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1420 Cynthia St
A- Composite 81.83
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$72,000

1420 Cynthia St · Franklin, LA 70538
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,467 sqft · SingleFamily · 65 Days on market
Built 1960 6,534 sqft lot $49/sqft · 15% below area Est $85k · 15% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Character, potential, and a layout that surprises you. This 4 bedroom 1 bath home in Franklin sits right next to Franklin High School and just minutes from the historic district. And if you get hungry after your showing, Guadalajara Mexican Grill is just a couple minutes away and is highly recommended by this listing agent lol. The open floor plan feels much larger than you'd expect, and the mature trees on the corner of the lot give it a peaceful setting without crowding the house. One bedroom sits on the far end of the home with its own private entrance, perfect for a mother in law setup or a college kid who needs their own space. Plenty of parking and a yard with real character. This one just needs the right hands to bring it all the way back.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Plenty of parking
  • Private entrance

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANPRIVATE ENTRANCEPLENTY OF PARKINGPEACEFUL SETTING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $72k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $549 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $72k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.4% vs local median 6.2% in Franklin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#107 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Mary Parish (town): math 28% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #37 of 98 in LA (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 37 units permitted in St. Mary Parish in 2024 (20 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($498 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.6% local appreciation)).
  • St. Mary County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (2.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $8k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,680 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.83%
Cap rate
15.43%
Cash-on-cash
32.65%
DSCR
2.45
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$85,024
List price
$72,000
Delta
-15.32%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1016 West Third St 0.57mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,419 (-3%) 6mo $79,900 $56 56
1405 Weber St 0.33mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,272 (-13%) 5mo $107,000 $84 53
214 Hanson St 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,472 (+0%) 23mo $170,000 $115 51
224 Sanders St 0.25mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,624 (+11%) 19mo $81,350 $50 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.56% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.7%
Equity multiple
3.08×
Total profit
$41,944
Equity at exit
$30,587
10-year hold
IRR
38.2%
Equity multiple
6.09×
Total profit
$102,516
Equity at exit
$45,793

Cash invested: $20,160 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70538

Home prices YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,315 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$378
Tax from tax record
$83 /mo · $995/yr
Insurance
$30
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$549

Break-even live

Break-even rent $621
Max offer price $72,000
Occupancy floor 53%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,000
Closing costs
$2,160
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $72,000 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $72,000 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $72,000 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $72,000 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $72,000 Active 60 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $72,000 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $72,000 Active 56 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $72,000 Active 55 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $72,000 Active 54 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $72,000 Active 53 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $80,000 Active 50 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $80,000 Active 49 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $80,000 Active 48 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 47 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $80,000 Active 46 DOM
  16. 2026-04-14
    listed $80,000 Active 756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (756 chars)

    Character, potential, and a layout that surprises you. This 4 bedroom 1 bath home in Franklin sits right next to Franklin High School and just minutes from the historic district. And if you get hungry after your showing, Guadalajara Mexican Grill is just a couple minutes away and is highly recommended by this listing agent lol. The open floor plan feels much larger than you'd expect, and the mature trees on the corner of the lot give it a peaceful setting without crowding the house. One bedroom sits on the far end of the home with its own private entrance, perfect for a mother in law setup or a college kid who needs their own space. Plenty of parking and a yard with real character. This one just needs the right hands to bring it all the way back.

  17. 2026-04-14
    listed $80,000 Active 756-char remark
    Show marketing remark (756 chars)

    Character, potential, and a layout that surprises you. This 4 bedroom 1 bath home in Franklin sits right next to Franklin High School and just minutes from the historic district. And if you get hungry after your showing, Guadalajara Mexican Grill is just a couple minutes away and is highly recommended by this listing agent lol. The open floor plan feels much larger than you'd expect, and the mature trees on the corner of the lot give it a peaceful setting without crowding the house. One bedroom sits on the far end of the home with its own private entrance, perfect for a mother in law setup or a college kid who needs their own space. Plenty of parking and a yard with real character. This one just needs the right hands to bring it all the way back.

  18. 2015-09-17
    soldstatus $79,900
  19. 2014-04-16
    listed $25,740
  20. 1994-03-24
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$995 · $83/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$995 · $83/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 14% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,782
− Mortgage interest
−$4,033
− Property taxes
−$995
− Insurance
−$360
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,263
− Management
−$1,263
− Depreciation
−$2,095
Taxable income
$5,774
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,386
After-tax cash flow
$5,196/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Mary Parish
NCES district ID
2201620
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -40.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -33.00%
Median HH income
$39,843
Composite
28.1/100
National rank
#6828
State rank
#37 of 98 in LA

Livability — Franklin

Score
67/100
State rank
#107
US rank
#10368

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Franklin, LA
Population (ZIP)
12,561

Population outlook (St. Mary County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
49,510 people
By 2030
47,570 · -3.9%
By 2040
43,880 · -11.4%
By 2050
40,655 · -17.9%
By 2075
37,190 · -24.9%
By 2100
38,101 · -23.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 41% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 8% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Mary

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.9) · D 33.5% · R 65.4% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.1pp toward R · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -31.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.9 2020: R+29.1 2016: R+27.6 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.56%
Current HPI
82.9321
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+210.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $80,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $80,000 GBRMLS
  • 2015-09-17 Sold (Public Records) $79,900 Public Records
  • 2014-04-16 Listed $25,740 AcadianaMLS
  • 1994-03-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $995 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…