440 Center Ave · North Charleroi, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$70,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT STREET, PRICED TO SELL, AS IS WHERE IS, INVESTORS CHECK THIS OUT, NO FHA OR VA LOANS, -PROOF OF FUNDS, OCCUPANCY, DYE TEST, UTILITIES ETC. ARE BUYERS RESPONSIBILITY, ,, CALL MARY TORCHIA FOR CODE TO GET IN
Key facts
- Built 1911
- Listed 38 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $494 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#379 in PA, #3,397 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Charleroi SD (rural): math 20% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #421 of 539 in PA (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 489 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 17y ago; this cycle's ask is 6900% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $9k; list at $70k implies a 657% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1911 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1911 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.85% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.77%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.26%
- DSCR
- 2.35
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $156,156
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 531 Conrad Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,232 (+4%) | 5mo | $105,000 | $85 | 76 |
| 800 Ridge Ave | 0.38mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,179 (-0%) | 2mo | $164,000 | $139 | 73 |
| 440 Olive Ave | 0.11mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,013 (-14%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $138 | 64 |
| 716 Highland Ave | 0.31mi | 4/1.0 | 1,343 (+14%) | 1mo | $177,000 | $132 | 62 |
| 317 Isabella Ave | 0.14mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,068 (-10%) | 18mo | $140,000 | $131 | 57 |
| 26 Tyler Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,129 (-5%) | 23mo | $168,000 | $149 | 53 |
| 10 Oak St | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-12%) | 22mo | $119,900 | $115 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-1.83% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 27.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.21×
- Total profit
- $23,674
- Equity at exit
- $14,153
- IRR
- 33.4%
- Equity multiple
- 4.29×
- Total profit
- $64,481
- Equity at exit
- $12,632
Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 15022
- Home prices YoY
- -1.0%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,295 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$133 /mo · $1,594/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $494
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $534 | -5% $514 | +0% $494 | +5% $474 | +10% $455 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $392 | -5% $443 | +0% $494 | +5% $545 | +10% $597 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $529 | -0.5pp $512 | base $494 | +0.5pp $476 | +1.0pp $458 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,500
- Closing costs
- $2,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1204 Lower Meadow Ave Charleroi, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 2d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1022 McKean Ave Charleroi, PA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1344 | $1,450 | $1.08 | 2d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1221 Graham Ave Monessen, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,300 | $1.35 | 2d | 1 | 0.91mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $70,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $70,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $70,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $70,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $70,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $70,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-14$70,000 Active 171-char remark
-
2010-01-05soldstatus $9,250 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
GREAT STREET, PRICED TO SELL, AS IS WHERE IS, INVESTORS CHECK THIS OUT, NO FHA OR VA LOANS, -PROOF OF FUNDS, OCCUPANCY, DYE TEST, UTILITIES ETC. ARE BUYERS RESPONSIBILITY, ,, CALL MARY TORCHIA FOR CODE TO GET IN
-
2010-01-05price $10,000 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
GREAT STREET, PRICED TO SELL, AS IS WHERE IS, INVESTORS CHECK THIS OUT, NO FHA OR VA LOANS, -PROOF OF FUNDS, OCCUPANCY, DYE TEST, UTILITIES ETC. ARE BUYERS RESPONSIBILITY, ,, CALL MARY TORCHIA FOR CODE TO GET IN
-
2009-06-25$9,250 211-char remark
Show marketing remark (211 chars)
GREAT STREET, PRICED TO SELL, AS IS WHERE IS, INVESTORS CHECK THIS OUT, NO FHA OR VA LOANS, -PROOF OF FUNDS, OCCUPANCY, DYE TEST, UTILITIES ETC. ARE BUYERS RESPONSIBILITY, ,, CALL MARY TORCHIA FOR CODE TO GET IN
-
1999-10-04soldstatus $25,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,594 · $133/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,594 · $133/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥99°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,543
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,921
- − Property taxes
- −$1,594
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,243
- − Management
- −$1,243
- − Depreciation
- −$2,036
- Taxable income
- $5,155
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,237
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,693/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charleroi SD
- NCES district ID
- 4205640
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -19.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,410
- Composite
- 29.72/100
- National rank
- #6450
- State rank
- #421 of 539 in PA
Livability — North Charleroi
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #379
- US rank
- #3397
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Charleroi, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,044
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 208,060 people
- By 2030
- 207,168 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 202,738 · -2.6%
- By 2050
- 195,269 · -6.1%
- By 2075
- 175,588 · -15.6%
- By 2100
- 145,827 · -29.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Black 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.5) · D 36.9% · R 62.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.8pp toward R · 2008: -4.7pp · 2024: -25.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.5 2020: R+22.8 2016: R+25.3 2012: R+13.3 2008: R+4.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1.83%
- Current HPI
- 174.218
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
-96.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Rental Removed $1,000 Avail
- 2026-06-01 Listed for Rent $1,000 Avail
- 2026-05-14 Listed $70,000 FSBO.com
- 2010-01-05 Price Changed $10,000 West Penn MLS
- 2010-01-05 Sold (MLS) $9,250 West Penn MLS
- 2009-06-25 Listed $9,250 West Penn MLS
- 1999-10-04 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,594 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…