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1007 3rd St
B+ Composite 75.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$85,000

1007 3rd St · South Pittsburg, TN 37380
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,200 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market
Built 1934 4,356 sqft lot Est $168k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Metal roof
  • Separate dining room

Tags

LARGE COUNTRY KITCHENSEPARATE DINING ROOMMETAL ROOFCOVERED FRONT PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#218 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Marion County (town): math 24% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #89 of 139 in TN (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: South Pittsburg Elementary (math 31% / reading 27%, grade F, #461 of 952 statewide, top 49%, 521 students, 0% FRL); South Pittsburg High School (math 14% / reading 19%, grade F, #231 of 332 statewide, top 70%, 425 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 57% district-wide (57 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 225 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $60k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $82,450 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.65%
Cap rate
14.31%
Cash-on-cash
28.63%
DSCR
2.27
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$168,000
Comps found
8
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
309 Birch Ave 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,250 (+4%) 12mo $260,000 $208 76
306 Birch Ave 0.04mi 3/1.0 1,069 (-11%) 19mo $150,000 $140 64
104 Locust Ave 0.21mi 3/2.0 1,358 (+13%) 6mo $180,000 $133 59
105 Locust Ave 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,036 (-14%) 13mo $70,000 $68 51
505 Magnolia Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,371 (+14%) 4mo $169,000 $123 47
110 7th St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,280 (+7%) 11mo $202,500 $158 46
114 Laurel Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,025 (-15%) 22mo $115,000 $112 36
306 8th St 0.70mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (-13%) 7mo $200,000 $192 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
1.76×
Total profit
$18,192
Equity at exit
$12,674
10-year hold
IRR
27.2%
Equity multiple
3.40×
Total profit
$57,092
Equity at exit
$7,349

Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37380

Home prices YoY
-5.1%
Active inventory
123
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,401 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$446
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $698/yr
Insurance
$35
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$294
Net cashflow
$501

Break-even live

Break-even rent $767
Max offer price $85,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $549 -5% $525 +0% $501 +5% $477 +10% $453
Rent -10% $391 -5% $446 +0% $501 +5% $557 +10% $612
Rate -1.0pp $544 -0.5pp $523 base $501 +0.5pp $479 +1.0pp $457

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,250
Closing costs
$2,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-02-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-01-07
    listed $85,000 Active
  3. 2021-03-26
    soldstatus $60,000
  4. 2021-03-25
    soldstatus $60,000 Closed 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.

  5. 2021-03-05
    historical 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.

  6. 2021-02-04
    price $65,000 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.

  7. 2020-08-19
    price $75,000 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.

  8. 2020-03-10
    status Active 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.

  9. 2020-02-12
    historical Contingent 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.

  10. 2019-11-20
    listed $78,000 Active 380-char remark
    Show marketing remark (380 chars)

    Built in 1934, this nice 1,200 sf home is waiting for you to call your home. It features 3 Bedroom, 1 Bath, a large country Kitchen with separate Dining Room (Could be a 4th Bedroom). Very well kept and ready to move in. Central Heat and Air, with Natural Gas . New Metal Roof only 2 years old. Nice 7' x 26' Covered Front Porch for those nice summer nights. This one won't last.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$698 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$698 · $58/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,818
− Mortgage interest
−$4,761
− Property taxes
−$698
− Insurance
−$1,222
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,345
− Management
−$1,345
− Depreciation
−$2,473
Taxable income
$4,972
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,193
After-tax cash flow
$4,823/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion County
NCES district ID
4702640
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
25% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$41,941
Composite
20.88/100
National rank
#8494
State rank
#89 of 139 in TN

Livability — South Pittsburg

Score
62/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#16522

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
South Pittsburg, TN
Population (ZIP)
6,604

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
28,889 people
By 2030
28,915 · +0.1%
By 2040
28,662 · -0.8%
By 2050
28,053 · -2.9%
By 2075
26,855 · -7.0%
By 2100
24,404 · -15.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Black 4% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+55.7) · D 21.7% · R 77.4%
2008→2024 swing
-34.3pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -55.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+55.7 2020: R+50.8 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+22.3 2008: R+21.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -13.95%
Current HPI
260.87
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+9.0% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-12 Pending GCAR
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $85,000 GCAR
  • 2021-03-26 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
  • 2021-03-25 Sold (MLS) $60,000 GCAR
  • 2021-03-05 Delisted GCAR
  • 2021-02-04 Price Changed $65,000 GCAR
  • 2020-08-19 Price Changed $75,000 GCAR
  • 2020-03-10 Relisted GCAR
  • 2020-02-12 Contingent GCAR
  • 2019-11-20 Listed $78,000 GCAR

Property tax history

+8.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $698 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…