3002 Canary Ave · Davenport, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +9.9/15.0
- Cash flow +4.9/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- Schools +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- DSCR +0.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
3002 Canary Ave · Davenport, FL 33837
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,407 sqft · Townhouse
public records
· 159 Days on market
Built 2024
1,886 sqft lot
Garage
$178/sqft
· 5% below area
Est $264k · 5% under
$305/mo HOA · 15% of rent
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Come Create your New Family Memories in this "New Homes", less than one year new!! Enjoy this open-concept living home featuring a spacious great room that flows effortlessly into the kitchen, featuring a large island—perfect for entertaining or dining. Your first floor also offers a convenient half bath, access to the attached one-car garage, and a generous outdoor patio. Upstairs you will find a well kept 3 bedroom, 2.5. Home is located in the desirable Horse Creek community of Davenport. This spacious home and well designed living space showcases ceramic tile flooring, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, and a washer and dryer included.
Key facts
- $305 HOA
- Garage
- Built 2024
Neighborhood map
Sold within
Property
Rental comp
Retail
Costco
Walmart
Transit
Schools
Stadiums
Fortune 500
· Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $250k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-598 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (42.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $204k (18.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $144k (42.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#423 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Polk (suburban): math 39% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #62 of 73 in FL (top 85%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Horizons Elementary School (math 37% / reading 39%, grade F, #1,587 of 2,144 statewide, top 74%, 1,468 students, 42% FRL); Shelley S. Boone Middle School (math 25% / reading 25%, grade F, #517 of 571 statewide, top 91%, 1,403 students, 52% FRL); Ridge Community High School (math 12% / reading 33%, grade F, #539 of 667 statewide, top 81%, 2,711 students, 48% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 41% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Polk average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.7%/yr); 2240 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 10,384 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (1,716 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 159 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer
$144,186
(42.3% below list)
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 159 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 42% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 3.42%
- Cash-on-cash
- -10.26%
- DSCR
- 0.54
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $264,000
- List price
- $249,900
- Delta
- -5.34%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 6 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1604 Swan Swim Dr | 0.32mi | 3/2.5 | 1,463 (+4%) | 0mo | $245,000 | $167 | 76 |
| 1678 Swan Swim Dr | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,495 (+6%) | 2mo | $278,000 | $186 | 61 |
| 558 Jett Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,461 (+4%) | 0mo | $245,000 | $168 | 61 |
| 791 Chinoy Rd | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,516 (+8%) | 2mo | $285,000 | $188 | 58 |
| 518 Oakcreek Ln | 0.80mi | 3/2.0 | 1,570 (+12%) | 0mo | $294,490 | $188 | 45 |
| 319 Castleview Dr | 0.80mi | 3/2.0 | 1,570 (+12%) | 0mo | $307,490 | $196 | 45 |
| 502 Oakcreek Ln | 0.80mi | 3/2.0 | 1,570 (+12%) | 2mo | $294,990 | $188 | 44 |
| 3414 Withers Way | 0.95mi | 3/2.5 | 1,712 (+22%) | 1mo | $269,990 | $158 | 37 |
| 3390 Withers Way | 0.92mi | 3/2.5 | 1,712 (+22%) | 1mo | $268,000 | $157 | 37 |
| 3422 Withers Way | 0.96mi | 3/2.5 | 1,712 (+22%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $152 | 37 |
| 3418 Withers Way | 0.96mi | 3/2.5 | 1,712 (+22%) | 2mo | $234,990 | $137 | 37 |
| 3406 Withers Way | 0.94mi | 3/2.5 | 1,712 (+22%) | 2mo | $284,990 | $166 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
5-year hold
- IRR
- -39.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.20×
- Total profit
- $-84,271
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
10-year hold
- IRR
- -93.4%
- Equity multiple
- -1.06×
- Total profit
- $-144,276
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market
Market conditions
within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 36 active · 8 under contract
- Months of supply
- 36.0 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $281,000 ($180/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 64 d
- This list price
- 11% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +4.3% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 33837
- Home prices YoY
- -33.9%
- Rents YoY
- -2.7%
- Active inventory
- 2240
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
↻
- Estimated rent
- $2,045 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$494 /mo · $5,929/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$305
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$429
- Net cashflow
- $-598
Break-even live
Break-even rent
$2,802
Max offer price
$144,186
Occupancy floor
—
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-457 | -5% $-528 | +0% $-598 | +5% $-669 | +10% $-740 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-760 | -5% $-679 | +0% $-598 | +5% $-518 | +10% $-437 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-473 | -0.5pp $-535 | base $-598 | +0.5pp $-663 | +1.0pp $-729 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3037 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1373 | $1,900 | $1.38 | 160d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3037 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1373 | $1,870 | $1.36 | 22d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3037 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1373 | $1,900 | $1.38 | 10d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3010 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1574 | $1,950 | $1.24 | 55d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3010 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1574 | $1,999 | $1.27 | 125d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3053 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1515 | $1,699 | $1.12 | 10d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3057 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1515 | $1,650 | $1.09 | 10d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 2986 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1407 | $1,800 | $1.28 | 125d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2393 Penguin Blvd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1464 | $1,790 | $1.22 | 55d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2978 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,850 | $1.31 | 55d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2767 Puffin Pl Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1376 | $1,750 | $1.27 | 10d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2767 Puffin Pl Unit 1 Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1376 | $1,750 | $1.27 | 10d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 2966 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1574 | $1,850 | $1.18 | 26d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2966 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1574 | $1,850 | $1.18 | 10d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2958 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1407 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 164d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 2372 Penguin Blvd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1515 | $1,700 | $1.12 | 130d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2349 Penguin Blvd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1515 | $1,850 | $1.22 | 10d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 2947 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1515 | $1,900 | $1.25 | 10d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2947 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1515 | $1,900 | $1.25 | 164d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2730 Puffin Pl Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1515 | $1,850 | $1.22 | 138d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2915 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1515 | $1,850 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 2915 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1515 | $1,850 | $1.22 | 10d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 2906 Canary Ave Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1334 | $1,900 | $1.42 | 9d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 3335 Whooping Crane Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1373 | $2,000 | $1.46 | 10d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 2480 Penguin Blvd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1553 | $1,900 | $1.22 | 10d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3156 Goose Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $1,700 | $1.16 | 10d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3176 Goose Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $1,650 | $1.13 | 10d | 1 | 0.13mi |
| 3140 Goose Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1463 | $2,200 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2576 Penguin Blvd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1373 | $1,890 | $1.38 | 10d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2612 Penguin Blvd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1407 | $1,900 | $1.35 | 164d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 2624 Penguin Blvd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1574 | $2,050 | $1.30 | 164d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1396 Berry Ln Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1625 | $2,600 | $1.60 | 7d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 1678 Swan Swim Dr Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $2,295 | $1.54 | 10d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2302 Friendly Confines Loop Davenport, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1807 | $3,100 | $1.72 | 10d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 335 Gina Ln Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,600 | $1.72 | 55d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 335 Gina Ln Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $2,290 | $1.52 | 133d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1138 Berry Ln Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $2,200 | $1.24 | 10d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 754 Chinoy Rd Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1516 | $2,000 | $1.32 | 125d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 241 Gina Ln Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,250 | $1.32 | 164d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 241 Gina Ln Davenport, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $2,250 | $1.32 | 1d | 1 | 0.72mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Other
- Total monthly fees listed as $305 (includes other association fees)Tax information and specific financial figures excluded
- HOA & community
- HOA: Horse Creek Phase 3Monthly HOA approximately $200 (quarterly fee $600)Association fee covers structure and grounds maintenanceAssociation approval requiredLease restrictions applyCommunity mailboxPets allowed with breed restrictions
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerCable availableElectricity availablePhone availableSewer connected
- Home design
- Residential townhouseTwo levelsEast-facingCompleted condition
- Construction
- Stucco and frame constructionShingle roofConcrete perimeter foundationBuilt as part of Horse Creek
- Exterior features
- SidewalkSliding doors
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherMicrowaveRangeRange hoodRefrigeratorElectric water heater
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- CarpetCeramic tile
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air
- Interior features
- Attic ventilatorCeiling fansHigh ceilingsKitchen-family room comboLiving room-dining room comboOpen floorplanSplit bedroom layoutThermostat
- Laundry & utility
- Electric dryer hookupLaundry closetDryer
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-11-08days on market $249,900 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-11-07days on market $249,900 Active 158 DOM
-
2026-11-06days on market $249,900 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-11-05days on market $249,900 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-11-04days on market $249,900 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-11-02days on market $249,900 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-11-01days on market $249,900 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-10-31days on market $249,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-10-30days on market $249,900 Active 150 DOM
-
2026-10-29days on market $249,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-10-28days on market $249,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-10-27days on market $249,900 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-10-26days on market $249,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-10-25days on market $249,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-10-24days on market $249,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-10-23days on market $249,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-10-22days on market $249,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-10-21days on market $249,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-10-20days on market $249,900 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-10-19days on market $249,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-10-18days on market $249,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-10-17days on market $249,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-10-16days on market $249,900 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-10-15days on market $249,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-10-14days on market $249,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-10-13days on market $249,900 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-10-12days on market $249,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-10-11days on market $249,900 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-10-10days on market $249,900 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-10-09days on market $249,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-10-08days on market $249,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-10-07days on market $249,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-10-06days on market $249,900 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $249,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-10-05days on market $249,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-10-03days on market $249,900 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-10-02days on market $249,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-10-01days on market $249,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-09-30days on market $249,900 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-09-29days on market $249,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-09-28days on market $249,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-09-27days on market $249,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-09-25days on market $249,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-09-24days on market $249,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-09-23days on market $249,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $249,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $249,900 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-09-19days on market $249,900 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $249,900 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $249,900 Active 107 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,929 · $494/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,929 · $494/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,536
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$5,929
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,963
- − Management
- −$1,963
- − HOA
- −$3,660
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable loss
- −$11,496
combined federal + state — saved on this device
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,759
- After-tax cash flow
- $-4,422/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
80/100
Cosmetic rehab
Est. rehab $7,035–$21,105 screening
This well-maintained, modern townhome in Davenport, Florida, is in good condition with a good ROI potential for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Updating the flooring in the kitchen and dining area — New flooring can improve the look and feel of the space. ↑
- Both Upgrading the kitchen appliances — Modern appliances can increase the home's appeal and functionality. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — A well-maintained yard can enhance curb appeal and add value to the property. ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
F
Composite school gradezoned avg 28/100
Zoned Schools
Elementary
Davenport Elementary
F
FL #1,670/2,144
Nat'l #22,595/41,679
Middle
Shelley S. Boone Middle School
F
FL #517/571
Nat'l #10,338/14,009
High
Ridge Community High School
F
FL #539/667
Nat'l #13,583/17,239
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Polk
- NCES district ID
- 1201590
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,979
- Composite
- 34.74/100
- National rank
- #5132
- State rank
- #62 of 73 in FL
B
Composite livability gradescore 70/100
Livability — Davenport
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #423
- US rank
- #7541
Category grades
Amenities F
Commute F
Cost of living B+
Crime A+
Employment D+
Housing A+
Health & safety A+
User ratings A
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Polk County · 752,975 people
- City population
- 51,255
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,389
- Household income
- $81,276
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 752,975 people
- By 2030
- 804,621 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 906,117 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 1,000,476 · +32.9%
- By 2075
- 1,197,520 · +59.0%
- By 2100
- 1,271,518 · +68.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 42% White 36% Two or more races 16% Black 15% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 22% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Languages at home
- 55% English-only · Spanish 35% French/Haitian/Cajun 6% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 39.2% · R 59.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+14.4 2016: R+14.1 2012: R+6.8 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -131.62%
- Current HPI
- 256.8165
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.73%
- Metro
- Lakeland-Winter Haven, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-89.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-31 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-07 Price Changed $261,888 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-11 Price Changed $261,988 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-25 Price Changed $263,988 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-08 Listed $264,888 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-12-26 Sold (Public Records) $259,900 Public Records
- 2023-05-08 Sold (Public Records) $2,440,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+155.9%/yrLatest (2025): $5,929 · +155.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…