1403 Uelen Ct · Bethlehem, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.5/30.0
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- DSCR +5.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$215,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Adorable, affordable and lots of space all in a great location. Check out this cozy 1/2 twin with an addition on the first floor making large rooms feel even more expansive. Open floor plan offers open living room and an adjacent area that could be a dining area and a family room. PLUS there's a 3 season room and massive ground level deck area providing you an abundant choice of where you spend your time and how you design your decor. Nice eat in kitchen with lots of cabinets and countertop space. Second floor has 3 bedrooms and full bath with carpet but seems to be over hardwood floors. Efficient gas heat and gas hot water heater will keep your energy bills low and save money on your move in with refrigerator and washer and dryer all left for you. Incredible location close to baseball fields, parks, schools and convenient to retail shopping areas. This home is made available through an auction company so check with your agent for associated buyer fees. Details available at the property.
Key facts
- 3 season room
- Efficient gas heat
- Open floor plan
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $215k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $204 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $215k).
- Recommended offer: $212k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 4.3% in Bethlehem — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#138 in PA, #1,122 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F.
- Bethlehem Area SD (urban): math 31% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #342 of 539 in PA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 103 active listings in the ZIP; 26 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 765 units permitted in Lehigh County in 2024 (286 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lehigh County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($212k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.07%
- DSCR
- 1.18
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $243,563
- List price
- $215,000
- Delta
- -11.73%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1428 W Union Blvd | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 1,484 (+2%) | 9mo | $310,000 | $209 | 62 |
| 1334 W Union Blvd | 0.60mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,528 (+5%) | 7mo | $310,000 | $203 | 51 |
| 1344 Greenview Dr | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,250 (-14%) | 6mo | $292,000 | $234 | 48 |
| 1323 Catasauqua Rd | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,248 (-14%) | 16mo | $229,900 | $184 | 43 |
| 1509 W Union Blvd | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (+11%) | 8mo | $295,000 | $182 | 42 |
| 1731 W North St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (-8%) | 18mo | $285,000 | $212 | 38 |
| 1520 W North St | 0.68mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,550 (+6%) | 23mo | $287,500 | $185 | 33 |
| 1022 W Union Blvd | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,298 (-11%) | 21mo | $188,000 | $145 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.85% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-26,469
- Equity at exit
- $32,057
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-24,528
- Equity at exit
- $18,589
Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 18018
- Rents YoY
- 0.8%
- Active inventory
- 103
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,228 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,127
- Tax from tax record
- −$339 /mo · $4,067/yr
- Insurance
- −$90
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$468
- Net cashflow
- $204
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $53,750
- Closing costs
- $6,450
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 26 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1210 Eaton Ave #201 Bethlehem, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $2,350 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1345 Martin Ct Bethlehem, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1184 | $2,370 | $2.00 | 2d | 8 | 0.34mi |
| 1411 Greenview Dr Unit 12 Bethlehem, PA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1380 | $2,500 | $1.81 | 43d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1411 Greenview Dr Unit 17 Bethlehem, PA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $2,500 | $1.79 | 23d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 967 Stratford St Bethlehem, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 938 | $850 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2104 Westgate Dr Bethlehem, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $1,620 | $2.04 | 2d | 5 | 0.58mi |
| 1818 Catasauqua Rd Bethlehem, PA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1007 | $2,803 | $2.78 | 43d | 9 | 0.66mi |
| 1926 W Broad St Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1492 | $2,000 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 517 Schaffer St Bethlehem, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 2d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 1939 E Jonathan St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1601 | $2,400 | $1.50 | 14d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2132 Pennsylvania Ave Unit 00 B- 7 Bethlehem, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,695 | $1.77 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 124 W Union Blvd Unit 214 Bethlehem, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,120 | $2.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1820 Sherwood St Allentown, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1780 | $2,900 | $1.63 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 68 W Union Blvd Bethlehem, PA | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1804 | $2,295 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 47 W Goepp St Bethlehem, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1184 | $1,995 | $1.68 | 2d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1532 N New St Unit B Bethlehem, PA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,845 | $1.68 | 2d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2010B Pinehurst Ct Allentown, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 844 | $1,850 | $2.19 | 2d | 6 | 1.40mi |
| 1136 N New St Bethlehem, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1296 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 320 2nd Ave Bethlehem, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1024 | $1,950 | $1.90 | 2d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 50 W Garrison St Unit 1 Bethlehem, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 2d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 56 W North St Bethlehem, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $2,400 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 565 W Lehigh St Bethlehem, PA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $1,950 | $2.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 1320 Chelsea Ave Bethlehem, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $2,395 | $1.74 | 2d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1320 Chelsea Ave Bethlehem, PA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1373 | $2,349 | $1.71 | 14d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 34 E Washington Ave Bethlehem, PA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,000 | $1.82 | 23d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 55 E Elizabeth Ave Unit 1 Bethlehem, PA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $2,250 | $1.90 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-15status Active 1002-char remark
Show marketing remark (1002 chars)
Adorable, affordable and lots of space all in a great location. Check out this cozy 1/2 twin with an addition on the first floor making large rooms feel even more expansive. Open floor plan offers open living room and an adjacent area that could be a dining area and a family room. PLUS there's a 3 season room and massive ground level deck area providing you an abundant choice of where you spend your time and how you design your decor. Nice eat in kitchen with lots of cabinets and countertop space. Second floor has 3 bedrooms and full bath with carpet but seems to be over hardwood floors. Efficient gas heat and gas hot water heater will keep your energy bills low and save money on your move in with refrigerator and washer and dryer all left for you. Incredible location close to baseball fields, parks, schools and convenient to retail shopping areas. This home is made available through an auction company so check with your agent for associated buyer fees. Details available at the property.
-
2026-05-05status Pending 1002-char remark
Show marketing remark (1002 chars)
Adorable, affordable and lots of space all in a great location. Check out this cozy 1/2 twin with an addition on the first floor making large rooms feel even more expansive. Open floor plan offers open living room and an adjacent area that could be a dining area and a family room. PLUS there's a 3 season room and massive ground level deck area providing you an abundant choice of where you spend your time and how you design your decor. Nice eat in kitchen with lots of cabinets and countertop space. Second floor has 3 bedrooms and full bath with carpet but seems to be over hardwood floors. Efficient gas heat and gas hot water heater will keep your energy bills low and save money on your move in with refrigerator and washer and dryer all left for you. Incredible location close to baseball fields, parks, schools and convenient to retail shopping areas. This home is made available through an auction company so check with your agent for associated buyer fees. Details available at the property.
-
2026-04-22$215,000 Active 1002-char remark
Show marketing remark (1002 chars)
Adorable, affordable and lots of space all in a great location. Check out this cozy 1/2 twin with an addition on the first floor making large rooms feel even more expansive. Open floor plan offers open living room and an adjacent area that could be a dining area and a family room. PLUS there's a 3 season room and massive ground level deck area providing you an abundant choice of where you spend your time and how you design your decor. Nice eat in kitchen with lots of cabinets and countertop space. Second floor has 3 bedrooms and full bath with carpet but seems to be over hardwood floors. Efficient gas heat and gas hot water heater will keep your energy bills low and save money on your move in with refrigerator and washer and dryer all left for you. Incredible location close to baseball fields, parks, schools and convenient to retail shopping areas. This home is made available through an auction company so check with your agent for associated buyer fees. Details available at the property.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,067 · $339/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,067 · $339/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,739
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,043
- − Property taxes
- −$4,067
- − Insurance
- −$1,075
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,139
- − Management
- −$2,139
- − Depreciation
- −$6,255
- Taxable loss
- −$979
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$235
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,687/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bethlehem Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4203570
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $55,124
- Composite
- 34.92/100
- National rank
- #5068
- State rank
- #342 of 539 in PA
Livability — Bethlehem
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #138
- US rank
- #1122
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bethlehem, PA
- County
- Lehigh County · 333,019 people
- City population
- 129,661
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,965
- Household income
- $75,417
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1361.0
Population outlook (Lehigh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,957 people
- By 2030
- 408,319 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 440,007 · +12.0%
- By 2050
- 475,940 · +21.1%
- By 2075
- 590,448 · +50.3%
- By 2100
- 690,314 · +75.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 10% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 14% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Italian 2% Polish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 15% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lehigh
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.7% · R 48.0% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.9pp toward R · 2008: 15.6pp · 2024: 2.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.7 2020: D+7.6 2016: D+4.4 2012: D+7.5 2008: D+15.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -211.46%
- Current HPI
- 301.1699
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.85%
- Metro
- Allentown-Bethlehem-Easton, PA-NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — GLVRMLS
- 2026-05-05 Pending — GLVRMLS
- 2026-04-22 Listed $215,000 GLVRMLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2026): $4,067 · +2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…