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202 Janesa Dr
B- Composite 65.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.0/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$70,000

202 Janesa Dr · Martinsburg, WV 25403
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,000 sqft · SingleFamily · 54 Days on market
Built 1986 Est $65k · 8% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Well-maintained and move-in ready mobile home located in a welcoming community! This home features brand new windows, a newer AC unit installed in July 2025, and a roof that was professionally resealed in 2024, offering peace of mind and energy efficiency. Pride of ownership shows throughout with consistent upkeep and care. A great opportunity for affordable living in a convenient community setting. Back on market at no fault to seller.

Key facts

  • Newer ac unit
  • New windows
  • Built 1986

Tags

NEW WINDOWSNEWER AC UNITPROFESSIONALLY RESEALED ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $70k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $824 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 4.0% in Martinsburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#29 in WV, #4,057 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute F, employment D-.
  • Berkeley County Schools (other): math 21% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #24 of 55 in WV (top 44%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 255 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,460 units permitted in Berkeley County in 2024 (16 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $484 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Berkeley County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $67,900 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.47%
Cap rate
21.38%
Cash-on-cash
53.88%
DSCR
3.40
GRM
3.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$65,000
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
202 Janesa Dr 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,000 (0%) 0mo $65,000 $65 100
87 Derick Ct 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,000 (0%) 5mo $25,000 $25 93
95 Hamilton Ct 0.25mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,056 (+6%) 2mo $66,950 $63 72
31 Gail Dr 0.30mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,110 (+11%) 6mo $125,000 $113 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.3%
Equity multiple
3.10×
Total profit
$41,228
Equity at exit
$10,437
10-year hold
IRR
53.9%
Equity multiple
6.29×
Total profit
$103,762
Equity at exit
$6,052

Cash invested: $19,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25403

Home prices YoY
-15.2%
Active inventory
255
Price-to-rent
3.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,726 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$367
Tax est. 1.5%
$88 /mo · $1,050/yr
Insurance
$29
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$363
Net cashflow
$824

Break-even live

Break-even rent $683
Max offer price $70,000
Occupancy floor 47%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,500
Closing costs
$2,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
57 Sebago Pl Martinsburg, WV 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,650 $1.38 13d 1 1.09mi
62 Rhea Dr Martinsburg, WV 3.0 2.5 1414 $1,900 $1.34 13d 1 1.17mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-06
    status Active
  3. 2026-02-18
    historical Active Under Contract
  4. 2026-01-16
    listed $70,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,715
− Mortgage interest
−$3,921
− Property taxes
−$1,050
− Insurance
−$1,016
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,657
− Management
−$1,657
− Depreciation
−$2,036
Taxable income
$9,377
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,250
After-tax cash flow
$7,643/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Berkeley County Schools
NCES district ID
5400060
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$54,599
Composite
26.16/100
National rank
#7273
State rank
#24 of 55 in WV

Livability — Martinsburg

Score
75/100
State rank
#29
US rank
#4057

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Berkeley County · 85,235 people
City population
55,439
Metro
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
Population (ZIP)
16,470
Household income
$87,512
Rent vs Own
18.6% rent · 81.4% own
Severe rent burden
120.0

Population outlook (Berkeley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
127,359 people
By 2030
134,684 · +5.8%
By 2040
148,219 · +16.4%
By 2050
159,300 · +25.1%
By 2075
179,920 · +41.3%
By 2100
183,896 · +44.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Hispanic / Latino 10% Black 8% Two or more races 8% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, Guatemala, Vietnam
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Berkeley

2024 margin
Solid R (+35.8) · D 31.2% · R 67.0% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.8pp toward R · 2008: -13.0pp · 2024: -35.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+35.8 2020: R+31.2 2016: R+37.2 2012: R+21.3 2008: R+13.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -34.15%
Current HPI
190.9235
Rent YoY
Metro
Hagerstown-Martinsburg, MD-WV
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-06 Relisted BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-02-18 Contingent BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-16 Listed $70,000 BRIGHT MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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