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207 N 11th St 🏷️ Likely Rental
B+ Composite 77.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,500

207 N 11th St · Olean, NY 14760
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,452 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 32 Days on market
Built 1885 4,940 sqft lot Est $123k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Beautifully remodeled two unit apartment for sale, perfect for investors or homeowners seeking rental income. Each unit features modern finishes with ample lighting creating a welcoming atmosphere. Upstairs has 3 bedrooms and 1 bath. Downstairs has 2 bedrooms with an extra 3rd room that is small but could be used as a childs bedroom or office. Updated stylish bathrooms, updated kitchens. Some wood flooring. Tenants are renting on a month to month basis and pay for all their own utilities. Separate meters. Close to shopping and restaurants.

Key facts

  • Wood flooring
  • Modern finishes
  • Ample lighting

Tags

REMODELED TWO UNIT APARTMENTMODERN FINISHESAMPLE LIGHTINGUPDATED STYLISH BATHROOMSUPDATED KITCHENSWOOD FLOORING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $89,500 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$122,600) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1×2bd/1.0ba + 1×3bd/1.0ba units multifamily listed at $90k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $657/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 23.9% vs local median 8.1% in Olean — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#353 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Olean City School District (town): math 40% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #511 of 590 in NY (top 87%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 128 units permitted in Cattaraugus County in 2024 (21 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $619 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cattaraugus County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $90k implies a 139% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,815 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.79%
Cap rate
23.92%
Cash-on-cash
62.95%
DSCR
3.80
GRM
3.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$122,600
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
207 N 11th St 0.00mi 5/2.0 2,452 (0%) 1mo $123,000 $50 99
128 S 8th St 0.36mi 5/2.5 2,448 (-0%) 3mo $60,000 $25 78
218 N 15th St 0.22mi 5/3.5 2,566 (+5%) 10mo $105,000 $41 67
1507 W State St 0.29mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,587 (+6%) 4mo $173,000 $67 65
611 W Henley St 0.49mi 5/3.0 2,470 (+1%) 13mo $115,000 $47 61
316 W Henley St 0.62mi 6/2.0 (+1) 2,304 (-6%) 2mo $75,000 $33 54
104 S 14th St 0.30mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,114 (-14%) 12mo $127,000 $60 48
604 Irving St 0.54mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,158 (-12%) 12mo $144,160 $67 40
509 Irving St 0.58mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,205 (-10%) 15mo $76,000 $34 38
127 N 2nd St 0.57mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,156 (-12%) 14mo $110,000 $51 36
125 N 2nd St 0.58mi 4/2.0 (-1) 2,156 (-12%) 14mo $110,000 $51 36
301 Coleman St 0.71mi 4/3.0 (-1) 2,764 (+13%) 2mo $84,900 $31 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
62.0%
Equity multiple
3.76×
Total profit
$69,290
Equity at exit
$13,345
10-year hold
IRR
66.5%
Equity multiple
7.72×
Total profit
$168,399
Equity at exit
$7,738

Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14760

Home prices YoY
-7.7%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,493 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$469
Tax from tax record
$148 /mo · $1,778/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$524
Net cashflow
$1,315

Break-even live

Break-even rent $829
Max offer price $89,500
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,365 -5% $1,340 +0% $1,315 +5% $1,289 +10% $1,264
Rent -10% $1,118 -5% $1,216 +0% $1,315 +5% $1,413 +10% $1,512
Rate -1.0pp $1,360 -0.5pp $1,337 base $1,315 +0.5pp $1,291 +1.0pp $1,268

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
1× unit 2 1 $1,176
1× unit 3 1 $1,316
Total (2 units) $2,493

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,375
Closing costs
$2,685
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2025-12-05
    status Pending
  2. 2025-11-26
    status Active
  3. 2025-11-14
    historical Active Under Contract
  4. 2025-11-03
    listed $89,500 Active
  5. 2024-11-13
    historical
  6. 2024-09-10
    price $129,000
  7. 2024-06-28
    price $99,000
  8. 2024-05-13
    listed $129,000 Active
  9. 2024-01-27
    historical
  10. 2024-01-25
    historical
  11. 2023-10-30
    listed $129,000 Active
  12. 2022-10-18
    soldstatus $37,500 Closed Sale or Rented
  13. 2022-10-18
    soldstatus $37,500
  14. 2022-08-01
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show
  15. 2022-07-27
    listed $34,500 Active
  16. 2008-09-29
    soldstatus $31,539
  17. 2000-03-29
    soldstatus $28,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,778 · $148/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,778 · $148/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,916
− Mortgage interest
−$5,013
− Property taxes
−$1,778
− Insurance
−$448
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,393
− Management
−$2,393
− Depreciation
−$2,604
Taxable income
$15,287
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,669
After-tax cash flow
$12,107/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Olean City School District
NCES district ID
3621720
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$40,365
Composite
34.81/100
National rank
#5104
State rank
#511 of 590 in NY

Livability — Olean

Score
72/100
State rank
#353
US rank
#5930

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Olean, NY
City population
17,272
Population (ZIP)
17,272

Population outlook (Cattaraugus County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
71,623 people
By 2030
67,751 · -5.4%
By 2040
59,488 · -16.9%
By 2050
51,601 · -28.0%
By 2075
35,025 · -51.1%
By 2100
21,243 · -70.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 5% Black 2% Asian 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cattaraugus

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.8) · D 33.6% · R 66.4%
2008→2024 swing
-22.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.6pp · 2024: -32.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.8 2020: R+29.5 2016: R+34.4 2012: R+13.4 2008: R+10.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -19.85%
Current HPI
237.327
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+219.6% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-05 Pending WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-26 Relisted WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-14 Contingent WNYREIS
  • 2025-11-03 Listed $89,500 WNYREIS
  • 2024-11-13 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2024-09-10 Price Changed $129,000 WNYREIS
  • 2024-06-28 Price Changed $99,000 WNYREIS
  • 2024-05-13 Listed $129,000 WNYREIS
  • 2024-01-27 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2024-01-25 Listing Removed WNYREIS
  • 2023-10-30 Listed $129,000 WNYREIS
  • 2022-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records
  • 2022-10-18 Sold (MLS) $37,500 UNYREIS
  • 2022-08-01 Pending UNYREIS
  • 2022-07-27 Listed $34,500 UNYREIS
  • 2008-09-29 Sold (Public Records) $31,539 Public Records
  • 2000-03-29 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,778 · -38.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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