3942 Obannon Dr · Jackson, MS
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- ARV discount +3.2/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$60,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Quite and restored for that first home. Ideal for newly weds , don't that money on a rental, stop here first.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Built 1963
- Listed 39 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Water service available
- Home design: Single-family house; One story
- Construction: Siding exterior; Shingle roof; Conventional foundation; Built (year from public records)
- Exterior features: Back yard fencing; City lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Refrigerator included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-39 ($-472/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $53k (11.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($996 rent vs $60k).
- Recommended offer: $53k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 9.9% in Jackson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#66 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, employment F, health & safety F.
- Jackson Public School District (urban): math 9% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #112 of 130 in MS (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Dawson Elementary School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #296 of 375 statewide, top 82%, 192 students, 100% FRL); Brinkley Middle School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #165 of 179 statewide, top 93%, 354 students, 100% FRL); Lanier High School (math 3% / reading 2%, grade F, #197 of 197 statewide, top 100%, 603 students, 100% FRL).
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 167 units permitted in Hinds County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $6k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hinds County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.66%
- DSCR
- 2.23
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $54,731
- List price
- $60,000
- Delta
- 9.63%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2728 Idaho St | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 816 (0%) | 15mo | $38,000 | $47 | 83 |
| 2857 Newport St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (+6%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $46 | 82 |
| 2810 Newport St | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 | 909 (+11%) | 10mo | $72,500 | $80 | 71 |
| 2728 Utah St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 | 887 (+9%) | 11mo | $35,000 | $39 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $30,439
- Equity at exit
- $54,053
- IRR
- 20.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.48×
- Total profit
- $92,141
- Equity at exit
- $116,567
Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39213
- Home prices YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $996 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$315
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $723/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$209
- Net cashflow
- $-39
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-5 | -5% $-22 | +0% $-39 | +5% $-56 | +10% $-73 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-118 | -5% $-79 | +0% $-39 | +5% $0 | +10% $39 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-9 | -0.5pp $-24 | base $-39 | +0.5pp $-55 | +1.0pp $-71 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,000
- Closing costs
- $1,800
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2475 Greenfield Ave Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $800 | $0.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 3625 Liberty St Jackson, MS | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,190 | $1.13 | 15d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 3380 Shady Oaks St Unit B Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $871 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3380 Shady Oaks St Unit D Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $832 | $1.15 | 45d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 3380 Shady Oaks St Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 721 | $871 | $1.21 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 1175 Eminence Row Jackson, MS | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $650 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $60,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $60,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $60,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $60,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $60,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $60,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $60,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $60,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $60,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $60,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $60,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $60,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $60,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $60,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $60,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $60,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $60,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-13$60,000 Active 762-char remark
-
2024-06-23historical $1,100
-
2024-05-23$1,100
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2024-02-11historical $1,200
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2024-01-11$1,200
-
2023-11-30soldstatus Closed 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Quite and restored for that first home. Ideal for newly weds , don't that money on a rental, stop here first.
-
2023-11-27soldstatus
-
2023-08-16status Pending 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Quite and restored for that first home. Ideal for newly weds , don't that money on a rental, stop here first.
-
2023-08-03status Active 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Quite and restored for that first home. Ideal for newly weds , don't that money on a rental, stop here first.
-
2023-08-01status Pending 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Quite and restored for that first home. Ideal for newly weds , don't that money on a rental, stop here first.
-
2023-07-06$49,900 Active 112-char remark
Show marketing remark (112 chars)
Quite and restored for that first home. Ideal for newly weds , don't that money on a rental, stop here first.
-
2023-07-01historical
-
2023-06-22price $49,500
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2023-05-31price $53,000
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2023-04-12$56,000 Active
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1999-08-05soldstatus
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1963-10-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $723 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $723 · $60/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,956
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,361
- − Property taxes
- −$723
- − Insurance
- −$5,418
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$956
- − Management
- −$956
- − Depreciation
- −$1,745
- Taxable loss
- −$1,205
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$289
- After-tax cash flow
- $-183/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jackson Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2802190
- Math proficiency
- 9% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,234
- Composite
- 10.89/100
- National rank
- #9755
- State rank
- #112 of 130 in MS
Livability — Jackson
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #66
- US rank
- #9695
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jackson, MS
- County
- Hinds County · 167,040 people
- City population
- 140,204
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,691
- Household income
- $29,541
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1138.0
Population outlook (Hinds County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 242,528 people
- By 2030
- 241,113 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 235,557 · -2.9%
- By 2050
- 226,946 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 199,995 · -17.5%
- By 2100
- 164,165 · -32.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 95% White 2% Two or more races 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Hinds
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+46.1) · D 72.4% · R 26.3% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.1pp toward D · 2008: 39.0pp · 2024: 46.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+46.1 2020: D+48.3 2016: D+43.7 2012: D+45.1 2008: D+39.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 21.42%
- Current HPI
- 329.1844
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jackson, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+7.1% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $60,000 MLSU
- 2024-06-23 Rental Removed $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-05-23 Listed for Rent $1,100 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-02-11 Rental Removed $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-01-11 Listed for Rent $1,200 TURBOTENANT
- 2023-11-30 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2023-11-27 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2023-08-16 Pending — MLSU
- 2023-08-03 Relisted — MLSU
- 2023-08-01 Pending — MLSU
- 2023-07-06 Listed $49,900 MLSU
- 2023-07-01 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2023-06-22 Price Changed $49,500 MLSU
- 2023-05-31 Price Changed $53,000 MLSU
- 2023-04-12 Listed $56,000 MLSU
- 1999-08-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1963-10-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $723 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…