1007 3rd St · South Pittsburg, TN
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $949 – $1,763
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Metal roof
- Separate dining room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#218 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Marion County (town): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #89 of 139 in TN (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: South Pittsburg Elementary (math 31% / reading 27%, grade F, #461 of 952 statewide, top 49%, 521 students, 0% FRL); South Pittsburg High School (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #231 of 332 statewide, top 70%, 425 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 225 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.65% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.63%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $168,000
- Comps found
- 8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 Birch Ave | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (+4%) | 12mo | $260,000 | $208 | 76 |
| 306 Birch Ave | 0.04mi | 3/1.0 | 1,069 (-11%) | 19mo | $150,000 | $140 | 64 |
| 104 Locust Ave | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 | 1,358 (+13%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $133 | 59 |
| 105 Locust Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,036 (-14%) | 13mo | $70,000 | $68 | 51 |
| 505 Magnolia Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,371 (+14%) | 4mo | $169,000 | $123 | 47 |
| 110 7th St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,280 (+7%) | 11mo | $202,500 | $158 | 46 |
| 114 Laurel Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,025 (-15%) | 22mo | $115,000 | $112 | 36 |
| 306 8th St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,040 (-13%) | 7mo | $200,000 | $192 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 18.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.76×
- Total profit
- $18,192
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 27.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.40×
- Total profit
- $57,092
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 37380
- Home prices YoY
- -5.1%
- Active inventory
- 123
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,401 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $698/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $501
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $549 | -5% $525 | +0% $501 | +5% $477 | +10% $453 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $391 | -5% $446 | +0% $501 | +5% $557 | +10% $612 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $544 | -0.5pp $523 | base $501 | +0.5pp $479 | +1.0pp $457 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-02-12status Pending
-
2026-01-07$85,000 Active
-
2021-03-26soldstatus $60,000
-
2021-03-25soldstatus $60,000 Closed 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.
-
2021-03-05historical 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.
-
2021-02-04price $65,000 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.
-
2020-08-19price $75,000 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.
-
2020-03-10status Active 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.
-
2020-02-12historical Contingent 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.
-
2019-11-20$78,000 Active 380-char remark
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $698 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $698 · $58/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,818
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$698
- − Insurance
- −$1,222
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,345
- − Management
- −$1,345
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $4,972
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,193
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,823/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion County
- NCES district ID
- 4702640
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,941
- Composite
- 20.88/100
- National rank
- #8494
- State rank
- #89 of 139 in TN
Livability — South Pittsburg
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #16522
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- South Pittsburg, TN
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,604
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 28,889 people
- By 2030
- 28,915 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 28,662 · -0.8%
- By 2050
- 28,053 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 26,855 · -7.0%
- By 2100
- 24,404 · -15.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Black 4% Two or more races 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.7% · R 77.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -34.3pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -55.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.7 2020: R+50.8 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -13.95%
- Current HPI
- 260.87
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
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| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
+9.0% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-12 Pending — GCAR
- 2026-01-07 Listed $85,000 GCAR
- 2021-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2021-03-25 Sold (MLS) $60,000 GCAR
- 2021-03-05 Delisted — GCAR
- 2021-02-04 Price Changed $65,000 GCAR
- 2020-08-19 Price Changed $75,000 GCAR
- 2020-03-10 Relisted — GCAR
- 2020-02-12 Contingent — GCAR
- 2019-11-20 Listed $78,000 GCAR
Property tax history
+8.4%/yrLatest (2025): $698 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…