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6903 Lakeland Blvd 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 36.12
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$333,990

6903 Lakeland Blvd · Lakewood Park, FL 34951
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,263 sqft · Land · 136 Days on market
Built 2026 9,900 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

3 bed | 2 bath | 2-bay | 1263 sq. ft.

Key facts

  • Quartz countertops
  • Dishwasher
  • Smooth-top range

Tags

QUARTZ COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESSMOOTH-TOP RANGEOVER-THE-RANGE MICROWAVEDISHWASHERWELCOMING DINING AREA

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.23 acres (paved road access); Living area reported as 1,263 square feet (builder source); Permit number 2502-008348; Builder license CGC1517458

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage (19 x 20) with garage door opener; Driveway
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One-story (single level); Under construction (projected completion July 7, 2026); Faces west
  • Construction: Block and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; New construction; Built by Century Complete (model ALTON-B6)
  • Exterior features: Lighting; Sidewalk; Sliding doors; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Electric heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Stone counters; Programmable thermostat; Walk-in closet(s); Double-pane, insulated thermal windows
  • Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room with washer and electric dryer hookups

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. Builder plan / spec listing (the home may be to-be-built); metrics use comparable previous sales.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $334k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-115 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $314k (6.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (30.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $234k (30.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#719 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 294 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 136 days — a 12% lower offer ($294k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $73k; list at $334k implies a 358% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $233,539 (30.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 136 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.88%
Cash-on-cash
-1.48%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
11.9

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.8%
Equity multiple
0.34×
Total profit
$-61,651
Equity at exit
$49,799
10-year hold
IRR
-11.4%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-63,876
Equity at exit
$28,877

Cash invested: $93,517 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34951

Home prices YoY
-23.6%
Active inventory
294
Price-to-rent
11.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,335 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,751
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $837/yr
Insurance
$139
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$490
Net cashflow
$-115

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,482
Max offer price $313,599
Occupancy floor 100%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $74 -5% $-21 +0% $-115 +5% $-210 +10% $-304
Rent -10% $-300 -5% $-208 +0% $-115 +5% $-23 +10% $69
Rate -1.0pp $53 -0.5pp $-30 base $-115 +0.5pp $-202 +1.0pp $-290

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,498
Closing costs
$10,020
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 11 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7500 Pensacola Rd Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1125 $2,150 $1.91 15d 1 0.32mi
6906 Ocala Ave Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1175 $1,955 $1.66 15d 1 0.34mi
7503 Paso Robles Blvd Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1260 $2,000 $1.59 24d 1 0.38mi
7403 Winter Garden Pkwy Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1372 $2,200 $1.60 22d 1 0.63mi
2450 8th Ave SW Vero Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1388 $2,100 $1.51 22d 1 0.70mi
985 23rd Pl SW Vero Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1176 $2,200 $1.87 22d 1 0.72mi
7704 Pacific Ave Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1719 $2,500 $1.45 15d 1 0.87mi
5642 Sunberry Cir Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1377 $1,950 $1.42 24d 1 1.04mi
5510 Shannon Dr Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1594 $2,350 $1.47 15d 1 1.06mi
2320 Water Oaks Ln Unit 111 Vero Beach, FL 3.0 2.0 1811 $3,500 $1.93 22d 1 1.21mi
5234 Oakland Lake Cir Fort Pierce, FL 3.0 2.0 1460 $2,300 $1.58 15d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 33 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $333,990 Active 136 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $333,990 Active 133 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $333,990 Active 132 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $333,990 Active 131 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $333,990 Active 130 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $333,990 Active 128 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $333,990 Active 127 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $331,990 Active 125 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $331,990 Active 124 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $331,990 Active 123 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $331,990 Active 122 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $331,990 Active 119 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $331,990 Active 118 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $331,990 Active 117 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $331,990 Active 116 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $331,990 Active 115 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $331,990 Active 114 DOM
  18. 2026-05-15
    price $331,990 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (37 chars)

    3 bed | 2 bath | 2-bay | 1263 sq. ft.

  19. 2026-05-14
    price $331,990 531-char remark
    Show marketing remark (531 chars)

    The Alton Plan offers a contemporary living experience. The kitchen feature cabinetry, Quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances, with smooth-top range, over-the-range microwave, and dishwasher. Opens seamlessly into a welcoming dining area and spacious living room, perfect for hosting gatherings or relaxation. All bedrooms and a sizable laundry room on the main floor. The owner’s suite has a private bath and a generous walk-in closet. The 2-car garage has ample storage and parking. Photos are virtually staged.

  20. 2026-05-14
    price $331,990
    Show marketing remark (531 chars)

    The Alton Plan offers a contemporary living experience. The kitchen feature cabinetry, Quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances, with smooth-top range, over-the-range microwave, and dishwasher. Opens seamlessly into a welcoming dining area and spacious living room, perfect for hosting gatherings or relaxation. All bedrooms and a sizable laundry room on the main floor. The owner’s suite has a private bath and a generous walk-in closet. The 2-car garage has ample storage and parking. Photos are virtually staged.

  21. 2026-02-23
    price $327,990 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (531 chars)

    The Alton Plan offers a contemporary living experience. The kitchen feature cabinetry, Quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances, with smooth-top range, over-the-range microwave, and dishwasher. Opens seamlessly into a welcoming dining area and spacious living room, perfect for hosting gatherings or relaxation. All bedrooms and a sizable laundry room on the main floor. The owner’s suite has a private bath and a generous walk-in closet. The 2-car garage has ample storage and parking. Photos are virtually staged.

  22. 2026-02-23
    price $327,990
    Show marketing remark (531 chars)

    The Alton Plan offers a contemporary living experience. The kitchen feature cabinetry, Quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances, with smooth-top range, over-the-range microwave, and dishwasher. Opens seamlessly into a welcoming dining area and spacious living room, perfect for hosting gatherings or relaxation. All bedrooms and a sizable laundry room on the main floor. The owner’s suite has a private bath and a generous walk-in closet. The 2-car garage has ample storage and parking. Photos are virtually staged.

  23. 2026-02-23
    price $327,990 531-char remark
    Show marketing remark (531 chars)

    The Alton Plan offers a contemporary living experience. The kitchen feature cabinetry, Quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances, with smooth-top range, over-the-range microwave, and dishwasher. Opens seamlessly into a welcoming dining area and spacious living room, perfect for hosting gatherings or relaxation. All bedrooms and a sizable laundry room on the main floor. The owner’s suite has a private bath and a generous walk-in closet. The 2-car garage has ample storage and parking. Photos are virtually staged.

  24. 2026-02-06
    listed $324,990 Active 37-char remark
    Show marketing remark (37 chars)

    3 bed | 2 bath | 2-bay | 1263 sq. ft.

  25. 2026-02-05
    listed $324,990 Active 531-char remark
    Show marketing remark (531 chars)

    The Alton Plan offers a contemporary living experience. The kitchen feature cabinetry, Quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances, with smooth-top range, over-the-range microwave, and dishwasher. Opens seamlessly into a welcoming dining area and spacious living room, perfect for hosting gatherings or relaxation. All bedrooms and a sizable laundry room on the main floor. The owner’s suite has a private bath and a generous walk-in closet. The 2-car garage has ample storage and parking. Photos are virtually staged.

  26. 2026-02-05
    listed $324,990 Active
    Show marketing remark (531 chars)

    The Alton Plan offers a contemporary living experience. The kitchen feature cabinetry, Quartz countertops, and stainless steel appliances, with smooth-top range, over-the-range microwave, and dishwasher. Opens seamlessly into a welcoming dining area and spacious living room, perfect for hosting gatherings or relaxation. All bedrooms and a sizable laundry room on the main floor. The owner’s suite has a private bath and a generous walk-in closet. The 2-car garage has ample storage and parking. Photos are virtually staged.

  27. 2022-02-07
    soldstatus $72,900
  28. 2022-02-02
    soldstatus $35,000 Closed
  29. 2021-12-30
    historical Active Under Contract
  30. 2021-12-04
    status Active
  31. 2021-10-29
    status Pending
  32. 2021-10-26
    soldstatus $31,300
  33. 2021-10-25
    listed $37,500 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$837 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,772 · $231/mo
Expected delta
+$1,935/yr (+$161/mo · 231.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,025
− Mortgage interest
−$18,709
− Property taxes
−$837
− Insurance
−$1,670
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,242
− Management
−$2,242
− Depreciation
−$9,716
Taxable loss
−$7,391
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,774
After-tax cash flow
$389/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lakewood Park

Score
63/100
State rank
#719
US rank
#15407

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lakewood Park, FL
County
Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
17,148
Household income
$63,122
Rent vs Own
11.7% rent · 88.3% own
Severe rent burden
140.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.06%
Current HPI
343.1376
Rent YoY
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+785.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $331,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $331,990 RAIRCMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Price Changed $331,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $327,990 Zillow
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $327,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-23 Price Changed $327,990 RAIRCMLS
  • 2026-02-06 Listed $324,990 Zillow
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $324,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-02-05 Listed $324,990 RAIRCMLS
  • 2022-02-07 Sold (Public Records) $72,900 Public Records
  • 2022-02-02 Sold (MLS) $35,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2021-12-30 Contingent Beaches MLS
  • 2021-12-04 Relisted Beaches MLS
  • 2021-10-29 Pending Beaches MLS
  • 2021-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $31,300 Public Records
  • 2021-10-25 Listed $37,500 Beaches MLS

Property tax history

+22.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $837 · +12.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…