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12 Cindy Kay Dr
D Composite 41.02
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.8/30.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

12 Cindy Kay Dr · Washington, IN 47501
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,526 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 38 Days on market
Built 1979 0.46 ac lot $121/sqft · 15% above area Est $161k · 15% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Excellent edge of town location for this 2 bedroom 1.5 bath home with two spacious living areas-perfect for relaxing or entertaining-along with a bright eat-in kitchen designed for everyday ease. Recent updates to include new roof and new HVAC system allowing you to move in with confidence. Step outside to unwind on the updated covered back patio where you can enjoy peaceful views of the generous backyard. The outdoor space is complete with a 12x20 utility shed proving ample room for storage or hobbies. An attached 2-car garage adds even more practicality to this well-rounded home.

Key facts

  • Peaceful views
  • Covered back patio
  • Generous backyard

Tags

TWO SPACIOUS LIVING AREASBRIGHT EAT-IN KITCHENCOVERED BACK PATIOPEACEFUL VIEWSGENEROUS BACKYARD12X20 UTILITY SHED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed by RE/MAX Elite
  • Financial info: Financial details not provided
  • HOA & community: Subdivision: Rolling Acres

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage
  • Security: Security details not provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence, site-built; One story
  • Construction: Stone and vinyl siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Shed on property; Lot dimensions approximately 96 x 207

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen details not provided
  • Bedrooms: Details not provided
  • Flooring: Flooring details not provided
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 2 bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating with forced air; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $187 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (12.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $161k (12.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.9% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#110 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Washington Community Schools (town): math 36% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #174 of 301 in IN (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Washington Upper Elementary (math 44% / reading 43%, grade D, #90 of 330 statewide, top 27%, 361 students, 62% FRL); Washington High School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #197 of 369 statewide, top 57%, 780 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 60% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 71 units permitted in Daviess County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Daviess County population projected at +6% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($179k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $161,073 (12.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.87%
Cap rate
7.51%
Cash-on-cash
4.34%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$160,973
List price
$185,000
Delta
14.93%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
144 S 150 W 0.17mi 3/3.0 1,520 (-0%) 14mo $295,000 $194 74
505 W Van Trees St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,520 (-0%) 5mo $195,000 $128 62
13 Cindy Kay Dr 0.04mi 3/1.5 1,312 (-14%) 24mo $193,000 $147 55
600 W National Hwy 0.54mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,466 (-4%) 19mo $139,000 $95 46
701 W Walnut St 0.60mi 3/1.0 1,328 (-13%) 10mo $178,500 $134 40
1205 & 1207 W Walnut St 0.44mi 3/2.0 1,350 (-12%) 24mo $130,000 $96 38
603 SW 6th St 0.54mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,428 (-6%) 23mo $150,000 $105 38
1209 Mccormick Ave 0.50mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,336 (-12%) 16mo $156,000 $117 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.6%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-18,133
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
-0.2%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-799
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47501

Home prices YoY
-23.2%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
9.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,611 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $453/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$338
Net cashflow
$187

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,373
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    status $185,000 Pending 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-12
    remarks 588-char remark
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $185,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 31 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 492-char remark
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 28 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $185,000 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 22 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 21 DOM
  17. 2026-05-09
    listed $185,000 Active 484-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$453 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,013 · $84/mo
Expected delta
+$560/yr (+$47/mo · 123.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,329
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$453
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,546
− Management
−$1,546
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$887
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$213
After-tax cash flow
$2,462/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Washington Community Schools
NCES district ID
1812450
Math proficiency
36% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$45,422
Composite
31.57/100
National rank
#5952
State rank
#174 of 301 in IN

Livability — Washington

Score
72/100
State rank
#110
US rank
#5706

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
18,335
Population (ZIP)
18,335

Population outlook (Daviess County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
33,940 people
By 2030
34,457 · +1.5%
By 2040
35,412 · +4.3%
By 2050
35,803 · +5.5%
By 2075
35,173 · +3.6%
By 2100
29,799 · -12.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 8% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Daviess

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.3) · D 17.1% · R 81.5% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-29.1pp toward R · 2008: -35.2pp · 2024: -64.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.3 2020: R+62.0 2016: R+62.8 2012: R+50.8 2008: R+35.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.30%
Current HPI
213.3049
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Pending IRMLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $185,000 IRMLS

Property tax history

-1.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $453 · +8.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…