23130 Audrey Ave · Warren, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$129,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located in a desirable Warren neighborhood and priced to sell. This property features a spacious living room with fireplace, functional kitchen, and a large partially finished basement offering additional living space, storage, or recreation potential. With a few minor cosmetic updates, this home can easily be made move-in ready. Great opportunity for owner-occupants, first-time buyers, or investors. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major freeways. Check it out at the new price before its gone!!
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- 8,276 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with direct access; Driveway; Garage faces front; 1 garage space
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (sewer available)
- Home design: Single family residence; One level; Ground-level entry; Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Lot roughly 0.19 acres (60 x 135)
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Back yard with fencing; Fenced lot; Paved road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 4 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window cooling units
- Interior features: Gas water heater; Fireplace in the living room; Partially finished basement; Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $135 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 5.3% in Warren — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#171 in MI, #4,491 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, employment D.
- Fitzgerald Public Schools (urban): math 8% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #503 of 540 in MI (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 168 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.54%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.44%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $152,320
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23220 Audrey Ave | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 952 (0%) | 1mo | $169,900 | $178 | 97 |
| 23241 Hill Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 912 (-4%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $159 | 88 |
| 22521 Panama Ave | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (-2%) | 8mo | $150,000 | $160 | 76 |
| 22595 Curie Ave | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 | 887 (-7%) | 4mo | $40,000 | $45 | 75 |
| 23311 Panama Ave | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,015 (+7%) | 3mo | $175,000 | $172 | 70 |
| 22694 Le Fever Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+5%) | 2mo | $154,000 | $154 | 67 |
| 22369 Cunningham Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 900 (-6%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $167 | 65 |
| 22011 Masch Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (+5%) | 5mo | $163,000 | $163 | 60 |
| 4251 Dolores Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 960 (+1%) | 3mo | $161,000 | $168 | 56 |
| 22321 Logue Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,018 (+7%) | 6mo | $145,000 | $142 | 55 |
| 5584 Toepfer Rd | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,007 (+6%) | 8mo | $139,900 | $139 | 50 |
| 24248 Cunningham Ave | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 845 (-11%) | 7mo | $99,000 | $117 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-13,306
- Equity at exit
- $19,369
- IRR
- -1.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.89×
- Total profit
- $-3,923
- Equity at exit
- $11,231
Cash invested: $36,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48091
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,345 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$681
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,310/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$282
- Net cashflow
- $135
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,475
- Closing costs
- $3,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 20 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22580 Masch Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,450 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 22622 Panama Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 920 | $1,395 | $1.52 | 11d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 21465 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,375 | $1.39 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 21410 Panama St Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,600 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 3840 Bart Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1062 | $1,350 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 954 | $1,350 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 4652 E 10 Mile Rd Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 3974 Berkshire Ave Warren, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,500 | $1.67 | 2d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 2709 Capitol Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,649 | $1.56 | 43d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 909 | $1,350 | $1.49 | 16d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 7043 Meadow Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 911 | $1,274 | $1.40 | 43d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7275 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 703 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 7060 Victory Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 945 | $1,450 | $1.53 | 11d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 7033 Westminster Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 561 | $1,050 | $1.87 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 7511 Toepfer Rd Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1032 | $1,199 | $1.16 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 8036 Hupp Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 680 | $1,150 | $1.69 | 43d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 25005 Lawrence Ave Center Line, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1000 | $955 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 8103 Lozier Ave Unit 2 Warren, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $650 | $1.08 | 43d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,029 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 8125 Timken Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 948 | $1,270 | $1.34 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-30status Pending 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Welcome to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located in a desirable Warren neighborhood and priced to sell. This property features a spacious living room with fireplace, functional kitchen, and a large partially finished basement offering additional living space, storage, or recreation potential. With a few minor cosmetic updates, this home can easily be made move-in ready. Great opportunity for owner-occupants, first-time buyers, or investors. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major freeways. Check it out at the new price before its gone!!
-
2026-04-30status Pending
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Welcome to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located in a desirable Warren neighborhood and priced to sell. This property features a spacious living room with fireplace, functional kitchen, and a large partially finished basement offering additional living space, storage, or recreation potential. With a few minor cosmetic updates, this home can easily be made move-in ready. Great opportunity for owner-occupants, first-time buyers, or investors. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major freeways. Check it out at the new price before its gone!!
-
2026-04-25price $129,900 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Welcome to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located in a desirable Warren neighborhood and priced to sell. This property features a spacious living room with fireplace, functional kitchen, and a large partially finished basement offering additional living space, storage, or recreation potential. With a few minor cosmetic updates, this home can easily be made move-in ready. Great opportunity for owner-occupants, first-time buyers, or investors. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major freeways. Check it out at the new price before its gone!!
-
2026-04-24price $129,900
-
2026-04-17$149,900 Active 563-char remark
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Welcome to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located in a desirable Warren neighborhood and priced to sell. This property features a spacious living room with fireplace, functional kitchen, and a large partially finished basement offering additional living space, storage, or recreation potential. With a few minor cosmetic updates, this home can easily be made move-in ready. Great opportunity for owner-occupants, first-time buyers, or investors. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major freeways. Check it out at the new price before its gone!!
-
2026-04-17$149,900 Active
Show marketing remark (563 chars)
Welcome to this 2-bedroom, 1-bath home located in a desirable Warren neighborhood and priced to sell. This property features a spacious living room with fireplace, functional kitchen, and a large partially finished basement offering additional living space, storage, or recreation potential. With a few minor cosmetic updates, this home can easily be made move-in ready. Great opportunity for owner-occupants, first-time buyers, or investors. Conveniently located near shopping, dining, schools, and major freeways. Check it out at the new price before its gone!!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,310 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,310 · $192/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,139
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,276
- − Property taxes
- −$2,310
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,291
- − Management
- −$1,291
- − Depreciation
- −$3,779
- Taxable loss
- −$458
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$110
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,726/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fitzgerald Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2614460
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,828
- Composite
- 12.67/100
- National rank
- #9608
- State rank
- #503 of 540 in MI
Livability — Warren
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #171
- US rank
- #4491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Warren, MI
- County
- Macomb County · 638,552 people
- City population
- 114,937
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,696
- Household income
- $54,230
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1296.0
Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 925,296 people
- By 2030
- 948,226 · +2.5%
- By 2040
- 983,961 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 1,010,200 · +9.2%
- By 2075
- 1,076,222 · +16.3%
- By 2100
- 1,077,065 · +16.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 25% Asian 19% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 7% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Other Indo-European 14% Other Asian/Pacific 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Macomb
- 2024 margin
- R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -199.66%
- Current HPI
- 177.9273
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.35%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-13.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-30 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-25 Price Changed $129,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $129,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-17 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-17 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,310 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…