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465 W 2nd St
B Composite 70.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.3/10.0

$200,000

465 W 2nd St · Rush City, MN 55069
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,494 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 44 Days on market
Built 1903 0.60 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming opportunity with room to grow! This 4-bedroom, 2-bath home sits on a generously sized lot that includes both the main parcel and an additional parcel—offering extra space, flexibility, and future possibilities. A spacious front porch welcomes you in and provides the perfect spot to relax and unwind. Inside, you’ll find a functional layout with great bones and plenty of potential to make it your own. The laundry room offers the option to be converted into an additional bedroom, home office, or flex space to suit your needs. A newer roof adds peace of mind, while the rest of the home is ready for your personal touch and updates. With a little work, this property could tru

Key facts

  • 0.6 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1903

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached or attached 2-car garage (2 garage spaces, approximately 550 sq ft)
  • Utilities: City water (connected); City sewer (connected); Natural gas
  • Home design: Residential property; One-and-one-half story; Above-grade finished area reported; additional below-ground area; Has additional parcel(s)
  • Construction: Stone foundation; Roof older than 8 years
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior; Front porch; Lot approximately 0.602 acres (150x175)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Kitchen on main level (17x13)
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (three on the upper level, one upper-level bedroom noted as 'Bedroom 4'); One bedroom listed as 'Bar/Wet Bar Room' on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: Main floor 3/4 bath; Upper level full bath
  • Heating & cooling: Boiler heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Front porch; Storage space in basement; Porch; Washer/Dryer hookup
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry (11x11); Washer/Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $200k).
  • Recommended offer: $194k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#355 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rush City Public School District (rural): math 37% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #195 of 301 in MN (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 362 units permitted in Chisago County in 2024 (121 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chisago County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 44 days — a 3% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 31y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $75k; list at $200k implies a 167% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $194,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 44 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.73%
Cap rate
14.79%
Cash-on-cash
30.35%
DSCR
2.35
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.0%
Equity multiple
2.03×
Total profit
$57,802
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
32.8%
Equity multiple
3.97×
Total profit
$166,516
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55069

Home prices YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,452 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$178 /mo · $2,142/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$725
Net cashflow
$1,416

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,659
Max offer price $200,000
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $200,000 Pending 44 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $200,000 Contingent - Inspection 43 DOM
  3. 2026-06-04
    days on market $200,000 Contingent - Inspection 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-02
    days on market $200,000 Contingent - Inspection 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $200,000 Contingent - Inspection 39 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Contingent - Inspection 38 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $200,000 Contingent - Inspection 37 DOM
  8. 2026-04-26
    historical Contingent - Inspection
  9. 2026-04-24
    listed $200,000 Active
  10. 2026-04-21
    historical $200,000
  11. 2009-10-05
    historical
  12. 2009-07-07
    listed $110,000
  13. 2009-05-07
    historical
  14. 2008-05-07
    listed $129,900
  15. 1996-03-13
    soldstatus $74,900
  16. 1996-03-13
    soldstatus $74,900
  17. 1995-07-12
    historical
  18. 1995-03-09
    listed $74,900
  19. 1992-05-22
    soldstatus $61,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,142 · $178/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,191 · $183/mo
Expected delta
+$49/yr (+$4/mo · 2.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$41,421
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$2,142
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,314
− Management
−$3,314
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable income
$14,631
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,511
After-tax cash flow
$13,484/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rush City Public School District
NCES district ID
2732550
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$60,045
Composite
37.08/100
National rank
#4499
State rank
#195 of 301 in MN

Livability — Rush City

Score
69/100
State rank
#355
US rank
#8328

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rush City, MN
Population (ZIP)
5,936

Population outlook (Chisago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,187 people
By 2030
55,036 · -0.3%
By 2040
53,293 · -3.4%
By 2050
49,157 · -10.9%
By 2075
38,399 · -30.4%
By 2100
24,646 · -55.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 8% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chisago

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+29.2 2016: R+30.5 2012: R+12.6 2008: R+10.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.49%
Current HPI
428.9296
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+225.2% since first listed
12 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-26 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $200,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-21 Coming Soon $200,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-10-05 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-07-07 Listed $110,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2009-05-07 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-05-07 Listed $129,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-03-13 Sold (Public Records) $74,900 Public Records
  • 1996-03-13 Sold (MLS) $74,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1995-07-12 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1995-03-09 Listed $74,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1992-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $61,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,142 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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