1127 Robinson Ave · South Apopka, FL 32703

$100,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,592 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market

Built 1959 9,105 sqft lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.1/10.0
• Livability +3.4/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +1.8/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Virtually Staged. Investor/renovation opportunity on a spacious corner lot with public water and sewer. This 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers significant potential for the right buyer looking for a full renovation project. The property needs extensive repairs and updating, but the lot size, corner location, and existing utility connections provide a solid starting point for improvement. Conveniently located near major roads, shopping, dining, and area services. Cash or renovation financing may be needed due to condition. Property is being sold as-is, where-is, with all faults. Buyer and buyer’s agent to verify all information, measurements, condition, utilities, and suitability for inten

Key facts

• Public sewer
• Corner lot
• Conveniently located

Tags

• CORNER LOT
• PUBLIC WATER
• PUBLIC SEWER
• EXISTING UTILITY CONNECTIONS
• CONVENIENTLY LOCATED

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Lease restrictions apply
• HOA & community: No HOA/association

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available
• Home design: Single Family Residence; Residential property in fixer condition; One story; Faces west; Entry level: One
• Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on lot of about 0.21 acres
• Exterior features: Other exterior features; Paved road access

Interior

• Kitchen: No appliances included
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
• Flooring: Other flooring
• Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Wall/window cooling units
• Interior features: Other interior features
• Laundry & utility: Laundry features: Other

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 67/100 on livability (#578 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, employment F.
• Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.8%/yr); 564 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• Current owner paid $10k; list at $100k implies a 852% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1959 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1959 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.35% ✓
• Cap rate: 19.32%
• Cash-on-cash: 46.53%
• DSCR: 3.07
• GRM: 3.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $377,304
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
237 E 16th St	0.27mi	3/2.0	1,486 (-7%)	24mo	$352,000	$237	52
730 E 9th St	0.71mi	4/2.0 (+1)	1,568 (-2%)	7mo	$210,000	$134	49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 40.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.65×
• Total profit: $46,143
• Equity at exit: $14,910

10-year hold

• IRR: 45.0%
• Equity multiple: 4.68×
• Total profit: $102,971
• Equity at exit: $8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Florida: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 32703

• Rents YoY: -2.8%
• Active inventory: 564
• Price-to-rent: 3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,347 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$202 /mo · $2,426/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$493
• Net cashflow: $1,086

Break-even live

Break-even rent $972

Max offer price $100,000

Occupancy floor 49%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $25,000
• Closing costs: $3,000
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 25 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1353 Clarcona Rd Apopka, FL	4.0	2.0	1530	$2,275	$1.49	15d	1	0.32mi
40 W 12th St Apopka, FL	4.0	2.0	1437	$2,899	$2.02	22d	1	0.42mi
50 W 12th St Apopka, FL	4.0	2.0	1437	$2,300	$1.60	15d	1	0.44mi
1357 Woodwind Dr Apopka, FL	3.0	2.0	1174	$2,200	$1.87	7d	1	0.65mi
137 W 20th St Apopka, FL	3.0	2.0	1209	$2,045	$1.69	22d	1	0.71mi
1576 Palmstone Dr Apopka, FL	3.0	2.0	1180	$1,959	$1.66	7d	1	0.78mi
402 W 17th St Apopka, FL	4.0	2.0	1380	$1,950	$1.41	24d	1	0.89mi
1598 Royal Oaks Dr Apopka, FL	3.0	2.0	1578	$2,355	$1.49	24d	1	0.97mi
342 Lady Palm St Apopka, FL	3.0	2.5	2147	$2,700	$1.26	7d	1	0.97mi
1008 Royal Oaks Dr Apopka, FL	3.0	2.0	1368	$2,295	$1.68	22d	1	1.06mi
356 W 4th St Apopka, FL	3.0	2.0	1250	$2,300	$1.84	24d	1	1.06mi
617 E 1st St Apopka, FL	2.0	2.0	1288	$2,195	$1.70	24d	1	1.08mi
1952 Alambra Cir Apopka, FL	4.0	3.0	2224	$2,800	$1.26	2d	1	1.09mi
827 Creeping Fig St Unit 1 Apopka, FL	3.0	2.5	1688	$2,895	$1.72	22d	1	1.10mi
487 Blue Bird St Apopka, FL	2.0	1.0	1075	$1,750	$1.63	24d	1	1.16mi
1248 E Cleveland St Apopka, FL	4.0	2.0	1213	$1,989	$1.64	2d	1	1.19mi
1635 Callie Ct Apopka, FL	3.0	2.5	1285	$1,795	$1.40	24d	1	1.26mi
1595 Marden Rdg Lp Apopka, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1055	$2,195	$2.08	2d	44	1.35mi
1236 Dovehill Dr Unit 1244 Apopka, FL	2.0	2.5	1052	$1,700	$1.62	24d	1	1.38mi
1250 Marden Rd Apopka, FL	1.0–3.0	1.0–2.0	1089	$2,895	$2.66	2d	26	1.39mi
178 Dovetail Ct Apopka, FL	3.0	2.0	1158	$2,150	$1.86	24d	1	1.43mi
1266 Sheeler Hills Dr Apopka, FL	4.0	2.0	1788	$2,290	$1.28	2d	1	1.43mi
1236 Indian Bluff Dr Apopka, FL	3.0	2.5	1942	$2,470	$1.27	22d	1	1.48mi
1260 Indian Bluff Dr Apopka, FL	3.0	2.0	1942	$2,420	$1.25	22d	1	1.49mi
283 Rambling Cir Apopka, FL	3.0	2.0	1614	$2,350	$1.46	24d	1	1.50mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-05-13
   listed $100,000 Active
2. 1980-05-01
   soldstatus $10,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $2,426 · $202/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,426 · $202/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $28,160
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,602
• − Property taxes: −$2,426
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,253
• − Management: −$2,253
• − Depreciation: −$2,909
• Taxable income: $12,217
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,932
• After-tax cash flow: $10,095/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Orange
• NCES district ID: 1201440
• Math proficiency: 46% ▼ -9.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $49,350
• Composite: 41.47/100
• National rank: #3461
• State rank: #43 of 73 in FL

Livability — South Apopka

• Score: 67/100
• State rank: #578
• US rank: #10996

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: South Apopka, FL
• County: Orange County · 1,471,359 people
• Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
• Population (ZIP): 59,269
• Household income: $72,880
• Rent vs Own: 34.2% rent · 65.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 2191.0

Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,618,226 people
• By 2030: 1,787,404 · +10.5%
• By 2040: 2,125,621 · +31.4%
• By 2050: 2,454,016 · +51.6%
• By 2075: 3,173,711 · +96.1%
• By 2100: 3,607,781 · +122.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.71)
• Race & ethnicity: White 35% Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 28% Two or more races 16% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 3% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 4% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 18% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 71% English-only · Spanish 22% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Orange

• 2024 margin: D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -206.30%
• Current HPI: 319.2139
• Rent YoY: ▼ -2.75%
• Metro: Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.28%
• F500 in state: 36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Technology	2	$29B
▸Insurance	2	$17B
▸Retail	1	$60B
▸Technology Distribution	1	$58B
▸Homebuilding	1	$35B
▸Technology Manufacturing	1	$35B

Price history

+852.4% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-13 Listed $100,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 1980-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+11.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,426 · +233.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.