🏷️ Likely Rental
207 N 11th St · Olean, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Beautifully remodeled two unit apartment for sale, perfect for investors or homeowners seeking rental income. Each unit features modern finishes with ample lighting creating a welcoming atmosphere. Upstairs has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Downstairs has 2 bedrooms with an extra 3rd room that is small but could be used as a childs bedroom or office. Updated stylish bathrooms, updated kitchens. Some wood flooring. Tenants are renting on a month to month basis and pay for all their own utilities. Separate meters. Close to shopping and restaurants.
Key facts
- Wood flooring
- Modern finishes
- Ample lighting
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $657/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.9% vs local median 8.1% in Olean — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#353 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Olean City School District (town): math 40% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #511 of 590 in NY (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cattaraugus County in 2024 (21 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $619 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cattaraugus County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $90k implies a 139% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 62.95%
- DSCR
- 3.80
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $122,600
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 N 11th St | 0.00mi | 5/2.0 | 2,452 (0%) | 1mo | $123,000 | $50 | 99 |
| 128 S 8th St | 0.36mi | 5/2.5 | 2,448 (-0%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $25 | 78 |
| 218 N 15th St | 0.22mi | 5/3.5 | 2,566 (+5%) | 10mo | $105,000 | $41 | 67 |
| 1507 W State St | 0.29mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,587 (+6%) | 4mo | $173,000 | $67 | 65 |
| 611 W Henley St | 0.49mi | 5/3.0 | 2,470 (+1%) | 13mo | $115,000 | $47 | 61 |
| 316 W Henley St | 0.62mi | 6/2.0 (+1) | 2,304 (-6%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $33 | 54 |
| 104 S 14th St | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,114 (-14%) | 12mo | $127,000 | $60 | 48 |
| 604 Irving St | 0.54mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,158 (-12%) | 12mo | $144,160 | $67 | 40 |
| 509 Irving St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,205 (-10%) | 15mo | $76,000 | $34 | 38 |
| 127 N 2nd St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,156 (-12%) | 14mo | $110,000 | $51 | 36 |
| 125 N 2nd St | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 2,156 (-12%) | 14mo | $110,000 | $51 | 36 |
| 301 Coleman St | 0.71mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 2,764 (+13%) | 2mo | $84,900 | $31 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 62.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.76×
- Total profit
- $69,290
- Equity at exit
- $13,345
- IRR
- 66.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.72×
- Total profit
- $168,399
- Equity at exit
- $7,738
Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14760
- Home prices YoY
- -7.7%
- Active inventory
- 143
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,493 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$469
- Tax from tax record
- −$148 /mo · $1,778/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$524
- Net cashflow
- $1,315
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,365 | -5% $1,340 | +0% $1,315 | +5% $1,289 | +10% $1,264 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,118 | -5% $1,216 | +0% $1,315 | +5% $1,413 | +10% $1,512 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,360 | -0.5pp $1,337 | base $1,315 | +0.5pp $1,291 | +1.0pp $1,268 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1× unit | 2 | 1 | $1,176 |
| 1× unit | 3 | 1 | $1,316 |
| Total (2 units) | $2,493 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,375
- Closing costs
- $2,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2025-12-05status Pending
-
2025-11-26status Active
-
2025-11-14historical Active Under Contract
-
2025-11-03$89,500 Active
-
2024-11-13historical
-
2024-09-10price $129,000
-
2024-06-28price $99,000
-
2024-05-13$129,000 Active
-
2024-01-27historical
-
2024-01-25historical
-
2023-10-30$129,000 Active
-
2022-10-18soldstatus $37,500 Closed Sale or Rented
-
2022-10-18soldstatus $37,500
-
2022-08-01status Under Contract- Do Not Show
-
2022-07-27$34,500 Active
-
2008-09-29soldstatus $31,539
-
2000-03-29soldstatus $28,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,778 · $148/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,778 · $148/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,916
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,013
- − Property taxes
- −$1,778
- − Insurance
- −$448
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,393
- − Management
- −$2,393
- − Depreciation
- −$2,604
- Taxable income
- $15,287
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,669
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,107/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Olean City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3621720
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,365
- Composite
- 34.81/100
- National rank
- #5104
- State rank
- #511 of 590 in NY
Livability — Olean
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #353
- US rank
- #5930
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Olean, NY
- City population
- 17,272
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,272
Population outlook (Cattaraugus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 71,623 people
- By 2030
- 67,751 · -5.4%
- By 2040
- 59,488 · -16.9%
- By 2050
- 51,601 · -28.0%
- By 2075
- 35,025 · -51.1%
- By 2100
- 21,243 · -70.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 10% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cattaraugus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.8) · D 33.6% · R 66.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -32.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.8 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+10.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -19.85%
- Current HPI
- 237.327
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+219.6% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-05 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2025-11-26 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2025-11-14 Contingent — WNYREIS
- 2025-11-03 Listed $89,500 WNYREIS
- 2024-11-13 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2024-09-10 Price Changed $129,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-06-28 Price Changed $99,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-05-13 Listed $129,000 WNYREIS
- 2024-01-27 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2024-01-25 Listing Removed — WNYREIS
- 2023-10-30 Listed $129,000 WNYREIS
- 2022-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
- 2022-10-18 Sold (MLS) $37,500 UNYREIS
- 2022-08-01 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2022-07-27 Listed $34,500 UNYREIS
- 2008-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $31,539 Public Records
- 2000-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,778 · -38.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…