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1230 4th Ter W Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1540 | $1,000 | $0.65 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 405 11th St SW Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1065 | $800 | $0.75 | 43d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1012 Cotton Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,000 | $0.81 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 600 19th St N Apt 202 Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $3,050 | $2.44 | 11d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 600 19th St N Unit 211 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1670 | $3,250 | $1.95 | 11d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 600 19th St N Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1120 | $3,550 | $3.17 | 16d | 30 | 1.44mi |
| 600 19th St N Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1398 | $4,560 | $3.26 | 19d | 83 | 1.44mi |
| 806 Gamma St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1252 | $1,200 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $90,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-01remarks 145-char remark
-
2026-06-01$90,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,454 · $121/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,454 · $121/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,489
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$1,454
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,159
- − Management
- −$1,159
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $2,607
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$626
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,253/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 8,953
- Household income
- $35,420
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 422.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 86% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.64%
- Current HPI
- 201.0777
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+718.2% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $90,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-23 Rental Removed $925 RentEngineListings
- 2026-04-14 Listed for Rent $925 RentEngineListings
- 2024-12-10 Price Changed $77,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2021-09-28 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2002-09-19 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
- 1978-05-06 Sold (Public Records) $11,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,454 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…